2 point try..................what's the analytics on this as CJF says
- Penn State Football
- 64 Replies
It was bad
There is NO legitimate argument to rank Penn State behind OSU—NONE. Both lost to Oregon in close games but OSU lost to a mediocre Michigan for the FOURTH consecutive time at home when they were a 19.5 point favorite.If they move us to 7 then the arguemwnt we should be 8 behind osu because legitimate
We needed to stay within one “regular” score. We then had to hope to force a TO and TD to tie. At that point, after the boneheaded decision, we now had to make a stop or a TO and MAKE A 2pt to just tie and force OT which this stupid decision was theoretically trying to avoid.You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
Feldman was on the verge of being pinned. Not sure of the exact injury.
125, a don't sleep on 141.As good as they looked, I’d feel very confident PSU outplace them at every weight and if PSU dual them, would be a shut out.
They wouldn’t have one guy favored against PSU. (I’m not talking about wrestlestat, I’m talking real life)
Pretty scary the separation..
When watching his emotions- especially after flubbled plays by himself or others- it appears he has a lot of growing up to do before being expected to play and lead professionals.He is a kid. 20 years old. He will be back.
Yeah I forgot about that.the most telling play, to me, was when our defender got a tfl in spite of the fact that he was being blocked in the back and tackled same time running back was being tackled...no call.
their online was consistently wrapping their arms outside the shoulders of our defenders. Not saying we didn't do it as well, but we are definitely not as good at it as them.
Maybe you can't change them, but neither you nor Einstein can actually prove to know them.
I don’t see that one being competitive. Hamiti fun to watch no doubt, but there’s levels to this stuff and there’s a reason Levi is 2 for 2 in finals appearances and Hamiti come tourney time isn’t same as regular season.I can't disagree. The closest bout would be 174 but stylistically that matchup would favor Haines.
Probability of losing also goes way up when you don't convert. And in the NFL it makes more sense to avoid OT as you may not get the ball. We ran a gimmick play on top of that. It wasn't a necessary decision and factored into the play call at the end. Analytics are a guide...you don't follow the blindly. He does.You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
As good as they looked, I’d feel very confident PSU outplace them at every weight and if PSU dual them, would be a shut out.DT had his boys humming this weekend. Every guy performed at or above seed. Nearly 50% bonus rate for the tournament. Caleb Fish coming off RS at 157 since Teague will seek a MRS.
So you run a low probability play, the 2 pt attempt, hoping it slightly increases the odds of winning the game, if successful.You guys do know that statistically the probability of winning the game goes up if you convert the two point conversion that they tried. Are you not watching other college and NFL games since that’s what coaches are doing? If you are down to scores you go for two there. If you go to the other site, you can see a thread showing all of the probabilities.
Not arguing that play - it would’ve been a TD and a completely different game.They had them where they wanted them coming out for the second half. Just missed that pass to Warren down the middle. That would have changed everything despite their blunders.
LOL...well said. But, hey, a longer runway will help swing the pendulum of our program.Im leaning towards the 2nd. Minus our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, lack of forcing turnovers, suspect coaching decisions, and we were certainly on the wrong side of the whistle tonight, I thought our offense played their best game of the year. Problem is, our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, inability to force turnovers, suspect coaching decisions and being on the wrong side of the whistle are all baked into the cake in big games under James in this conference.
Im leaning towards the 2nd. Minus our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, lack of forcing turnovers, suspect coaching decisions, and we were certainly on the wrong side of the whistle tonight, I thought our offense played their best game of the year. Problem is, our slow starts, undisciplined penalties, inability to force turnovers, suspect coaching decisions and being on the wrong side of the whistle are all baked into the cake in big games under James in this conference.If you're a Penn State fan you can take this loss one of two ways.
Way 1) Penn State can't still win the big games, there's no hope in the playoffs
Way 2) Penn State went toe-to-toe with perhaps the national championship favorite and if the offense shows up like they did tonight, they can beat anyone.
Interested to see how the reaction is split.
Bingo. Was the officiating terrible? Yes. Do we see it all across CFB? Yes. No holding penalties also means none were called against us either...which PSU fans always forget the other side of the equation during their moaning.PSU makes too many blunders in big games and should have run the ball more vs. the Ducks. Blame the officials all you want but it was 28-10 in the second quarter. How many mistakes did Oregon make? No turnovers and 1 major penalty. PSU had 2 TO’s, 4 major penalties, and a missed FG. You can’t do that vs. #1!
Game was winnable except for a few missed opportunities at critical moments.They had them where they wanted them coming out for the second half. Just missed that pass to Warren down the middle. That would have changed everything despite their blunders.
Allar was the least of our problems. We put up 37 (should be 38) and he accounted for 4 scores.Allar was throwing off his back foot at the crucial times, and it cost them.