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Willie's Crystal Ball, NCAAs Edition

My first thought as well. RBY is so good defensively I think RBY now has the counter to stop it. I think Desanto knows it too.
If they meet again Desanto should just go for broke. Who cares if RBY locks up the cradle and he gets pinned. Unless of course the team race is close. Just tired of watching him cling to a leg and hope, that isn’t getting it done
 
If they meet again Desanto should just go for broke. Who cares if RBY locks up the cradle and he gets pinned. Unless of course the team race is close. Just tired of watching him cling to a leg and hope, that isn’t getting it done
At first (after RBY’s Houdini arm trick) I thought AD was just trying to up the volume of shots in hopes one landed, but RBY just had too good of defense. AD has the tank to go as long as anybody. But at this point, the entire strategy seems to be “try for stall points” because there is no motion whatsoever once he gets to the leg. He certainly seems at the end of their matches like he expected to win, but a winning strategy is not being employed. I’m not really sure what’s going on in the Hawkeye room relative to this matchup.
 
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My first thought as well. RBY is so good defensively I think RBY now has the counter to stop it. I think Desanto knows it too.
I do know one way to counter ADS’ dump that works quite well as long as he doesn’t catch the inside of the leg with his hand that is not trapping the elbow. Between his quickness and athletic ability, RBY would cream him with it.
 
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just remember in these close matches it only takes one really good shot or a small mistake to be on the wrong end. Here is to lighting it up in the 3rd period next time!
 
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At first (after RBY’s Houdini arm trick) I thought AD was just trying to up the volume of shots in hopes one landed, but RBY just had too good of defense. AD has the tank to go as long as anybody. But at this point, the entire strategy seems to be “try for stall points” because there is no motion whatsoever once he gets to the leg. He certainly seems at the end of their matches like he expected to win, but a winning strategy is not being employed. I’m not really sure what’s going on in the Hawkeye room relative to this matchup.
Preparing a game plan that involves stall calls, and to be successful relies on getting multiple stall calls is definitely a TnT POA.
 
At first (after RBY’s Houdini arm trick) I thought AD was just trying to up the volume of shots in hopes one landed, but RBY just had too good of defense. AD has the tank to go as long as anybody. But at this point, the entire strategy seems to be “try for stall points” because there is no motion whatsoever once he gets to the leg. He certainly seems at the end of their matches like he expected to win, but a winning strategy is not being employed. I’m not really sure what’s going on in the Hawkeye room relative to this matchup.
I'm thinking if rby keeps playing around desanto is going to beat him. I thought the same when AB lost to amine. Just score. Waiting for that last second take down is a killer either way sometimes they don't go your way. Why risk it. Along with the fact I can't take it anymore when rby pulls that one point win.
 
If they meet again Desanto should just go for broke. Who cares if RBY locks up the cradle and he gets pinned. Unless of course the team race is close. Just tired of watching him cling to a leg and hope, that isn’t getting it done
I have to admit, I love the idea of DeSanto going all in wrestling RBY. Not in the same manner, but can we all say Sammy meet Bo.
 
174 seeds per the Nomadic One:
1. Carter
2. Mekhi
3. Massa
4. Hayden
5. Smith
6. Labs
7. Kemerer
8. Plott
9. O'Malley
 
That definitely is a factor and potentially the reason Willie has been on the Fix > RBY train all year. Fix was pinning last year though.
This and other comments about Fix piqued my interest in comparing his performance this year to last. No question that he's scary good and a definite threat to beat anyone on any given day. But I'm not sure his record supports the conclusion that he's performing better without the weight mgmt issue he was dealing with at NCAAs last year. Some noteworthy data from Wrestlestat.

Fix's bonus rate was higher last year.

2022
Bonus: 71.43%
MD = 5
TF = 5
FALL = 5
2021
Bonus: 78.57%
MD = 3
TF = 2
FALL = 6

It's interesting that he has a similar bonus breakdown despite having wrestled 7 more bouts this season. He also has no falls against top 20 opponents this year (Wrestlestat ranking), but 3 of his 5 pins last year were against top 15 guys.

As seen from his record below, his performance against higher ranked competition was arguably better last year. Noteworthy perhaps that he beat ADS by the same 2 point margin both seasons.

Fix definitely had an impressive season, although it seems there's a strength of schedule argument that could be made vis-a-vis RBY. Even so, I'm already nervous about their potential matchup at nationals. If it happens, I'll be praying for a good referee draw this year!

