It’s Iowa, however I think a game between Iowa and Pitt on a neutral field...zzzzzzzzzzzzzzz...sorry fell asleep there for a minute.
Narduzzi did a good job game planning the defense and has finally gotten an OC that optimizes Pickett’s capabilities. But in reality, Pitt’s ethos is Narduzzi’s defense. You have to factor that CJF leveraged both the Pitt and Buffalo games on the notion of playing 3-Deep no matter what. This really matters, and if you go back and watch the replays it’s mind blowing that CJF had many, many youngsters in the game when it was really close, etc.
Iowa on the other hand is a full on, all three phases type of team. Where Pitt is more one-dimensional, Ferentz will attack in all three phases and he plays the field positional incredibly well...game against UM as an example.
The only area where Pitt beats Iowa is (in order of disparity) Safeties................... OL (if Iowa is without its LT), and maybe (can’t believe I’m saying this...TE)
The other factor is that Iowa doesn’t usually “Michigan State” games at home.
Finally, although PSU is a better team now than 4-5 weeks ago, the ultimate test in the next 3 games is whether #14 gets better and better each week. Expectations are unfairly high for #14, but the reality is that for PSU to go as good as only 1 or 2 losses in regular season play, he will have to get better each week...and if he doesn’t do it quickly enough or has 1 or 2 regressions or setbacks, it’s fine.
I have some appreciation and worry about Iowa at Kinnick. That 2017 game against OSU was just so awesome and electric to watch.