Notre Dame won at Texas A&M and beat Louisville, which are two way, way more impressive wins than anything PSU has. So maybe you should just sit a couple of plays out.Notre Dame lost to NIU and hasn't beat anyone. Absolutely no one.
Notre Dame won at Texas A&M and beat Louisville, which are two way, way more impressive wins than anything PSU has. So maybe you should just sit a couple of plays out.Notre Dame lost to NIU and hasn't beat anyone. Absolutely no one.
Who has Miami beat? Who has Indiana beat? Who?OSU beat a decent Iowa team at home and Iowa is a totally different team on the road than they are at home, and an overrated PSU; other than that, their schedule stinks just as much as you think Miami's schedule stinks.
Frankly, I'm tired of making teams like OSU this season seem better than what they are. Like I said, this OSU team is good defensively, but was ripped apart by Oregon when Oregon had to play most of the game without two of their wide receivers. Also, as soon as OSU started to play some defenses with a pulse, like Iowa, Nebraska and PSU, their offense all of a sudden became rather ordinary. If PSU was even a little bit more competent, which I guess is too much to expect, this "great" OSU team would have two losses and out of the playoff picture.
The only thing that really matters for teams in big conferences is the final record. Oregon has had a shit schedule except for one game.That same ESPN FPI had Ohio State ranked ahead of Oregon going into last week, so I'm going to go out on a limb and say it is worthless.
Louisville is garbage and A&M just lost by 24 to USCe. Neither are impressive wins just like we dont have any. They need wins to offset a loss to a MAC team. Find that win. A&M losing hurt them a ton.Notre Dame won at Texas A&M and beat Louisville, which are two way, way more impressive wins than anything PSU has. So maybe you should just sit a couple of plays out.
Oregon has 2 top 15 wins...The only thing that really matters for teams in big conferences is the final record. Oregon has had a shit schedule except for one game.
As I said, every team in the B1G is good with the exception of Purdue. You've got to bring it every week for a conference game. And teams go up and down. I'd argue WVU was a good team to start the season but has been decimated. USC is the same. I've also noticed that west coast teams have played well at home but suck on the road. That travel, with the limited college time between games, has had an effect. On the other hand, Indiana is playing way over their heads but has not played a really good team yet.
That's the biggest problem as we all can see. Ohio State has exposed PSU's offensive inadequacies to the next 4 teams we play. PSU has NO credible offensive threats at this point in the season besides Warren. Singleton is not explosive, Allen is tough but slow, NONE of the WR's have caught a TD in the first 5 B1G games and the one real threat, Warren, can only do so much on his own. Teams now just have to play tight D on the WR's because penalties aren't being called as much this season and crowd the LOS to stop the RB's. The Defense is going to have to win the rest of the games for us if we are, in fact, the team that showed up in the OSU game.We have highly rated players like Allar, Singleton, Carter, & Sutton but we haven't always shown up on the field. Allar is middle of the pack in passing yards in the BiG. Singleton is 13th in rushing yards. We're 16th in team sacks with 17 (Indy has 31). We're 9th in interceptions. That's not good for a team that focuses on explosive plays.
So we should tell them no thanks we'll sit this one out when the tell us we are in - strange position arguing like hell how much we suck as a fan.I think it is as clear as this: PSU is in if they win out. They are out if they lose one more. No way in hell is PSU deserving of a playoff spot with 2 losses considering the schedule they played. Teams with 3 losses (possibly Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, Texas, Texas A&M) would be more deserving because they would have much better wins.
With 2 losses, we will be a very clear 4th in the Big Ten pecking order.
1. Oregon
2. OSU/Indiana winner
3. OSU/Indiana loser
4. Penn State
Not sure how you can argue against that.
Before the season, I had us pegged at #10 to #12, which I believe is more realistic for this team than #3. Unfortunately, I now believe that we're probably closer to a #15 level team.
