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Your projection for PSU's last four conference games?

LafayetteBear

LafayetteBear

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Four more conference games: Illinois at home, NU away, Michigan at home, and MSU away. How do you see the Lions finishing the regular season? I believe the Lions will win at least two of those games. Illinois for sure and probably NU (they're scuffling a bit at this point). Both Michigan and MSU look like losses to me at this point, but the Lions could possibly pull off an upset.

8-4 would likely mean a pretty decent bowl game;. Maybe not by the Lions' historical standards, but for a team coming back from severe sanctions, it looks pretty good to me. A definite positive trend.

What do you think?
 
If you look at James Franklin's history at VAndy, he excelled at games at the end of the season. Won 5 Straight at the end of 2012 and 7 straight at the end of 2013. I am not sure if we are ready to go on a run yet. I see growth, but the youth on this team allows for too many mistakes. That can end up in surprises during games you think you will win...a.k.a Northwestern and surprises in games you think you will lose aka Michigan.

I think
W- Illinois
L - Northwestern in a Beth Mowin snoozer
W - Michigan in the whiteout
L - Give Michigan St a scare into the 4th Qtr and lose
 
LafayetteBear said:
Four more conference games: Illinois at home, NU away, Michigan at home, and MSU away. How do you see the Lions finishing the regular season? I believe the Lions will win at least two of those games. Illinois for sure and probably NU (they're scuffling a bit at this point). Both Michigan and MSU look like losses to me at this point, but the Lions could possibly pull off an upset.

8-4 would likely mean a pretty decent bowl game;. Maybe not by the Lions' historical standards, but for a team coming back from severe sanctions, it looks pretty good to me. A definite positive trend.

What do you think?
Click to expand...
Honestly.....I think 0-4 or 4-0 are all possible.


If one were to just "stats" a 4 coin flip outcome:

6.25% chance of 0-4
25% chance of 1-3
37.5% chance of 2-2
25% chance of 3-1
6.25% chance of 4-0.

And that's about where I think things stand.....so I'll go with 2-2, to finish out at 8-4.

___________________________-

If they get a W against the "Fightin' Jimmahs"...I'll be very happy, regardless of the outcomes in the other games :)
 
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LafayetteBear said:
Four more conference games: Illinois at home, NU away, Michigan at home, and MSU away. How do you see the Lions finishing the regular season? I believe the Lions will win at least two of those games. Illinois for sure and probably NU (they're scuffling a bit at this point). Both Michigan and MSU look like losses to me at this point, but the Lions could possibly pull off an upset.

8-4 would likely mean a pretty decent bowl game;. Maybe not by the Lions' historical standards, but for a team coming back from severe sanctions, it looks pretty good to me. A definite positive trend.

What do you think?
Click to expand...

I see it similar to you. I think Illinois is likely a close W and NW could go either way depending on which NW team shows up. I don't see them beating UM or MSU. I just haven't seen the improvement in any aspect of the game the last few weeks for me to think PSU beats those 2 as of now. I'll go with 8-4 and maybe the Holiday Bowl in San Diego or the bowl in Nashville.
 
psu00 said:
I see it similar to you. I think Illinois is likely a close W and NW could go either way depending on which NW team shows up. I don't see them beating UM or MSU. I just haven't seen the improvement in any aspect of the game the last few weeks for me to think PSU beats those 2 as of now. I'll go with 8-4 and maybe the Holiday Bowl in San Diego or the bowl in Nashville.
Click to expand...
I may be biased (I'm sure I am) but I think UM is a very winnable game.

I see their offensive style as a good match up for our D (so long as we don't sub out our starting defensive front for 40% of the game)
The key, I think, will be when we go to throw the ball downfield, will the B1G zebras allow the UM DBs to play grab and hold all day against our wide outs. If they do, it could be trouble, but if they have to play them according to the rules of the game (or some close facsimile thereof) PSU may very well be able to generate enough offense to win the game.
 
As much as I think Donovan will do all he can to lose all 4 games, I am holding out for the dream scenario of beating Illinois, NW, and Mich in the Whiteout with MSU beating OSU the final week of the year us, MSU, and OSU will all have a chance at playing Iowa in the B1G championship. That is B1G officials nightmare scenario though.
 
bjf1984 said:
I may be biased (I'm sure I am) but I think UM is a very winnable game.

I see their offensive style as a good match up for our D (so long as we don't sub out our starting defensive front for 40% of the game)
The key, I think, will be when we go to throw the ball downfield, will the B1G zebras allow the UM DBs to play grab and hold all day against our wide outs. If they do, it could be trouble, but if they have to play them according to the rules of the game (or some close facsimile thereof) PSU may very well be able to generate enough offense to win the game.
Click to expand...


I agree UM seems the more winnable of the Michigan teams but I'm just not sold yet. While I want to pick PSU as UM has their own issues, it's at PSU, and UM will be looking forward to OSU...... I still come back to Harbaugh game planning his D against Donovan and I just don't see that going well for PSU. ;)
 
mikemauti42 said:
W- Illinois
L - Northwestern in a Beth Mowin snoozer
W - Michigan in the whiteout
L - Give Michigan St a scare into the 4th Qtr and lose
Click to expand...

