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Assault on the PSU Record Book

RoarLions1

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May 11, 2012
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It started with the likes of Quentin Wright, and Frank Molinaro, then really picked up steam with arguably the best 1-2 punch (same team) in the history of college wrestling, Ed Ruth and David Taylor. Nico Megaludis and Matt Brown added their mark on the program, and while opposing fans were waiting for the departure of these guys, especially DT and ER, little did many know that the pipeline of talent would continue and…was it possible…be better? Too early to say THAT, from an individual stand-point, as the guys on this year’s team, except Jimmy, still have eligibility. The overall TEAM talent IS better than ever, but this review features individual results only. Here we go;

Career Wins and Career Win %
The Career Wins record won’t be touched for a long while imo, given the reduced schedules compared to “back in the day”. Zain, with 95 wins, sits at 33th all-time, and could be top 10 all-time when he finishes (he needs 26 wins to be tied for 10th), but is 60 wins behind #1 Jimmy Martin (or should I say Dr. Jim Martin). No wrestler in the Cael era will reach even 40 bouts/year, so the top guys at this metric are untouchable. Jason and Bo have 60 and 59 wins respectively, so they’ll have to wrestle 31 matches per year, and win them all, just to be top-10. Others (Hall, Cenzo, etc.) are just getting their careers started.

More impressive is Career Win %. Ed and David sit #1 and #2, separated by a couple hundredths of a %, both having 3 losses in their career, but Ed has 2 more wins. Zain sits at #3, winning 96.9% of his bouts, but will not, even if he is undefeated in 2017-18, overtake the top 2. With 3 losses (same as ER and DT), he simply won’t get enough bouts to have more wins, and will likely be a couple hundredths of a % less than DT. Jason is #4, and Bo #6 currently, at 96.8% and 95.2% respectively, and are separated by Andy Matter’s 96.8%. Bo will surely end top-10, as will Jason, but both have 2 years to wrestle, so this metric is unfinished for them. Jason, with only 2 losses in his career, is the only current wrestler that can overtake the #1 spot. No more losses, and 31 more wins, and he’ll sneak by ER by the slimmest of margins.

Hard to believe that five of the top 6 spots for Career Win % are wrestlers that have come through the program in the past 7 years, and this story, with Zain, Jason, and Bo with eligibility left, is still being written. Add Mark Hall (#11 on the list), at 91.2% wins, and one can understand the overall recent success.

Career Falls and Career Fall %
The pinnacle of a wrestling win is the Fall. Some do it better than others, and evidence suggests that some on our recent and current roster are the best in our history of registering Falls.

The Career Fall record is owned by David Taylor and Josh Moore, at 53, and seven ahead of #3 Ed Ruth. Zain sits alone in 5th, with 36, needing to match his 2016-17 total of 17 to tie for first. With 4 in his true freshman season, he got off to a slow start, but looks poised to challenge for the top spot. At 29 Falls, and only just finishing his sophomore season, Jason currently sits tied for 14th, and has the best shot of securing #1 all-time...if his current rate continues. Bo, with 25, sitting tied for 19th, also will approach, if not exceed the current top stop. Could we be witnessing the top-3 PSU pinners all-time, and all in the same PSU line-up?

Career Fall % can rise or fall sharply, as it’s a percentage, so the following info can fluctuate wildly as the next couple of seasons unfold. #1 is Ross Shaffer (1936-38), #3 is S.S. Rumbaugh (1925-26), and #5 is Charley Ridenour (1941-43). Great accomplishments, though I’ll be focusing on the modern era. Nolf is #2 all-time, at 46.8% (29 of 62), ahead of #4 Cary Kolat (42.4%), for the highest in the modern era. All-time, Bo (7th), Zain (17th), and Mark (18th), are in the top-20.

Career Tech Falls
The 3 guys going for the Career Fall Record, also are top-20 in Career Tech Falls. With 42, and the master of the Tech Fall, David Taylor may never be touched, as he’s 15 in front of #2 Jimmy Martin. Still, Jason sits #5, with 19, Zain sits #7, with 17, and Bo sits tied for #17, with 8. Jason could end up vying for the #2 spot by the time his career is over, Zain should easily be top-5, and Bo should approach top-10. The mind-set appears to be “if I can’t win by Fall, I’ll Tech the guy”.

More to come… Career Bonus Point Wins and Win %, and Single-Season Records to follow
 
Awesome. This years team will be at a slight disadvantage in the long run due to not having the opportunity to compete in a winter tournament and get additional matches in.
 
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In the grand scheme of things, this matters not, but I think the canceled Reno trip may have cost Zain a shot at a 100+ match winning streak. I think he's currently sitting at 63 consecutive wins. Getting to 37 matches next season is possible but seems unlikely.
 
