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Big Game James - Now 13.6% win rate in these games…

You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
We needed to stay within one “regular” score. We then had to hope to force a TO and TD to tie. At that point, after the boneheaded decision, we now had to make a stop or a TO and MAKE A 2pt to just tie and force OT which this stupid decision was theoretically trying to avoid.

1-14 is not a shock at this point. It’s a culture.

Hypothetical OK ST vs PSU matchup

Feldman was on the verge of being pinned. Not sure of the exact injury.

As good as they looked, I’d feel very confident PSU outplace them at every weight and if PSU dual them, would be a shut out.

They wouldn’t have one guy favored against PSU. (I’m not talking about wrestlestat, I’m talking real life)

Pretty scary the separation..
125, a don't sleep on 141.

PSU/Oregon game to be in September

He is a kid. 20 years old. He will be back.
When watching his emotions- especially after flubbled plays by himself or others- it appears he has a lot of growing up to do before being expected to play and lead professionals.

I had this really odd thought during SEC championship that we get Ewers next year. Still may keep Beau here...but it seems likely that the Manning hype will chase him out.

I'm generally in favor of developing our qbs but if Coach K stays- we need a top talent. If Beau remains productive he still has a shot his last year, plus with Ewers injury history he is always 1 snap away...

Choice #1 is a Drew return. Best for both parties....

Worst officiated game against us since OSU 2014

the most telling play, to me, was when our defender got a tfl in spite of the fact that he was being blocked in the back and tackled same time running back was being tackled...no call.
their online was consistently wrapping their arms outside the shoulders of our defenders. Not saying we didn't do it as well, but we are definitely not as good at it as them.
Yeah I forgot about that.

anybody listening to the UFO hearings today?

Maybe you can't change them, but neither you nor Einstein can actually prove to know them.

It's amazing to me how some people think that we have our physical world all figured out. I suggest they take some time to look into quantum mechanics; there are things going on that Einstein and all the other top physicists can't explain and puts into question what actually is reality.

For example when it comes to the the speed of light, scientist have determined that particles can influence each other simultaneously over vast distances i.e. many light years - see "spooky action at a distance" thus negating the cosmic speed limit. It is also accepted that objects can be in two places at the same time.

Until we can unify the bizarre quantum world with general/special relativity and the fundamental forces that we do understand, we are missing a lot of the picture which means there may be incredible possibilities for advancement in technology if/when we do figure it out.
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Hypothetical OK ST vs PSU matchup

I can't disagree. The closest bout would be 174 but stylistically that matchup would favor Haines.
I don’t see that one being competitive. Hamiti fun to watch no doubt, but there’s levels to this stuff and there’s a reason Levi is 2 for 2 in finals appearances and Hamiti come tourney time isn’t same as regular season.

The only PSU guy, I still can’t predict with certainty is Barr. He hasn’t lost in college which is impressive, but still not sure what level he’s on. Today will tell a lot
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Big Game James - Now 13.6% win rate in these games…

You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
Probability of losing also goes way up when you don't convert. And in the NFL it makes more sense to avoid OT as you may not get the ball. We ran a gimmick play on top of that. It wasn't a necessary decision and factored into the play call at the end. Analytics are a guide...you don't follow the blindly. He does.
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Hypothetical OK ST vs PSU matchup

(Mod note - several posts below moved from the CKLV thread)


DT had his boys humming this weekend. Every guy performed at or above seed. Nearly 50% bonus rate for the tournament. Caleb Fish coming off RS at 157 since Teague will seek a MRS.
As good as they looked, I’d feel very confident PSU outplace them at every weight and if PSU dual them, would be a shut out.

They wouldn’t have one guy favored against PSU. (I’m not talking about wrestlestat, I’m talking real life)

Pretty scary the separation..

Big Game James - Now 13.6% win rate in these games…

You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
So you run a low probability play, the 2 pt attempt, hoping it slightly increases the odds of winning the game, if successful.

