Didn't Iowa burn some poor kids shirt for 1 match last year?
IMO moving Spencer to 133 is genius in my view. Do I think it will happen, no. Is there anything in it for Spencer, no. Could it back fire and Iowa lose both, yes but highly unlikely.
If we are all 100% honest and give Spencer his due. He is at another level and on a mission this year. Short of a devastating injury he is going to walk all the way to both the Hodge and #4, and most likely bonus throughout.
Heck even if Spencer went 133 and lost a decision to RBY, I think he still wins the Hodge, even if RBY and Carter go undefeated.
Let's look at the outcomes for the dual, which to me are compelling:
Scenario 1 leave things as is:
125 = Iowa 6
133 = PSU 4
Iowa heads into 141 up by 2
Scenario 2 send out Drake
125 = Iowa 3+
133 = Iowa 3 (I hate to say it but this is a 50/50 and after I remove my blue and white goggles, I have to lean Spencer)
Iowa heads into 141 by 6+
By most accounts 141, 157, 165 and HWT can go either way, with 149 and 197 up for some debate as well. Even with my Goggles off I see us taking at least 4 of 6 of those.
With a 6+ point Iowa advantage heading into 141, they negate that 4 of 6 match deficit, which won't quite be enough, but if Iowa has a 'lights out' night, those 6+ probably secure the dual.
IMO, let's put it this way, without Spencer going 133, I see Iowa with no (zero) realistic chance of winning the dual.
Is that enough to make Brands do something crazy? He is already bat shit crazy, so there is your answer.
