A few thoughts:
1) the hat thing was great
2) as of right now, Iowa has two top 5 recruits from the class of 2023 and a top 5 (some say #1) from class of 2024
3) Iowa won a national championship just 3 years ago
4) I’m not going to dismiss their chances to challenge PSU in the coming years
#2. Iowa has one Top 5 recruit in 2023 I think? Kueter and who knows with him. He obviously intends to wrestle and maybe he chooses it full time (I have my doubts on that) but he hasn't started football practice yet even so it's easy to say right now. Gabe Arnold has a very high floor. Iffy on his ceiling but he will definitely be a 4x AA level guy. They lost Chittum and Jesuroga.
As for #4, that requires something that has under a 1 percent chance of happening IMO
1. AJ makes his way on the team and actually decides to wrestle for much longer. He already is dabbling in MMA mostly, is he going to wrestle out 3 years (while staying out of trouble) I can't imagine it would sit well with anyone if AJ is allowed to just be in the room whenever he feels like it while going to UFC Vegas especially with how hard Iowa practices notoriously are.
2. Anthony gets in, stays out of trouble and is as good as his brothers. Then yes, the brothers combined can be like 60-70 points a year, that's significant. That being said ....
3. Iowa's entire team stays healthy going forward, that doesn't seem like something they ever will fix. Haven't even learned their lesson with Drake Ayala.
4. PSU's incoming guys are all busts lol. Even after next year, we still retain Nagao, Bartlett, Van Ness, Haines, Kerkvliet which is already a huge handful of points (by 2024-2025, they're all potential preseason #1s and they're all constantly improving). I truthfully wouldn't rule out Carter going for #5 in Philadelphia also if his Olympic cycle isn't successful. Pyles already dropped hints it's something he thinks Carter will reconsider. So expecting Lilledahl, Mesenbrink, Sealey, Barr, Ryder, Kasak, both Gibsons, both Mirasolas to all be busts might be a
bit of wishful thinking.