Blood Round

[tomsc]

As I was looking through results of the blood round starting at 125, I was surprised how many quarterfinal losers (who only needed 1 more win to be AA) lost in the the blood round. In the first 5 weights only 7/20 quarterfinals losers won their next match in the blood round. After looking at all 10 weights 20/40 quarterfinals losers won their blood round match. That still surprises me. Generally speaking you will have higher seeds in the quarterfinals losers vs their blood round opponent, and their blood round match is only their 2nd match of the day, whereas it's the 3rd match of the day for the guys working their way through the early consolation brackets. To be fair, 3 quarterfinals losers did mfft in the blood round (Berge, Marianelli and Lewis). But still, I am surprised that more guys losing in the quarters didn't make AA.

 

[Cowbell Man]

Overall data for a few years might be interesting but....one guy is trying to recover from not being a champion and the other has already started the mission to get a medal. Slightly underrated factor.

 

[Eastern HWT]

Overall data for a few years might be interesting but....one guy is trying to recover from not being a champion and the other has already started the mission to get a medal. Slightly underrated factor.

Perfectly said Cowbell - guys that lost early had all night to think and refocus, while quarterfinal losers only had 3-4 hours to forget lose and come back for consys.

 

[Rhino80]

As a coach, getting kids mentally ready to fight on the back side after losing in the quarters is always tough. My son struggled with it early. Seemed that he either made the finals or didnt place. He actually worked with a mindset coach (Watkins at Frazier) for a while and it helped him out a ton. I could only imagine how tough it is at nationals.

 

[RoarLions1]

Happenstance.

In 2019, 28 of the 40 quarter-final losers that dropped down won.

Of the 12 that lost, 9 were underdogs by seed, and had the misfortune of facing a higher seed that lost in the championship bracket.

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In 2018, 22 of the 40 quarter-final losers that dropped down won.

Of the 18 that lost, 7 were underdogs by seed.

I believe my past studies show that about 30% of the bouts at NCAA's are upsets, when only seed is considered. This one round is not unlike any other and will have its share of upsets.