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Match Thread MSU dual thread - Jan 10

Dec 5, 2024
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Costa rica
WRESTLESTAT PREDICTIONS Final Team Score- PSU 43-0. INDIVIDUAL MATCH PREDICTIONS 125- #15 FR Luke Lilledahl dec #91 RSFR Caleb Weiand 8-4. Common Opponents (CO)- LL 2-0 CW 0-2. 133- #7 SO Braeden Davis dec #89 SR Tristin Lujan 7-2. CO- LL 15-3 TL 6-21, Head-to-Head (HTH) BD 3-0. 141- #2 SR Beau Bartlett TF #130 RSFR Jaden Crumpler 18-2. CO- BB 3-0 JC 0-2. 149-#3 RSSO Shayne Van Ness fall #143 RSFR Clayton Jones. CO- SVN 6-0 CJ 2-1. 157- #2 SO Taylor Kaysak TF #132 SO Braden Staffenberg 19-1. CO- TK 9-1 BS 2-9. 165- #1 RSSO Mitchel Messenbrink MD #87 SR DJ Shannon 13-2. CO- MM 5-0 DJS 0-3. 174- #2 JR Levi Haines TF #84 RSSO Ceasar Garcia 19-3. CO-4-0 CG 1-3. 184- #2 SR Carter Starocci MD #75 JR Lucas Daly 15-3. CO- CS 11-0 LD 0-6. HTH- CS 1-0. 197- #7 RSFR Josh Barr MD #44 RSFR Remy Cotton 12-2. CO- JB 2-0 RC 0-3. HWT- #1 SR Greg Kerkvliet MD #61 RSFR Max Vanadia 14-2. CO- GK 2-0 MV 0-2.
MSU DUAL MATCH NOTES. *There are not many common opponents above because there are seven freshmen or red shirt freshman wrestling. * MSU features 5 RSFR, 2 RSSO AND 2 SO, 1 JR, AND 2SR'S. *There are only two matches where there has been previous head-to-head matchups- Levi Haines at 174 and Carter Starocci at 184. *MSU's highest ranked wrestler is #44 Remy Cotton at 197. *PSU has an all-time record of 25-9 against MSU with the last loss coming in 2005. Although there have been several shutouts over the years, the largest margin of victory was a 48-3 win on the road in 2018. *Regarding the upcoming match Cael Sanderson has said that, "MSU is always scrappy and tough"
 
MSU DUAL MATCH NOTES. *There are not many common opponents above because there are seven freshmen or red shirt freshman wrestling. * MSU features 5 RSFR, 2 RSSO AND 2 SO, 1 JR, AND 2SR'S. *There are only two matches where there has been previous head-to-head matchups- Levi Haines at 174 and Carter Starocci at 184. *MSU's highest ranked wrestler is #44 Remy Cotton at 197. *PSU has an all-time record of 25-9 against MSU with the last loss coming in 2005. Although there have been several shutouts over the years, the largest margin of victory was a 48-3 win on the road in 2018. *Regarding the upcoming match Cael Sanderson has said that, "MSU is always scrappy and tough"
Davis wrestled Lujan three times last year.
 
This looks like a bonus point festival. I think WrestleStat's prediction of 43 points for PSU is way too low. I came up with 52 points & thought I was being conservative. Uff da, this is going to be a lot of tying.

PSU VS MSU (Potential match-ups & rankings from WrestleStat)
125- #15 Luke Lilledahl VS #91 Caleb Weiand (PSU TECH)
133- #7 Braeden Davis VS #89 Tristan Lujan (PSU MD)
141- #2 Beau Bartlett VS #130 Jaden Crumpler (PSU FALL)
149- #3 Shayne Van Ness VS #143 Clayton Jones (PSU FALL)
157- #2 Tyler Kasak VS #132 Braden Stauffenberg (PSU FALL)
165- #1 Mitchell Mesenbrink VS #87 DJ Shannon (PSU TECH)
174- #2 Levi Haines VS #84 Ceasar Garza (PSU FALL)
184- #1 Carter Starocci VS #75 Lucas Daly (PSU TECH)
197- #7 Josh Barr VS #44 Cotton Remy (PSU MD)
285- #1 Greg Kerkvliet VS #61 Max Vanadia (PSU TECH)

Projected Team Score

PSU: 52 (4 Falls, 4 Techs & 2 Majors)
MSU: 0
 
With the potential of a shellacking by PSU, I wonder if this might be more of a work on techniques that they might be solid on for matchups down the line?
 
This looks like a bonus point festival. I think WrestleStat's prediction of 43 points for PSU is way too low. I came up with 52 points & thought I was being conservative. Uff da, this is going to be a lot of tying.

PSU VS MSU (Potential match-ups & rankings from WrestleStat)
125- #15 Luke Lilledahl VS #91 Caleb Weiand (PSU TECH)
133- #7 Braeden Davis VS #89 Tristan Lujan (PSU MD)
141- #2 Beau Bartlett VS #130 Jaden Crumpler (PSU FALL)
149- #3 Shayne Van Ness VS #143 Clayton Jones (PSU FALL)
157- #2 Tyler Kasak VS #132 Braden Stauffenberg (PSU FALL)
165- #1 Mitchell Mesenbrink VS #87 DJ Shannon (PSU TECH)
174- #2 Levi Haines VS #84 Ceasar Garza (PSU FALL)
184- #1 Carter Starocci VS #75 Lucas Daly (PSU TECH)
197- #7 Josh Barr VS #44 Cotton Remy (PSU MD)
285- #1 Greg Kerkvliet VS #61 Max Vanadia (PSU TECH)

Projected Team Score

PSU: 52 (4 Falls, 4 Techs & 2 Majors)
MSU: 0
Looking at this reminds me of a story with a former partner at our law firm. After he had graduated from law school, he spent some time working for the US Sentencing Commission researching disparities in sentencing outcomes in capital cases. He told me he once came across a matter, in a district in the deep south, where the defendant actually pleaded guilty early in the case, acknowledged his wrongdoing, and was still sentenced to death. He turned to a colleague on the project and asked, "Isn't that, like, the maximum?"
 
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