Thread on testing & treatment research for COVID-19
- Thread starter dailybuck777
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I would not believe India stats. Doubt you can accuretly test a billion people.
1.3M shots yesterday so total up to 44.41M with the 7 day rolling average at 1.53M . 70.6% of shots administered is the national average, 10.2% of population with 1+ dose (note this is percent of population that has been given 1 or 2 doses, so total percent that have been pricked by a needle), 3.1% with double dose. So far, 33.6 million have received at least one dose. At least 10.3 million people have completed the two-dose vaccination regimen.
Doses delivered is 62.9M compared to yesterday 59.3M. 3.6 doses recorded delivered this week. 9.4M doses delivered last week.
95,542 positives reported yesterday compared to 116,397 week over week. 7-day rolling average as such continues it's downward trend to 108,254.
Fatality was 3265 compared to 1489 yesterday and 3713 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 2905. Disappointing that we had the traditional Tuesday reporting spike, lower week over week but was hoping that we would start to see the step change that we have seen in hospitalizations and total case load.
For Hospitalizations, Total hospitalizations in USA with Covid is 79,179 down from yesterday 80,055.
Some super news reported by Pfizer on Monday in that they are now saying they are boosting their outlook on vaccine production to nearly double based on large production efficiencies gains (they noted the time it takes to produce a vaccine was 110 days and they are the process of getting that down to 60 days) plus bringing on new production capacity lines. They are now reporting a goal of 2 BILLION doses by end of year. Tried to find some information on Moderna manufacturing and there was nothing other than they were having some issues in mid January but only vague details and nothing after that.
Hmm maybe we should have kept the elderly/nursing home crowd safe in their homes rather than sending them out with families????
In the state of Ohio, everyone over the age of 65 will be inoculated (at least the ones that want to be). In Ohio, that age group accounts for 87% of all fatalities. If the math holds, and we see an 80%+ drop in COVID deaths, is it time to open back up?
Other interesting stats for Ohio as of January 15th (great improvement since then):
Other interesting stats for Ohio as of January 15th (great improvement since then):
- COVID-19 now is the third-leading cause of death in Ohio, trailing only heart disease and cancer, and surpassing accidents, drug overdoses and all other causes.
- A total of 87% of deaths have occurred among those age 65 and older, with 53% stemming from nursing homes and long-term care facilities.
- An average of 31 Ohioans a day have died from the virus since the first death occurred on March 1.
- December was the deadliest month of the pandemic by far with 2,533 reported fatalities, an average of 82 a day.
- Of the 18 days on which 100 or more deaths were reported, 17 have occurred since Nov. 25.
- Cuyahoga (Cleveland) leads Ohio counties in deaths with 970, followed by Summit (Akron) 712, Franklin (Columbus) 704, Lucas (Toledo) 580 and Hamilton (Cincinnati) 438. Summit surpassed Franklin on Friday for the second-most deaths.
Newly reported cases have dropped 56% over the past month, based on the seven day average, marking a significantly steeper reduction than the the US saw after the spring and summer surges. Hospitalizations have declined 38% since January 6th. The seven day average of COVID-19 tests returning positive fell over the past week to 6.93% the lowest since 1031/2020. --WSJ Wednesday 2/10
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One thing I am waiting to see is if the vaccine reduces the incidence of infection sequelae for those who experience COVID. Many people seem to assume that if you survive this thing, everything is just fine. I can say from the numbers of sufferers I have seen that it’s more like getting over Mono and often much worse.
Numbers are moving in the right direction which is positive. Vaccinating the most susceptible should result in decrease in death rate... theoretically in time a drastic drop... new cases are going down.. hospitalization down... in another month ????
From the article: "It’s not clear whether the variant could cause cases — and thus hospitalizations and deaths — to increase once again, "
Not very convincing.
here’s direct link to article
David Oliver: Mistruths and misunderstandings about covid-19 death numbers
I want to set the record straight about some serious misinformation surrounding covid-19 death certification and mortality statistics. I will paraphrase some of the claims that I have heard repeatedly in the media: “People are not dying from, but with, covid-19.” “Deaths classified as from...
Not very convincing.
here’s direct link to article
David Oliver: Mistruths and misunderstandings about covid-19 death numbers
I want to set the record straight about some serious misinformation surrounding covid-19 death certification and mortality statistics. I will paraphrase some of the claims that I have heard repeatedly in the media: “People are not dying from, but with, covid-19.” “Deaths classified as from...www.bmj.com
Or if we count covid deaths the same way we count flu deaths:
Asthma drug cuts need to send Covid patients to hospital by 90%
The 28-day study of 146 patients suggested that those who inhaled the steroid budesonide reduced the risk of urgent care or hospitalization by 90 per cent when compared with usual care.
While my Dr friend at NIH wont go that far, he said they say that around 30% of the cases/deaths are overstated due to the above and some other items.
1.6M shots yesterday so total up to 46.00M with the 7 day rolling average at 1.57M . 69.7% of shots administered is the national average, 10.5% of population with 1+ dose (note this is percent of population that has been given 1 or 2 doses, so total percent that have been pricked by a needle), 3.4% with double dose. So far, 34.6 million have received at least one dose. At least 11.1 million people have completed the two-dose vaccination regimen.
Doses delivered is 66.0M compared to yesterday 62.9M. 6.7 doses recorded delivered this week. 9.4M doses delivered last week.
96,806 positives reported yesterday compared to 114,463 week over week. 7-day rolling average as such continues it's downward trend to 105,798.
Fatality was 3432 compared to 3625 yesterday and 4033 week over week, 7-day rolling fatality at 2818.
For Hospitalizations, Total hospitalizations in USA with Covid is 76,979 down from yesterday 79,179.
That's not true since many newly reported fatalities happened weeks and months ago while hospitalization data is only lagged by a day or two at most.
Plus not all deaths were currently admitted hospitalizations (ie, nursing homes).
Doubtful as here in MD I have seen days with 50 deaths but only a 12 person reduction in hospitalizations. That was a few weeks ago though. Hospitalizations and pos % are heading way down.
what do you mean gruesome? Literally every major metric is coming down. Hospitalizations are nearly half of peak. Daily positives on a very hard downward trend. Vaccinations are going well and J&J should be in the mix in 3 weeks providing a huge bump. Fatality chart I wish was coming down faster but is finally starting to trend down the last week. And we know from previous that fatality chart trails other metrics by 3-4 weeks so would expect to see the fatality chart continue to go down week over week and a certain point in the March really fall off a cliff.
I understand what you’re saying but in the past people that died were replaced by new admissions. That does not appear to be happening at the same rate. Hospitalizations are way down. Reports were that deaths often occurred after four to six weeks of hospitalization so you can expect the death totals to drop soon.
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