When, in reality, the far more likely outcome, that the two point attempt fails, greatly decreases your odds of winning.

Makes absolutely no statistical sense at all.
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Worst officiated game against us since OSU 2014

They had them where they wanted them coming out for the second half. Just missed that pass to Warren down the middle. That would have changed everything despite their blunders.
Not arguing that play - it would’ve been a TD and a completely different game.

But immediately following that third down call, the Oregon defender slams Allar after the whistle and nothing was done, while PSU was given FOUR 15 yard penalties in the first half. Missed FG, Oregon TD, and PSU is back to a two TD hole.

A lot went wrong, many missed opportunities, bad play calls - but the refs were also horrific.

Football GAMEDAY THREAD: Penn State versus Oregon in 2024 B1G Championship

Im leaning towards the 2nd. Minus our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, lack of forcing turnovers, suspect coaching decisions, and we were certainly on the wrong side of the whistle tonight, I thought our offense played their best game of the year. Problem is, our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, inability to force turnovers, suspect coaching decisions and being on the wrong side of the whistle are all baked into the cake in big games under James in this conference.
LOL...well said. But, hey, a longer runway will help swing the pendulum of our program.

Football GAMEDAY THREAD: Penn State versus Oregon in 2024 B1G Championship

If you're a Penn State fan you can take this loss one of two ways.

Way 1) Penn State can't still win the big games, there's no hope in the playoffs

Way 2) Penn State went toe-to-toe with perhaps the national championship favorite and if the offense shows up like they did tonight, they can beat anyone.

Interested to see how the reaction is split.
Im leaning towards the 2nd. Minus our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, lack of forcing turnovers, suspect coaching decisions, and we were certainly on the wrong side of the whistle tonight, I thought our offense played their best game of the year. Problem is, our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, inability to force turnovers, suspect coaching decisions and being on the wrong side of the whistle are all baked into the cake in big games under James in this conference.

Football How are you feeling going into the college football playoffs?

PSU makes too many blunders in big games and should have run the ball more vs. the Ducks. Blame the officials all you want but it was 28-10 in the second quarter. How many mistakes did Oregon make? No turnovers and 1 major penalty. PSU had 2 TO’s, 4 major penalties, and a missed FG. You can’t do that vs. #1!
Bingo. Was the officiating terrible? Yes. Do we see it all across CFB? Yes. No holding penalties also means none were called against us either...which PSU fans always forget the other side of the equation during their moaning.

U hit it on the head...to get steamrolled early and once again not be ready to go out of the gates is a terrible trait to have. Spotting that team a 28-10 lead, especially with four different personal foul penalties was so typical...and low IQ football from this program. We aren't a very smart or poised team, which also leads to NEVER winning these games since 2016. Let's not forget 4 or 5 drops, which hurt big time. Let's face it, we come up small and have done so since 2016.

Our secondary once again got exposed, as did the lack of LB recruiting and true game changing DL. Haven't seen a worse group of LBs collectively than I have under JF. That's an area (even as much as WR) that really has lacked.

Oregon is really well coached, made virtually no big mistakes and exposed us, particularly on defense, where we have lived with smoke and mirrors vs terrible offenses. We are small on the DL, don't move people, get ZERO pass rush without Abdul, linebackers that don't do much, and a secondary that gets cooked in games like this. IMO, we have a long way to go from a team construction/design to move the needle.

This sums up CJF

Allar was throwing off his back foot at the crucial times, and it cost them.
Allar was the least of our problems. We put up 37 (should be 38) and he accounted for 4 scores.
People have to learn the game beyond "let's blame the QB"
It's also funny because the national narrative today is "Allar has the more upside than Sanders or Ward", "Allar reminds me of Josh Allen", "Allar gives Penn State a chance to contend for a title" yet our fan base, maybe because they haven't seen a good QB in 30 years believes Allar is either the problem or part of it. Only here.
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