That OSU team that we just played also is overrated at this moment, despite all of their NIL, etc. They not only would've lost to many of the other top 10 teams on Saturday, but they would've lost quite handily. That team, despite having a better defense, isn't anywhere close to the teams that were led by Fields and Stroud.
Ohio State has exposed PSU's offensive inadequacies to the next 4 teams we play.
You make a good point but I don't think tOSU played us any different than Ill or Wisconsin. They just had better talent.That's the biggest problem as we all can see. Ohio State has exposed PSU's offensive inadequacies to the next 4 teams we play. PSU has NO credible offensive threats at this point in the season besides Warren. Singleton is not explosive, Allen is tough but slow, NONE of the WR's have caught a TD in the first 5 B1G games and the one real threat, Warren, can only do so much on his own. Teams now just have to play tight D on the WR's because penalties aren't being called as much this season and crowd the LOS to stop the RB's. The Defense is going to have to win the rest of the games for us if we are, in fact, the team that showed up in the OSU game.
Ya and they lost to northern illinois who are 1-3 in the MACNotre Dame won at Texas A&M and beat Louisville, which are two way, way more impressive wins than anything PSU has. So maybe you should just sit a couple of plays out.
That doesn't matter though--they beat A&M week 1 who just lost to USCe by 24.Ya and they lost to northern illinois who are 1-3 in the MAC
We aren't clearly the 4th team--good chance we're the 3rd teamWith 2 losses, PSU is clearly the #4 Big Ten team. So then the question becomes, does the Big Ten get 4 teams in the playoff?
SEC champ, Big Ten champ, ACC champ, Big 12 champ, group of 5 are all in. That is 5 spots down.
The other 2 Big Ten teams ahead of us would be in. 7 spots are gone.
Whoever wins the SEC, you have to expect at least 2 other SEC teams are in. 9 spots are gone.
Notre Dame is in if it wins out. It is possible they get in ahead of PSU even if they lose one. 10 spots are gone.
The only way the Big Ten gets 4 teams in is if the SEC gets 4 in. They are the better conference this year. 11 spots are gone.
ONE SPOT LEFT
Is it the 4th Big Ten team (Penn State)? Is it a 5th SEC team (Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, LSU, Texas A&M all would have arguments).
Non-ACC champ could get in. Especially if an undefeated Miami loses the ACC championship game.
Non-Big 12 champ could get in. BYU/Iowa State.
Washington State could end up 11-1.
Looks to me like a 2 loss Penn State team is going to be out.
yep. but that is no surprise. no two-loss team will make the playoff unless they are GA, AL, or tOSU. They probably don't deserve it either. And if we lose again, we don't deserve a place in the playoffs IMHO.With 2 losses, PSU is clearly the #4 Big Ten team. So then the question becomes, does the Big Ten get 4 teams in the playoff?
SEC champ, Big Ten champ, ACC champ, Big 12 champ, group of 5 are all in. That is 5 spots down.
The other 2 Big Ten teams ahead of us would be in. 7 spots are gone.
Whoever wins the SEC, you have to expect at least 2 other SEC teams are in. 9 spots are gone.
Notre Dame is in if it wins out. It is possible they get in ahead of PSU even if they lose one. 10 spots are gone.
The only way the Big Ten gets 4 teams in is if the SEC gets 4 in. They are the better conference this year. 11 spots are gone.
ONE SPOT LEFT
Is it the 4th Big Ten team (Penn State)? Is it a 5th SEC team (Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Tennessee, Ole Miss, LSU, Texas A&M all would have arguments).
Non-ACC champ could get in. Especially if an undefeated Miami loses the ACC championship game.
Non-Big 12 champ could get in. BYU/Iowa State.
Washington State could end up 11-1.
Looks to me like a 2 loss Penn State team is going to be out.
