sure - let’s build a slippery slope where none is needed.
sure - let’s build a slippery slope where none is needed.
Agreed. To repeat almost verbatim what I’ve said in the corn threads: As a PSU fan, I’m an outlier who wants Iowa strong and the Lion-Hawk dual winner to never exceed 5 match wins and 17 points. Get the gamblers back. Lure Gable away from scripted scenes of play-wrestle-tickle-fights. Get every Ferrari ever built (just not AJ the A-hole whose recklessness nearly killed a woman). Give me a contentious, nail-biting dual over a yawner any day. I’ll even take the occasional Hawk win because iron sharpens iron and a hard-fought loss is fierce motivation for March.While this does seem to make everything even more convoluted, in general, it's much better for our sport for Iowa to have the suspended guys back and to have a strong team. WE revel in PSU's dominance, but the sport is more interesting if Iowa can at least compete.
I agree a stronger Iowa team provides better optics for NCAA Wrestling this year. However, at the end of the day, Iowa is merely rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.While this does seem to make everything even more convoluted, in general, it's much better for our sport for Iowa to have the suspended guys back and to have a strong team. WE revel in PSU's dominance, but the sport is more interesting if Iowa can at least compete.
I think Brands is going to get the squeeze in the end. If everyone is reinstated:
149 Voinovich
157 Franek
165 Kennedy
174 Caliendo
184 Assad
197 Franklin (or AJ if they look the other way on sexual assault, too)
HWT Cass
Siebrecht and Brands are the odd men out. Siebrecht can come back for a year next year. Brands is probably just done with college (he was there for 6 years anyway...), and there was some speculation about whether or not he'd even come back for a 7th year before any of this was known.
For some reason @Random4598375 hates Nelson Brands lol. He's been raging against him on HR. PK/Brands/Caliendo is a coin flip. We'll see how it shakes out if Nelson's back.I don't see Kennedy beating Brands.
I'm calling it now, 2-1 Brands in OT.
Franek has 4 years of high level production at 157. Unless he regresses, he's a much better option than Siebrecht. Agree with the rest.This would give the Hawks a big boost at 285 and a little bit at 184, but I don't see much change at 157-174.
Franek/Caliendo/Kennedy might still be the line-up. Any 3 of Cobe, Franek, Caliendo, Kennedy, and Brands would be about the same IMO.
No Brands makes me sadI think Brands is going to get the squeeze in the end. If everyone is reinstated:
149 Voinovich
157 Franek
165 Kennedy
174 Caliendo
184 Assad
197 Franklin (or AJ if they look the other way on sexual assault, too)
HWT Cass
Siebrecht and Brands are the odd men out. Siebrecht can come back for a year next year. Brands is probably just done with college (he was there for 6 years anyway...), and there was some speculation about whether or not he'd even come back for a 7th year before any of this was known.
I may be in the majority, but I’d be ok with us curb stomping Iowa each year, sort of like the football game this year 😃Agreed. To repeat almost verbatim what I’ve said in the corn threads: As a PSU fan, I’m an outlier who wants Iowa strong and the Lion-Hawk dual winner to never exceed 5 match wins and 17 points. Get the gamblers back. Lure Gable away from scripted scenes of play-wrestle-tickle-fights. Get every Ferrari ever built (just not AJ the A-hole whose recklessness nearly killed a woman). Give me a contentious, nail-biting dual over a yawner any day. I’ll even take the occasional Hawk win because iron sharpens iron and a hard-fought loss is fierce motivation for March.
And though this is the exact right spot for bold talk, I care little about a ‘points record’ or 10 AAs. I’ll be grateful for another team title, and several more individual ones, especially someone’s first.
Franek has 4 years of high level production at 157. Unless he regresses, he's a much better option than Siebrecht. Agree with the rest.
I'm not raging against anyone. LOL. Someone is going to be squeezed out (the same way one of Haines/Mesenbrink/Facundo will be for PSU). I find it more likely to be Brands.For some reason @Random4598375 hates Nelson Brands lol. He's been raging against him on HR. PK/Brands/Caliendo is a coin flip. We'll see how it shakes out if Nelson's back.
If I had to pick, I'd go Caliendo/Brands with PK out. I'm on record as low on PK though.
Siebrecht's style is like an oasis in the desert in the Iowa room, but I don't think that he can beat out Franek.No doubt that Franek has the better resume.