2021
4-2 Loss -- #4 RBY (PSU)
3-2 DEC -- #3 Austin DeSanto (Iowa)
FALL -- #10 Chris Cannon (Northwestern)
FALL -- #14 Malyke Hines (Lehigh)
16-3 MD -- #80 Cole Rhone (Bloomsburg)
6-1 DEC -- #41 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
21-5 TF -- #42 Mosha Schwartz (N. Colo.)
16-4 MD -- #65 Ty Smith (Utah Valley)
19-7 MD -- #15 Kellyn March (ND State)
FALL -- #41 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
16-1 TF -- #16 Trey Crawford (Mizzou)
FALL -- #22 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
FALL -- #12 Ryan Sullivan (W. Va.)
FALL -- #104 Cameron Valdiviez (Mizzou)
2022
6-2 DEC -- #15 Kyle Biscoglia (N. Iowa)
17-2 TF -- #67 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
18-3 TF -- #162 Dyson Kunz (N. Colo)
13-3 MD -- #33 Ramazan Attasauov (ISU)
12-4 MD -- #39 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
21-6 TF -- #63 Kurt Phipps (Bucknell)
5-3 DEC -- #3 Austin DeSanto (Iowa)
22-7 TF -- #72 Trey Crawford (Mizzou)
FALL -- #58 Gabriel Tagg (SD State)
5-1 DEC -- #33 Ramazan Attasauov (ISU)
5-1 DEC -- #15 Kyle Biscoglia (N. Iowa)
FALL -- #21 Malyke Hines (Lehigh)
13-4 MD -- #68 Angelo Rini (Columbia)
17-2 TF -- #125 Jaylen Carson (Little Rock)
8-3 DEC -- #43 Haiden Drury (Utah Valley)
10-1 MD -- #67 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
FALL -- #45 Sidney Flores (Air Force)
FALL -- #39 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
FALL -- #176 Deon Pleasant (Drexel)
18-7 MD -- #40 Jake Gliva (Minn.)
7-3 DEC -- #81 Jackson DiSario (Stanford)
 
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At first (after RBY’s Houdini arm trick) I thought AD was just trying to up the volume of shots in hopes one landed, but RBY just had too good of defense. AD has the tank to go as long as anybody. But at this point, the entire strategy seems to be “try for stall points” because there is no motion whatsoever once he gets to the leg. He certainly seems at the end of their matches like he expected to win, but a winning strategy is not being employed. I’m not really sure what’s going on in the Hawkeye room relative to this matchup.
So, you're saying the greatest lightweight room in the world can't get the job done?
 
I'm not sure where to post but has Gomez and Yianni ever wrestled. ? I was too lazy to research.
Gomez had great tournament. Sasso had nothing for him in the 3rd which is normally his go period.
 
This and other comments about Fix piqued my interest in comparing his performance this year to last. No question that he's scary good and a definite threat to beat anyone on any given day. But I'm not sure his record supports the conclusion that he's performing better without the weight mgmt issue he was dealing with at NCAAs last year. Some noteworthy data from Wrestlestat.

Fix's bonus rate was higher last year.

2022
Bonus: 71.43%
MD = 5
TF = 5
FALL = 5
2021
Bonus: 78.57%
MD = 3
TF = 2
FALL = 6

It's interesting that he has a similar bonus breakdown despite having wrestled 7 more bouts this season. He also has no falls against top 20 opponents this year (Wrestlestat ranking), but 3 of his 5 pins last year were against top 15 guys.

As seen from his record below, his performance against higher ranked competition was arguably better last year. Noteworthy perhaps that he beat ADS by the same 2 point margin both seasons.

Fix definitely had an impressive season, although it seems there's a strength of schedule argument that could be made vis-a-vis RBY. Even so, I'm already nervous about their potential matchup at nationals. If it happens, I'll be praying for a good referee draw this year!

2021
4-2 Loss -- #4 RBY (PSU)
3-2 DEC -- #3 Austin DeSanto (Iowa)
FALL -- #10 Chris Cannon (Northwestern)
FALL -- #14 Malyke Hines (Lehigh)
16-3 MD -- #80 Cole Rhone (Bloomsburg)
6-1 DEC -- #41 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
21-5 TF -- #42 Mosha Schwartz (N. Colo.)
16-4 MD -- #65 Ty Smith (Utah Valley)
19-7 MD -- #15 Kellyn March (ND State)
FALL -- #41 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
16-1 TF -- #16 Trey Crawford (Mizzou)
FALL -- #22 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
FALL -- #12 Ryan Sullivan (W. Va.)
FALL -- #104 Cameron Valdiviez (Mizzou)
2022
6-2 DEC -- #15 Kyle Biscoglia (N. Iowa)
17-2 TF -- #67 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
18-3 TF -- #162 Dyson Kunz (N. Colo)
13-3 MD -- #33 Ramazan Attasauov (ISU)
12-4 MD -- #39 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
21-6 TF -- #63 Kurt Phipps (Bucknell)
5-3 DEC -- #3 Austin DeSanto (Iowa)
22-7 TF -- #72 Trey Crawford (Mizzou)
FALL -- #58 Gabriel Tagg (SD State)
5-1 DEC -- #33 Ramazan Attasauov (ISU)
5-1 DEC -- #15 Kyle Biscoglia (N. Iowa)
FALL -- #21 Malyke Hines (Lehigh)
13-4 MD -- #68 Angelo Rini (Columbia)
17-2 TF -- #125 Jaylen Carson (Little Rock)
8-3 DEC -- #43 Haiden Drury (Utah Valley)
10-1 MD -- #67 Job Greenwood (Wyoming)
FALL -- #45 Sidney Flores (Air Force)
FALL -- #39 Anthony Madrigal (OU)
FALL -- #176 Deon Pleasant (Drexel)
18-7 MD -- #40 Jake Gliva (Minn.)
7-3 DEC -- #81 Jackson DiSario (Stanford)
it was not the same margin (3-2 v. 5-3). but furtermore, this is where box scores can be deceptive. it was only an extra point, but the matches were totally different. last year, fix scored on a counter takedown early and then got pushed around the mat for 6 minutes, not doing anything. this year he was in on multiple attacks, held his ground, and desanto never got a whiff. there was never a moment in the match where he was in danger of losing.
 
