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Basketball GAME THREAD: PSU Hoops vs. Maryland

those are great scenarios because i don't think losing to MD, NW or Illinois will knock us out since we've already beaten all of them at least once. beating any of them again would just give us a better seed. i think we are in. in theory we could play Minnesota again but it would have to be a couple of rounds in
It depends on the number of upset winners in small conference tournaments.
 
In both scenarios we are 1-1 vs MD and have the same number of quad 1 wins.
don't see how that could keep us out unless there is some mid major team who is ranked high and then loses their tournament, which forces in somebody who nobody expects
 
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don't see how that could keep us out unless there is some mid major team who is ranked high and then loses their tournament, which forces in somebody who nobody expects
I thought we should have gotten in in 2017, but we didn’t, so they can easily keep us out.
 
If you thought PSU would win when they were down by 12 pts with 5:58 to play.... You had more confidence than me. ESPN gave us a 3% chance at that point.
After Youngs 3 to go up 13 I got up to give up and take a jacuzzi after working in the yard all morning. Figured I'd watch the gametracker as we limped to the end.

Funks return of serve 3 made me decide to watch til the end. Talor Battle era exciting finish!
 
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That’s true. Believe me, I was not a Chambers fan, but he did bring in some decent talent.
and that paid off by winning the NIT and qualifying for one NCAA tournament (the one that was canceled)

which is the exact same resume as the doofus before him. so he did the same thing with far more talent. not good imo, when you fall well short of what even Jerry Dunn could do. thank goodness they made a change to Shrewsberry

my point is that Ed and Pat's programs were awful in year 2, not in the mix like this. and Pat had some talented players in year 2
 
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and that paid off by winning the NIT and qualifying for one NCAA tournament (the one that was canceled)

which is the exact same resume as the doofus before him. so he did the same thing with far more talent. not good imo, when you fall well short of what even Jerry Dunn could do. thank goodness they made a change to Shrewsberry

my point is that Ed and Pat's programs were awful in year 2, not in the mix like this. and Pat had some talented players in year 2
PSU could be awful in year 3. Lose Pickett, Wynter, Dread, Funk, and probably Lundy.
 
In both scenarios we are 1-1 vs MD and have the same number of quad 1 wins.
Yes, but the "losing today" scenario also adds an extra loss.

It could end up being razor thin, so that extra loss would matter.
 
If you thought PSU would win when they were down by 12 pts with 5:58 to play.... You had more confidence than me. ESPN gave us a 3% chance at that point.
I haven't looked at the win probabilities yet, but I'm pretty sure that at it's peak, today's win was more improbable than the Rutgers loss.
 
PSU could be awful in year 3. Lose Pickett, Wynter, Dread, Funk, and probably Lundy.
what's the point? year 3 has not even happened yet. psu screwed up by not firing chambers at the point when a new coach would have had more scholarships to give, and then firing him anyway at a weird point in the year. Shrews is obviosuly an upgrade
 
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don't see how that could keep us out unless there is some mid major team who is ranked high and then loses their tournament, which forces in somebody who nobody expects
There will almost certainly be 1-3 bids "stolen" this week...but there aren't nearly the same number of possibilities that we've seen in prior seasons. The key will be keeping in closer to "1" than "3".
 
There will almost certainly be 1-3 bids "stolen" this week...but there aren't nearly the same number of possibilities that we've seen in prior seasons. The key will be keeping in closer to "1" than "3".
that's true but i think the win today keeps us safe even with 3 bids stolen. i think we are probably 5th or 6th from the last team in now
 
and that paid off by winning the NIT and qualifying for one NCAA tournament (the one that was canceled)

which is the exact same resume as the doofus before him. so he did the same thing with far more talent. not good imo, when you fall well short of what even Jerry Dunn could do. thank goodness they made a change to Shrewsberry

my point is that Ed and Pat's programs were awful in year 2, not in the mix like this. and Pat had some talented players in year 2
In their defense, the landscape of college basketball has also changed. If we play this season without immediate eligibility for Funk, Wynter, and Henn, it's a much different season.
 