Maybe it's just that I like Siebrecht's style, but I think a healthy Cobe is a sleeper in the sweepstakes.
I agree. A curb stomping would please me.I may be in the majority, but I’d be ok with us curb stomping Iowa each year, sort of like the football game this year 😃
Iowa returning all those guys would make an interesting race for 2nd place with Cornell and Missouri ... a distant 70 pts behind PSU.I agree a stronger Iowa team provides better optics for NCAA Wrestling this year. However, at the end of the day, Iowa is merely rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
If only to hear the lamentations of their womenI agree. A curb stomping would please me.
Think of how much more satisfying it will be to curb stomp their full lineup instead of half the team missing because the state of Iowa decided to take a hard line with college gambling.I agree. A curb stomping would please me.
We know nothing for sure, but if this were a Know You Iowa Wrestleoff competition, my pick is Assad.Brands had a good end to his season last year, are we sure he can't bump Assad?
In Carver no less.Think of how much more satisfying it will be to curb stomp their full lineup instead of half the team missing because the state of Iowa decided to take a hard line with college gambling.
As long as they're too deflated to throw beer at Carter, I'm good.Think of how much more satisfying it will be to curb stomp their full lineup instead of half the team missing because the state of Iowa decided to take a hard line with college gambling.
Brands is who he is - 2023 NCAA tournament or not. That is an excellent defender with limited offensive skills, making him unlikely to knock off any top contenders, capable of beating but also vulnerable to anyone else in the top 20 or so, and unlikely to lose to anyone who will struggle to qualify for NCAAs. He likely limits his upside a little at 184, so I would hardly consider him an upgrade to Assad.Brands had a good end to his season last year, are we sure he can't bump Assad?
I think it's important to note that Franek's win vs Robb was the one after which Robb realized HE WAS BATTLING FLESH EATING BACTERIA (I may be exaggerating a bit here). I realize everyone is battling ailments in March, but this one should probably get a special mention.Brands is who he is - 2023 NCAA tournament or not. That is an excellent defender with limited offensive skills, making him unlikely to knock off any top contenders, capable of beating but also vulnerable to anyone else in the top 20 or so, and unlikely to lose to anyone who will struggle to qualify for NCAAs. He likely limits his upside a little at 184, so I would hardly consider him an upgrade to Assad.
At 174, I think he will be pretty difficult for Kennedy or Caliendo to unseat just because they will be bumping up 9lbs. As far as Kennedy or Caliendo, flip a coin, both have similar upsides, I actually think Kennedy may have a higher floor, however.
Franek may be more consistent than Seibrecht over his career and will likely score more points at NCAAs, so this is an upgrade. I'm not convinced that his upside is higher than Seibrecht's - his best win in his career is in OT against Robb (which I think Seibrecht did as well) and he got handled pretty easily by Humphries twice at last year's NCAAs. Neither of them has a prayer of beating Levi this year - I think the posturing that Franek is a contender is more a reflection of the weight, and I would bet on a few younger guys to face Levi in the finals much, much quicker than Franek. The 4th place finish will be the high water mark for him IMO.
I hear ya. I’m sure yours IS the majority view here, and I understand its appeal. I just prefer to beat the best version of a top rival, not a handicapped one. There’s more pride and worth to it. And if the Dakota boys and Cass pull unlikely upsets at this season’s dual to make it competitive, I like the redemption odds of any chip-on-my-shoulder, something-to-prove Lion when it matters in March.I may be in the majority, but I’d be ok with us curb stomping Iowa each year, sort of like the football game this year 😃
Don't give them any ideas.I hear ya. I’m sure yours IS the majority view here, and I understand its appeal. I just prefer to beat the best version of a top rival, not a handicapped one. There’s more pride and worth to it. And if the Dakota boys and Cass pull unlikely upsets at this season’s dual to make it competitive, I like the redemption odds of any chip-on-my-shoulder, something-to-prove Lion when it matters in March.
I'll be shocked if the reduce the penalties on those who bet on their own university's games. That leaves a huge issue with insider knowledge. Just because it's a different sport doesn't mean that you won't have access to inside information. Kids know who is in the medical rooms for treatment. They'll know who is in concussion protocol. Wrestlers may be friends with basketball players. May see them in class, study hall, cafeteria or live in the same housing facilities. That's a huge red flag to sports books and ultimately the FBI.