In a 12 team playoff, they're the only two loss teamsyep. but that is no surprise. no two-loss team will make the playoff unless they are GA, AL, or tOSU. They probably don't deserve it either. And if we lose again, we don't deserve a place in the playoffs IMHO.
it is all under our control. we don't need to hope for anyone else to lose. If we end 11-1, we'll be in the playoffs.
The committee isn't going to just look at win/loss record and rank teams that way like the AP poll does. It is going to look more closely at the full resume. A PSU team with 2 losses is going to have a pretty weak resume. The committee won't hesitate to rank 3-loss teams over 2-loss teams if those 3-loss teams have played tougher schedules and have better wins. The playoff committee values good wins more than it values "good" losses.We aren't clearly the 4th team--good chance we're the 3rd team
The SEC doesn't need 4 for us to get 4 and they definitely aren't getting 5
Wazzu has no shot
Miami is the only non-Big XII/ACC champ that gets in
You're so emotional--good God
Regarding Washington's defense, their middle linebacker Bruener, who had a great game, hyperextended his knee on the last drive against USC, but played the rest of the game. I wouldn't be surprised if he's limited this week if he plays.You make a good point but I don't think tOSU played us any different than Ill or Wisconsin. They just had better talent.
Washington has one of the best pass defenses in all of college football. But their run D isn't that good.
For example, I was shocked USC abandoned the running game against W. They averaged 5.7 yards per carry but only ran the ball 29 times. They passed the ball FIFTY TIMES! And it isn't like they were playing catch up. They were leading by 1 going into Q4 and didn't trail by more than five in the final quarter. USC had THREE interceptions. Riley is just pass happy I guess.
good catch. i was going to mention that. Kid had a great game. I think he got hurt on their second to last play. In the post game, he said he was OK.Regarding Washington's defense, their middle linebacker Bruener, who had a great game, hyperextended his knee on the last drive against USC, but played the rest of the game. I wouldn't be surprised if he's limited this week if he plays.
Non-ACC champ could get in. Especially if an undefeated Miami loses the ACC championship game.
Non-Big 12 champ could get in. BYU/Iowa State.
Washington State could end up 11-1.
Looks to me like a 2 loss Penn State team is going to be out.
He's the son of former Steeler tight end Mark Bruener.good catch. i was going to mention that. Kid had a great game. I think he got hurt on their second to last play. In the post game, he said he was OK.
Well, if you guys are saying a 2-loss PSU (with no ranked wins) gets in over these hypothetical 1-loss teams, how can you NOT see the possibility that a 2-loss PSU does NOT get in over 3-loss teams with high quality wins?Miami losing the ccg is the only way the ACC gets 2 teams in. Clemson dropping its 2nd game *really* hurts the leagues image.
I don't think the same thing happens with the Big 12 even if Iowa State upsets an undefeated BYU. The brands, the image, it just isn't there.
Wazzou at 11-1, who will they have beaten? Washington? They likely end up with 5 or 6 losses. They are in the running with Boise State for the G5 and Boise beat them by 3 TDs. They *ARE NOT* getting in. Period.
It's amazing that you have such faith in others and zero in our team.
The committee isn't going to just look at win/loss record and rank teams that way like the AP poll does. It is going to look more closely at the full resume. A PSU team with 2 losses is going to have a pretty weak resume. The committee won't hesitate to rank 3-loss teams over 2-loss teams if those 3-loss teams have played tougher schedules and have better wins. The playoff committee values good wins more than it values "good" losses.
They'd be a 1-loss team with their only loss being to a playoff team. And their win over Texas Tech is as good as any of our wins. Objectively, I'd say they'd deserve to be in over PSU.Yet you think 11-1 Wazzou has a shot at a playoff spot?
C'mon now. Apply the same strict rules to these other teams and you will find that we stack up favorably with them all.
Well, if you guys are saying a 2-loss PSU (with no ranked wins) gets in over these hypothetical 1-loss teams, how can you NOT see the possibility that a 2-loss PSU does NOT get in over 3-loss teams with high quality wins?
he had a great game against SC. 12 tackles, 2 interceptions, and 2 pass breakupsHe's the son of former Steeler tight end Mark Bruener.
