On balance I have no issue with someone predicting only 2 or 3 champs. One of these years were might encounter a peaking performance anomaly or even something more tangible like a flu running through the squad in March.
As great as Cael is, the kids still have to go out and execute flawlessly, and win. Win against kids who are arguably as talented, and work just as hard. We have had numerous OT champs which is a dance on the head of a pin.
Cael's 'formula' has demonstrated other worldly results flipping the bird to traditional statistics, especially with respect to success from the Nationals semis on.
I can see this team getting as many as 6 into the semis, and that is not a stretch. Wow!
Maintaining the same win percentage in the semis and the finals? Only Cael's program has a chance at delivering more than 50% success, but expecting the same rediculously successful results forever is optimistic.
The competition adapts and imitates. TnT now talk about "fun" , granted noone in the whole state of Iowa, let alone anyone on that team ever smiles. Nearly every team plays dodgeball now. Ben is constantly taking about proper nutrition and the importance of sleep, and how programs are recording their efforts in these areas. Fewer teams force rediculous cuts. Covid taught most programs the benefits of wrestling less, and competing in fewer intense early season tourneys.
Nature abhors a monopoly, and the gap can't help but close. That said Cael is not stagnant and constant improvement of his own approach is always in action. This is the golden era of PSU wrestling.