Robb beat Siebrecht handily.Brands is who he is - 2023 NCAA tournament or not. That is an excellent defender with limited offensive skills, making him unlikely to knock off any top contenders, capable of beating but also vulnerable to anyone else in the top 20 or so, and unlikely to lose to anyone who will struggle to qualify for NCAAs. He likely limits his upside a little at 184, so I would hardly consider him an upgrade to Assad.
At 174, I think he will be pretty difficult for Kennedy or Caliendo to unseat just because they will be bumping up 9lbs. As far as Kennedy or Caliendo, flip a coin, both have similar upsides, I actually think Kennedy may have a higher floor, however.
Franek may be more consistent than Seibrecht over his career and will likely score more points at NCAAs, so this is an upgrade. I'm not convinced that his upside is higher than Seibrecht's - his best win in his career is in OT against Robb (which I think Seibrecht did as well) and he got handled pretty easily by Humphries twice at last year's NCAAs. Neither of them has a prayer of beating Levi this year - I think the posturing that Franek is a contender is more a reflection of the weight, and I would bet on a few younger guys to face Levi in the finals much, much quicker than Franek. The 4th place finish will be the high water mark for him IMO.
Sorry, got Seibrecht-Robb mixed up with Kennedy-Amine, I think, in my old man's brain.Robb beat Siebrecht handily.
I get why (mostly Iowa fans) like Siebrecht. His style is refreshing. He's an unheralded Iowa kid who made huge strides in his 4 seasons at Iowa (important to note this is his 5th year. A lot of people think he's young because he never saw the lineup early in his career).
However, he had losses to Model, Chumbley x2, Robb, Saldate, Gfeller, and Mike Carr last year. Several of those weren't close. Artalona was destroying him and got rolled through trying to pin him and got pinned himself.
Franek has been a consistent AA-quality guy for years. His losses at NCAA's the last 3 years:
2023 (4th) - Humphreys (8-0, 5-2)
2022 (r12) - Teemer (5-3) and Carr (4-3 - Carr scores a takedown with 20 seconds left to beat him)
2021 (r12) - Teemer (3-2) and Deakin (5-4 - scores with 5 seconds left to beat him)
All 6 losses to High AA's. Two last second losses to National Champs. Siebrecht has never approached that level. His losses last year:
Model 10-5 (finished 1-2)
Chumbley FALL (finished 2-2)
The one wildcard is that we've seen 6th year guys struggle, especially transfers. Outside of that, this is not an open competition.
Did you first check with @bnicolls ?Anyone who thinks the NCAA made any kind of gambling reductions to help Iowa wrestling need a reality check, wrestling barely registers a blip on their radar lol. To the US, Noah Shannon is a way bigger name suspended than Nelson Brands/Tony Cassioppi combined just for the fact he is a starter on a P5 team.
The NCAA is probably well aware this is extremely prevalent and they are realizing they are setting a precedent here and if a case like this is ever opened on one of their big cash cows, they can't change penalties then.
This is the whole ballgame. This isn't about the Iowan athletes. It's about them protecting themselves from State Prosecutors who they can't control publicizing even more consequential violations later.Anyone who thinks the NCAA made any kind of gambling reductions to help Iowa wrestling need a reality check, wrestling barely registers a blip on their radar lol. To the US, Noah Shannon is a way bigger name suspended than Nelson Brands/Tony Cassioppi combined just for the fact he is a starter on a P5 team.
The NCAA is probably well aware this is extremely prevalent and they are realizing they are setting a precedent here and if a case like this is ever opened on one of their big cash cows, they can't change penalties then.
Lewan was the match I mixed up with Robb - not Kennedy-Amine.You could do a lot worse than a healthy Siebrecht at NCAAs. He's shown abilities to pin people (which is invaluable if you don't expect your guy to place, two pins and they're scoring AA points) but he also has beaten Will Lewan so he can win a grind it out match against AA level guys.
As @js8793 said, there is a sentimental attachment to an Iowa kid who has progressed like he did but Siebrecht has two options now that Franek is there, make 149 and beat Voinovich (and Rathjen) or sit.
Most of us lose brain cells watching Lewan.Lewan was the match I mixed up with Robb - not Kennedy-Amine.
Thanks.
Lewan could patent the cure for insomnia and sell videos of his matches.Most of us lose brain cells watching Lewan.