My dad grew up in Seattle and was a Husky fan, so I've always had a little affinity for them.
The AP/Coaches don't look at win/loss record--see the standingThe committee isn't going to just look at win/loss record and rank teams that way like the AP poll does. It is going to look more closely at the full resume. A PSU team with 2 losses is going to have a pretty weak resume. The committee won't hesitate to rank 3-loss teams over 2-loss teams if those 3-loss teams have played tougher schedules and have better wins. The playoff committee values good wins more than it values "good" losses.
This is what we mean about you being clueless--not objective.They'd be a 1-loss team with their only loss being to a playoff team. And their win over Texas Tech is as good as any of our wins. Objectively, I'd say they'd deserve to be in over PSU.
The SEC is likely to end up with a few 3 losses teams that will all have better resumes than a 2-loss Penn State.Because the Big 10 is the #2 conference by a large margin.
Who is the 3 loss team with a high quality win? One doesn't currently exist, does it? Hypothetically, are we talking about Bama/LSU loser?
I'm not saying definitively that we are in with 2 losses, but I'm also not trying to prop up 5 others with terrible schedules just to hypothesis why we won't make it.
Not so fast my friend. No one really knows what criteria the committee will use to select at-large playoff teams. There is a very real possibility that the committee will not want to start a precedent of allowing 3-loss teams into the playoff. They didn't want 2-loss teams to get into the 4-team playoff for a long time, as 2016 Penn State can attest to.The committee isn't going to just look at win/loss record and rank teams that way like the AP poll does. It is going to look more closely at the full resume. A PSU team with 2 losses is going to have a pretty weak resume. The committee won't hesitate to rank 3-loss teams over 2-loss teams if those 3-loss teams have played tougher schedules and have better wins. The playoff committee values good wins more than it values "good" losses.
Who has Penn State beaten that is better?Texas Tech lmao
They'd be a 1-loss team with their only loss being to a playoff team. And their win over Texas Tech is as good as any of our wins. Objectively, I'd say they'd deserve to be in over PSU.
Texas Tech lost to Baylor by 24 at homeWho has Penn State beaten that is better?
Exactly.
The SEC is likely to end up with a few 3 losses teams that will all have better resumes than a 2-loss Penn State.
Illinois might be better than Texas Tech. They also might not be. It is certainly close, which is my point. Illinois is probably PSU's best win, and will be if they finish with 2 losses. Not good!Texas Tech lost to Baylor by 24 at home
This is you thinking they're win against an overrated Iowa State makes them good
Illinois is better
Hell WVU is better and we know what I think of WVU
How are they not?Illinois might be better than Texas Tech. They also might not be. It is certainly close, which is my point. Illinois is probably PSU's best win, and will be if they finish with 2 losses. Not good!
I hate the SEC, but any SEC that ends up with 3 losses will likely have a better resume than a 2-loss PSU. The SEC is better than the Big Ten this year, and PSU does not play Oregon or Indiana, Iowa, or Michigan this year. Pathetic non-conference schedule to boot.And the SEC only plays 8 conference games. Most of them have another cupcake in that 4th spot.
I'm still waiting on you to tell me who these better resumes are. Bama is the only one I'd have any concern with.
Now Michigan is good?I hate the SEC, but any SEC that ends up with 3 losses will likely have a better resume than a 2-loss PSU. The SEC is better than the Big Ten this year, and PSU does not play Oregon or Indiana, Iowa, or Michigan this year. Pathetic non-conference schedule to boot.
I hate the SEC, but any SEC that ends up with 3 losses will likely have a better resume than a 2-loss PSU. The SEC is better than the Big Ten this year, and PSU does not play Oregon or Indiana, Iowa, or Michigan this year. Pathetic non-conference schedule to boot.