I'm not sure where to post but has Gomez and Yianni ever wrestled. ? I was too lazy to research.
Gomez had great tournament. Sasso had nothing for him in the 3rd which is normally his go period.
Diakomihalis vs Gomez will be a good one, no doubt, assuming it happens.

As far as Gomez, his pin of Lovett in the B1G semi's was pretty impressive too. For those that haven't seen it, I recommend it if you have BTN+ and can find it (It's under the Semifinals video).
 
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I'm not sure where to post but has Gomez and Yianni ever wrestled. ? I was too lazy to research.
Gomez had great tournament. Sasso had nothing for him in the 3rd which is normally his go period.
They wrestled on Feb 20 at the Cornell/Wisconsin dual. Yianni won 12-6

1st period Yianni had 3 TD’s, Gomez 2 escapes. 6-2 Yianni

2nd period Yianni chose bottom. Reversal, escape Gomez, TD Gomez, escape Yianni. 9-5 Yianni

3rd period Gomez chose bottom, escape, Yianni TD and rideout. Yianni gets riding time
 
Diakomihalis vs Gomez will be a good one, no doubt, assuming it happens.

As far as Gomez, his pin of Lovett in the B1G semi's was pretty impressive too. For those that haven't seen it, I recommend it if you have BTN+ and can find it (It's under the Semifinals video).
The 0:20 pin was one of the highlights of the tournament, along with the post match interview where he said no one can compete with him upper body and then came out and immediately tried to throw Sasso with the same move in the finals. Love his moxy.
 
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Diakomihalis vs Gomez will be a good one, no doubt, assuming it happens.

As far as Gomez, his pin of Lovett in the B1G semi's was pretty impressive too. For those that haven't seen it, I recommend it if you have BTN+ and can find it (It's under the Semifinals video).
Was super-impressed by Gomez at the B1G tourney. The quick fall against Lovett in the semis was nice, but his performance against Sasso in the finals was even more impressive. He went for a big upper body move early (perhaps a bad decision), but Sasso was ready for it and it didn't work. So Gomez down 0-2 early. Okay, no problem. Gomez proceeds to take down Sasso three times, all on leg attacks. Sasso is an elite defender, and is really difficult to score against. Just very impressive from Gomez.
 
The 0:20 pin was one of the highlights of the tournament, along with the post match interview where he said no one can compete with him upper body and then came out and immediately tried to throw Sasso with the same move in the finals. Love his moxy.
kid is a goer, no doubt. sometimes to his detriment. he threw himself out of his match with desanto in the r12 his freshman year. was down 12-1 at the end of the first lol. no fear.
 
kid is a goer, no doubt. sometimes to his detriment. he threw himself out of his match with desanto in the r12 his freshman year. was down 12-1 at the end of the first lol. no fear.
Sometimes it works, sometimes it might not, but it's fun either way. Doing low probability things that don't work would irk me more if he were a PSU wrestler (like Kerk going for the throws against Cass), but as a neutral fan, it's great. The rest of the Sasso match was even more impressive wrestling even if it wasn't as spectacular. He basically announced after the semis that he was going to go for throws, and he came out and tried it against Sasso. When Sasso backed away, he tried the 6 point front headlock roll move instead, which ended up not working. But after that, he went the more traditional route and just took Sasso down 3 times with normal shots. Very impressive all around.
 
thanks for reading guys.

i certainly could see RBY winning again. two horse race imo (as has remained constant since preseason).

but i want to see RBY win again before i give him the edge.

same situation at 184. myles can and has. but i gotta see it again before i think about picking him.
 
haha. touche.

also, 157 after a couple guys is a total crapshoot and i have no strong feelings or indications either way among the following

Young, Berge, Lewan, Robb, OConnor, Scott, Monday, Franek, Humphreys

not only are they all about even, most are all low-scorers. idk how, with a straight face, anyone could make a compelling case for a certain finish or expectation.
 
I'm certainly hoping Berge has good tournament.
I was shocked he had his first pin in PSU singlet. I would of thought someone would of did something stupid and got caught.
 
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