I just hope we go 1-0 next week. That's the most winnable game.

W- Illinois (70% chance at home)
W - NW (55% on the road, could be a 17-14 game)
L - Mich (35% chance at home, UM is a much better team)
L - MSU (35% chance on road, 50% if we were at home)

P.S. Why schedule a white out on November 12th? Who has a white winter coat?
 
bjf1984 said:
I may be biased (I'm sure I am) but I think UM is a very winnable game.

I see their offensive style as a good match up for our D (so long as we don't sub out our starting defensive front for 40% of the game)
The key, I think, will be when we go to throw the ball downfield, will the B1G zebras allow the UM DBs to play grab and hold all day against our wide outs. If they do, it could be trouble, but if they have to play them according to the rules of the game (or some close facsimile thereof) PSU may very well be able to generate enough offense to win the game.
Click to expand...
Our (michigan) O is a good match up on paper for most teams. It lacks talent/playmakers right now. However, the play calling has been very good (as your coach said...paraphasing...better players make the play calling look better). If your D coaches are ready to play chess then you should be fine...if they are more in checkers mode then you'll have problems.

As far as our d backfield...we've been penalized for what we should be pretty much...actually we've gotten certain calls against us that a neutral fan would go wtf...we are playing press so they rough people near the los but that is legal. Down field it's actually been mostly a situation of the WRs trying to fight through our bigger CBs Clark and Stribling...or Lewis who despite being shorter plays big by being as good as getting inside a WRs body (without more than incidental contact) than anyone I've seen in awhile.

Should be a good game.
 
mikemauti42 said:
he excelled at games at the end of the season
Click to expand...

I remember an interview with Dwight Gault and he said that the programs weight training is built so that the team is getting stronger as the year goes along. Most players get weaker as the season goes along, but the team actually improves their bench, squat etc. They also are geared towards being stronger in the 4th quarter of games. I must say that although it doesn't make up for any and all execution and strategy issues, I do like that strategy.
 
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One win out of the four...I think we beat Illinois. How do you schedule 10 straight games without a bye week? WTF??
 
AWS1022 said:
One win out of the four...I think we beat Illinois. How do you schedule 10 straight games without a bye week? WTF??
Click to expand...
Dude: Pretty sure there's a bye week in there: November 14.

Edit: Nevermind. That comes after the first 10 games. LOL...
 
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ellobo said:
Our (michigan) O is a good match up on paper for most teams. It lacks talent/playmakers right now. However, the play calling has been very good (as your coach said...paraphasing...better players make the play calling look better). If your D coaches are ready to play chess then you should be fine...if they are more in checkers mode then you'll have problems.

As far as our d backfield...we've been penalized for what we should be pretty much...actually we've gotten certain calls against us that a neutral fan would go wtf...we are playing press so they rough people near the los but that is legal. Down field it's actually been mostly a situation of the WRs trying to fight through our bigger CBs Clark and Stribling...or Lewis who despite being shorter plays big by being as good as getting inside a WRs body (without more than incidental contact) than anyone I've seen in awhile.

Should be a good game.
Click to expand...
Your DB's clutch, push and sometimes engage in outright holds all the way down the field.....rarely called, but when it is you claim that opponent WR's trying to fight through your larger CB's.

Nice try at revisionism.
 
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Illinois - comfortable win
NWestern - tough win
Don't know what to think of M & M State. Just have to believe there is at least 1 "signature" win here somewhere.

3-1 to close out.
 
Illinios - W
NW - Toss up but I think we putt it out
Michigan - W
Michigan State - 25% chance to win
 
bdgan said:
I just hope we go 1-0 next week. That's the most winnable game.

W- Illinois (70% chance at home)
W - NW (55% on the road, could be a 17-14 game)
L - Mich (35% chance at home, UM is a much better team)
L - MSU (35% chance on road, 50% if we were at home)

P.S. Why schedule a white out on November 12th? Who has a white winter coat?
Click to expand...

"Who doesn't have a white coat?!" - Liberace
 
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A win against the Illini and they surprise in one of the other 3. 8-4 which would be a solid year. Next year they start to turn the corner a bit more.
 
i think you guys underestimate your team a bit... i could honestly see 3-1 or 4-0 easy... you should beat illinois easy, nw is reeling, michigan i feel is overrated and msu is going to be a dogfight.. you have the talent to run the table esp if hack takes off late in the season again and barkley continues to be excellent...
 
2-2 possible, 1-3 more likely. If Illinois isn't a win, we prob don't win another game. Both road games will be tough and Michigan at home will not be easy.
 
3-1. Illinois is bad, Northwestern is average. Split the UM and MSU games (beating MSU more likely in my opinion) to finish 9-3.

Almost what I picked back in September in the wake of the Temple game:

McFate said:
I felt 9-3 was the most likely season result before Saturday. I'm sticking with that, though there is no margin for error left.
Click to expand...

... the difference being that back then I thought beating Michigan was more likely than beating MSU. Michigan has looked stronger recently.
 
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