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In their defense, the landscape of college basketball has also changed. If we play this season without immediate eligibility for Funk, Wynter, and Henn, it's a much different season.
but then none of the other 300 teams can use immediate eligibility either.

why defend those guys at this point? we thought Dunn was awful 20 years ago then wasted 18 years with guys who were even worse. this is a huge breath of fresh air
 
that's true but i think the win today keeps us safe even with 3 bids stolen. i think we are probably 5th or 6th from the last team in now
I'd guess we'll be showing up as about the 4th team in come tomorrow...but another loss would also cost us a spot or two, so we'd be about the 2nd to the last team in.
 
but then none of the other 300 teams can use immediate eligibility either.

why defend those guys at this point? we thought Dunn was awful 20 years ago then wasted 18 years with guys who were even worse. this is a huge breath of fresh air
Why trash them at this point?

Just keeping it real...immediate eligibility has really helped teams with lots of scholarships to fill in bigger conferences. It hasn't benefited the 300+ schools equally.
 
I'd guess we'll be showing up as about the 4th team in come tomorrow...but another loss would also cost us a spot or two, so we'd be about the 2nd to the last team in.
if we lose a close game to Northwestern or Illinois i don't know that we would move down at all, though we certainly would not move up
 
Yes, but the "losing today" scenario also adds an extra loss.

It could end up being razor thin, so that extra loss would matter.
Yes, but also an extra win. Agree that it's razor thin. Need one more win to get us off the bubble.

Games that got away from us (VT, Wisc twice, Neb, & Rutgers) could really come back to bite us. Just one of those games and we're in for sure.
 
Why trash them at this point?

Just keeping it real...immediate eligibility has really helped teams with lots of scholarships to fill in bigger conferences. It hasn't benefited the 300+ schools equally.
they were horrible. this is not the place to go into the reasons that the program could have been set on such a different path in 2003 and instead was sent into the ground.

but as to your straw man that this season was successful because we could use immediate eligibility - ok, but, it is available to everyone. when Ed and Pat didn't have it, nobody else did either. Nobody made Ed recruit 3 or 4 players sight unseen from Eastern Europe and Scandinavia in his 2nd season. that was his own brilliant idea
 
Unlike Dread, Lundy had a horrible finish at PSU. The Rutgers debacle and now this. Back to back tough games at BJC. PSU needs to get him going.

Good crowd today. Just goes to show what a difference winning makes. Won 4 of 5 entering this game to give us a shot at the dance. Fans show up, even for a noon game.
 
Don't be so quick... @LandoComando has already declared that I don't know much about this stuff, and that we have "absolutely no chance" and our odds are "zero" if we don't win on Thursday.

The reality is that this scenario will make things REALLY close on Selection Sunday. A win on Thursday, and we can start thinking about possibly avoiding the trip to Dayton.
You can keep mentioning me. If we don't win Thursday we won't be in
 
Unlike Dread, Lundy had a horrible finish at PSU. The Rutgers debacle and now this. Back to back tough games at BJC. PSU needs to get him going.

Good crowd today. Just goes to show what a difference winning makes. Won 4 of 5 entering this game to give us a shot at the dance. Fans show up, even for a noon game.
if he gets hot we can be dangerous. he came pretty close to doing nothing today (but did contribute the free throws that helped make the difference), and literally did nothing in the Rutgers game. i hope he finds a hot streak going into the tournament
 
Good crowd today. Just goes to show what a difference winning makes. Won 4 of 5 entering this game to give us a shot at the dance. Fans show up, even for a noon game.
It's still disappointing to me...make or break game against a relative "rival" and we've got 75% of the upper deck empty. I'd argue that all 13 of our peers in the conference would have sold out today, and we only filled it to 2/3rds capacity with ~5k empty seats.

Obviously students being gone contributes (as do all the complexities around our geographical disadvantage), but I dream for the day when a game this big means an automatic full house like it does at every school that we're competing against for recruits.
 
It's still disappointing to me...make or break game against a relative "rival" and we've got 75% of the upper deck empty. I'd argue that all 13 of our peers in the conference would have sold out today, and we only filled it to 2/3rds capacity with ~5k empty seats.

