In time it is inevitable.
I don't think that Grey & Redshirts can address all of the overlap that is on the horizon. I am sure that Cael is up front with all of our kids, and quite honestly the combination of the Portal and NIL may actually drive up the market price of some hammers in our room, when after a redshirt year they see the writing is on the wall.
The Gibson brothers are just one example where the chances of a multi year starter career seem to be quite unlikely. Maybe they stay, maybe not, but my guess is they collect a very minor % of the 9.9 if any, and NIL for them at PSU is probably limited as well. There are lot of programs that could present a pretty attractive package to them.
I really like the depth this program is building and this year was a glowing example of the benefits. Nonetheless, I also like the idea that those who don't make it to the top level in our program can get a second chance at a solid career somewhere.