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Awesome. This years team will be at a slight disadvantage in the long run due to not having the opportunity to compete in a winter tournament and get additional matches in.
Our NCAA performance may also point out that more matches in a season is not necessarily better, and may in fact be counterproductive. I'd Ike to see us purposely go lighter again (schedule-wise) next year and see how we end up.
 
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Career Bonus Point Wins and Career Bonus Point Win %
These metrics are the ones that, imo, exemplify not just the talent level of the PSU Wrestlers, but also the culture and environment they learn in, and the attitude they take to the mat.

Career Bonus Point Wins has a monster number at the top. David Taylor had an other-worldly 125 in his career, or 31 plus a little bit AVERAGE in 4 seasons. He failed to have Bonus Point Wins in 12 college matches...total...in 4 years. Cael missed it 20 times or so as a college wrestler, for comparison. Still, the guys will climb this ladder, and one in particular, may only come up short because of fewer bouts. Zain is currently 7th with 69, and Jason is 16th, with 56. Easy to see that the top number may be unreachable, but #3 Jimmy Martin's 92 is in jeopardy from both guys, and #2 Ed Ruth's 104 looks within easy reach for Jason, who based on Bonus Point Win % (he's failed to have a Bonus Point Win in only 6 college matches thus far), would have a shot at David if he had the matches...but he won't. While Zain (1 year left) and Jason (2 years left), are inside the top-25, Bo and Mark are also dynamic point scorers, so that quartet should all end up top-7.

Four of the top-7 in Bonus Point Win %, are current wrestlers. Jason, at 90.3% is #2 to DT's 91.2%. #4 Bo, at 71%, is behind #3 ER's 74.8%. #5 Zain, at 70.4%, and #7 Mark at 61.8%, split by #6 Jeff Prescott's 61.9%, round out the top 7. Since this is a %, it's not up, up, up, like the Career Bonus Point Wins. A simple decision, or a loss of any kind has a dramatic affect. Still, after what we observed this year, there's no reason the current batch of Penn Stater's can't keep climbing. I'll predict Jason overtakes DT for #1 all-time by the time he's finished. Zain needs nearly a 100% Bonus Point Win % in his final season to overtake ER's #3 position, but it'll be close. Bo has a better shot at ending top-3, but it's still a little early to say. Regardless, it's possible these 4 current wrestlers end #1, #4, #5, and #6 all time for this metric. How good is that after 109 years of wrestling!!

More tomorrow...
 
Career Bonus Point Wins and Career Bonus Point Win %
These metrics are the ones that, imo, exemplify not just the talent level of the PSU Wrestlers, but also the culture and environment they learn in, and the attitude they take to the mat.

Career Bonus Point Wins has a monster number at the top. David Taylor had an other-worldly 125 in his career, or 31 plus a little bit AVERAGE in 4 seasons. He failed to have Bonus Point Wins in 12 college matches...total...in 4 years. Cael missed it 20 times or so as a college wrestler, for comparison. Still, the guys will climb this ladder, and one in particular, may only come up short because of fewer bouts. Zain is currently 7th with 69, and Jason is 16th, with 56. Easy to see that the top number may be unreachable, but #3 Jimmy Martin's 92 is in jeopardy from both guys, and #2 Ed Ruth's 104 looks within easy reach for Jason, who based on Bonus Point Win % (he's failed to have a Bonus Point Win in only 6 college matches thus far), would have a shot at David if he had the matches...but he won't. While Zain (1 year left) and Jason (2 years left), are inside the top-25, Bo and Mark are also dynamic point scorers, so that quartet should all end up top-7.

Four of the top-7 in Bonus Point Win %, are current wrestlers. Jason, at 90.3% is #2 to DT's 91.2%. #4 Bo, at 71%, is behind #3 ER's 74.8%. #5 Zain, at 70.4%, and #7 Mark at 61.8%, split by #6 Jeff Prescott's 61.9%, round out the top 7. Since this is a %, it's not up, up, up, like the Career Bonus Point Wins. A simple decision, or a loss of any kind has a dramatic affect. Still, after what we observed this year, there's no reason the current batch of Penn Stater's can't keep climbing. I'll predict Jason overtakes DT for #1 all-time by the time he's finished. Zain needs nearly a 100% Bonus Point Win % in his final season to overtake ER's #3 position, but it'll be close. Bo has a better shot at ending top-3, but it's still a little early to say. Regardless, it's possible these 4 current wrestlers end #1, #4, #5, and #6 all time for this metric. How good is that after 109 years of wrestling!!

More tomorrow...
And...it's fair to reason Mark Hall can continue with at least 12 pins a year which would have him finish with 48. But generally wreslters get better....so......

What's interesting too is next year several past wrestlers are gonna disappear from the top 25 in career and season falls list.
 
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