Obviously students being gone contributes (as do all the complexities around our geographical disadvantage), but I dream for the day when a game this big means an automatic full house like it does at every school that we're competing against for recruits.
so, we are 25 or 30 years into the Jordan Center and it's obvious that it has too many seats. Many events do not sell out and/or involve hanging curtains over seats.

For the sake of the basketball programs i hope someone donates money to renovate rec hall which is not only the correct size but in a better location. it is the right home for the teams
 
It's still disappointing to me...make or break game against a relative "rival" and we've got 75% of the upper deck empty. I'd argue that all 13 of our peers in the conference would have sold out today, and we only filled it to 2/3rds capacity with ~5k empty seats.

Obviously students being gone contributes (as do all the complexities around our geographical disadvantage), but I dream for the day when a game this big means an automatic full house like it does at every school that we're competing against for recruits.
Agree but we also had 12,000 vs Rutgers. Just a few hundred shy of 11,000 with students on break today. Just win baby!
 
Exactly. We don't want the small conferences to get 2 teams in.
usually they don't, unless they have a consensus lock who loses in the title game. often the really small conferences end up with one bid even if the favorite gets knocked off
 
We closed on a 30-14 run. Wow! I had the game recorded (tracked on my phone all the way to the 8:42 mark of the second half then had to stop) but had an inkling of something good was coming because my buddy called me at about the time the game ended.

What an absolute HUGE WIN! Showing the heart and grit to make that comeback is quite impressive and speaks to coach Shrews and what he means to this program. Man has Wynter come up big in the last two games. Really happy for Dread to play like that.

I agree with Erial that it is very close IF we do not win on Thursday. I think we have a decent shot (50%) to still get in but there are other factors outside of our control.

WE ARE PENN STATE!!
 
Our resume wasn't that strong in 2017...we have a MUCH better resume this season. Will be interesting though.
9-9 in Big Ten play (finished in 6th place),19 wins overall then won two games in the Big tournament. Winning the NIT proved we belonged in the NCAA compared to some of the teams that made it.
 
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It's still disappointing to me...make or break game against a relative "rival" and we've got 75% of the upper deck empty. I'd argue that all 13 of our peers in the conference would have sold out today, and we only filled it to 2/3rds capacity with ~5k empty seats.

Obviously students being gone contributes (as do all the complexities around our geographical disadvantage), but I dream for the day when a game this big means an automatic full house like it does at every school that we're competing against for recruits.
I was there and it didn't seem all that bad for being spring break. Remember, it isn't just students that leave State College at spring break.
 
9-9 in Big Ten play (finished in 6th place),19 wins overall then won two games in the Big tournament. Winning the NIT proved we belonged in the NCAA compared to some of the teams that made it.
Conference Record doesn't matter, and 2018 was a bad year for the Big Ten (only the 5th conference overall). We had no good non-conference wins at all. RPI of 73 (that was the final year of the RPI). Our resume basically consisted of beating Ohio State three times, and very little else. Also had 3 relatively bad losses mixed in there. We weren't even all that close to the bubble (as evidenced by the fact that we were a 4 seed in the NIT).

We were certainly good enough to be in, but didn't win the games we needed to win in the regular season.
 
Conference Record doesn't matter, and 2018 was a bad year for the Big Ten (only the 5th conference overall). We had no good non-conference wins at all. RPI of 73 (that was the final year of the RPI). Our resume basically consisted of beating Ohio State three times, and very little else. Also had 3 relatively bad losses mixed in there. We weren't even all that close to the bubble (as evidenced by the fact that we were a 4 seed in the NIT).

We were certainly good enough to be in, but didn't win the games we needed to win in the regular season.
As long as they keep filling over half the tournament with mid major teams in hopes they win a game or two, many teams that should be in won’t get in.
 
And you're still sticking to that being "100%" definite? Or are you starting to realize that you might be wrong?
How many times would you like me to say if we lose Thursday we won't get in?
And if I'm right you won't be quoting me.
 
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