I want to get a Big Ten school’s perspective on a few thoughts I had regarding future conference realignment. I don’t think it’s a slam dunk that the ACC (namely Clemson, FSU, Miami, and/or UNC) gets poached by the Big Ten or SEC.
To me, it all comes down to per-school payouts.
OU and Texas were bluebloods that were obvious additions for the SEC. The Big Ten added USC because they’re also a blueblood and UCLA as a travel partner that solidified the Los Angeles market. A few of the Pac-12 schools (Oregon, Stanford, Washington) make sense if it means securing Notre Dame, which would bring another payout increase.
After that, do Clemson, FSU, Miami, or others provide those same financial incentives for the Big Ten and SEC? I’m not sure. Right now, the most obvious scenario would be if they could somehow kick out certain members (e.g., Rutgers, Vanderbilt) and backfill with the aforementioned ACC schools. Besides that, I don’t think it’s a slam dunk.
Another point that was raised on our home board was that ABC/ESPN could voluntarily renegotiate the contract before 2036 and agree to a significant revenue increase that comes closer to the Big Ten/SEC’s financials than any other conference. This would satisfy them for two reasons: they’d avoid having to pay even more for schools they already “own” if they left for the SEC, and it would prevent FOX from poaching any of their properties. In fact, returning to the negotiating table before 2036 would prevent them from even getting involved. It seems like everyone would win in that case, but it would most likely be contingent on Disney keeping ABC/ESPN moving forward.
Is this just wishful thinking from a Pitt fan, or does this at least make an argument for the ACC remaining intact long-term?
To me, it all comes down to per-school payouts.
OU and Texas were bluebloods that were obvious additions for the SEC. The Big Ten added USC because they’re also a blueblood and UCLA as a travel partner that solidified the Los Angeles market. A few of the Pac-12 schools (Oregon, Stanford, Washington) make sense if it means securing Notre Dame, which would bring another payout increase.
After that, do Clemson, FSU, Miami, or others provide those same financial incentives for the Big Ten and SEC? I’m not sure. Right now, the most obvious scenario would be if they could somehow kick out certain members (e.g., Rutgers, Vanderbilt) and backfill with the aforementioned ACC schools. Besides that, I don’t think it’s a slam dunk.
Another point that was raised on our home board was that ABC/ESPN could voluntarily renegotiate the contract before 2036 and agree to a significant revenue increase that comes closer to the Big Ten/SEC’s financials than any other conference. This would satisfy them for two reasons: they’d avoid having to pay even more for schools they already “own” if they left for the SEC, and it would prevent FOX from poaching any of their properties. In fact, returning to the negotiating table before 2036 would prevent them from even getting involved. It seems like everyone would win in that case, but it would most likely be contingent on Disney keeping ABC/ESPN moving forward.
Is this just wishful thinking from a Pitt fan, or does this at least make an argument for the ACC remaining intact long-term?