I agree with a few posts on this thread. I would say that Michigan and Penn State both control their own destiny. Yes, I know some teams have 9 or 10 qualifiers, but they realistically have no chance. Brooks and Amine wrestled a close match at the dual and a close match at Big Ten's. There is no reason to think they won't wrestle another close match, which could go either way. (I do believe Brooks will win, so don't get me wrong.) If our guys wrestle the way we expect them to and Michigan's guys wrestle the way they did in the Big Ten Tournament, then it very well could come down to who wins: Brooks or Amine.
I want to believe the posters who have repeatedly said that Michigan won't perform as well at NCAA's. I hope that's the case, and if so, then we clearly control our own destiny and it may not be close. Let's be honest, RBY vs. Fix is going to be a tough one and again Brooks vs. Amine could go either way.
I don't see anyone else having a real chance. A guess an argument could be made for Iowa, but they will need some help to get there. I feel more confident now than I did at the start of the season (pre Berge, pre Hildebrandt--yes I know he didn't contribute at the conference tournament, and with so much uncertainty at 197).
With all that said, I do expect us to win!