I think the real wildcard in the deck is Florida State. That game is now essentially a pick-em what with the unfortunate injury to Jordan Travis and late rumors surrounding the status of his back-up.
Let's face it, without Travis, this is not the same team that earned its way to a potential playoff spot, but if they pull off the win today, they're likely in. By ranking Florida State #4, the committee made its intentions known.
So Washington is in. Michigan is in...the Iowa game is a mere formality. If Florida State loses, and both Texas and Alabama win...oooh baby, there's gonna be a big-time argument and some seriously unhappy campers when the dust settles.
Meanwhile, Ohio State is lurking at #6 but it's hard to see the Bucks getting in over conference champ Texas if the 15-point favorite Horns win as expected. That said, never underestimate Texas's ability to blow a huge opportunity.