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FC: Financial Impact to Big 10

Rutgers faces $50M hole: Lost football season would crush Big Ten schools, including Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State

For months, officials throughout college athletics have expressed concern about the impact on its industry if the football season is wiped away by the coronavirus pandemic.

Most of the statements have been speculative, but an NJ Advance Media analysis of the financial budgets around the Big Ten shows schools in the nation’s most lucrative conference are facing potential eight- and nine-figure losses if the college football season is canceled.

Rutgers, which earns approximately $750,000 per home football game and relies on its annual Big Ten payment for nearly half of its operating budget, is facing a nearly $50 million loss in revenue if the 2020 college football season is canceled, the NJ Advance Media analysis reveals.

For now, it’s a doomsday scenario that no high-ranking college official wants to discuss publicly.

But as COVID-19 cases in the U.S. surge in dozens of states in recent weeks, there is a growing sense that the college football season will be postponed to the spring or canceled completely due to the risk of infections to players, coaches, and personnel who make the game run.

“We may not have a college football season in the Big Ten,‘' Big Ten Commissioner Kevin Warren told the BTN last week after the conference eliminated non-league competition for all fall sports — a move that was followed by the Pac-12 the following day.

Officials from the three other leagues that make up the Power 5 Conferences have said they’ll wait until the end of the month to decide on whether they’ll proceed with a normal fall college football season.

But on Thursday the NCAA issued new guidelines for bringing back college sports this fall. The report called for daily self-health checks, the use of face coverings during training, competition and off the field and testing strategies that include results within 72 hours of competition in high-contact sports such as football.

“The rate of spread of COVID-19 has been increasing in many regions of the country,‘' the report stated. “Because of this increase, it is possible that sports, especially high contact risk sports, may not be practiced safely in some areas. In conjunction with public health officials, schools should consider pausing or discontinuing athletics activities when local circumstances warrant such consideration.‘'

NCAA president Mark Emmert said the guidelines were intended to offer schools “the advice of health care professionals as to how to resume college sports if we can achieve an environment where COVID-19 rates are manageable.‘‘

But he conceded the recent surge of cases in football-crazed states such as Florida, Texas, California and Arizona could result in the NCAA canceling the fall season — just like it did in March when it wiped out the NCAA basketball tournaments and the entire spring sports championship season.

“When we made the extremely difficult decision to cancel last spring’s championships it was because there was simply no way to conduct them safely,” Emmert said in a statement. “Today, sadly, the data point in the wrong direction. If there is to be college sports in the fall, we need to get a much better handle on the pandemic.”

Multiple industry insiders told NJ Advance Media this week college officials are debating several options, including conference-only schedules across each Football Bowl Subdivision league. In this scenario, the typical 12-game regular season would likely be condensed to no more than 10 games.

Another scenario is college officials opt to push back the fall schedule by a few weeks in order to see how the NBA and MLB do with their startups. Both leagues begin play later this month, and professional teams having a low number of positive cases could give college athletics officials the confidence to forge ahead with a truncated football season.

A third option is the college football season is moved to the spring. While this would keep alive the hope for a season, there is also widespread skepticism of a spring format because no one knows whether there will be a vaccine or improved medical care for those infected by the virus by early 2021.

“We’d basically be kicking the can down the road by moving the season to the spring,‘' an athletics director from a Power-5 Conference school told NJ Advance Media.

Still, the AD — speaking on the condition of anonymity because he was not authorized to speak publicly on the league’s plans — said the spring scenario keeps alive the goal of recouping the millions of dollars that would be lost without a college football season.

The NJ Advance Media analysis shows the deficit schools inside the Big Ten would be facing if a college football season is postponed completely.

Combined, the 14 schools in the Big Ten could face a potential loss of more than $950 million, an analysis of the NCAA 2019 fiscal year reports of the league schools shows.

The calculus for determining the potential losses is simple: add the projected Big Ten distribution with the profit each school earns from playing a full season (ticket sales plus parking/concessions minus travel costs and game expenses) and you get a number that ranges from roughly $49 million (Rutgers) and $104 million (Ohio State).

If a college sports season were to proceed as normal, 12 of the 14 Big Ten schools at the conclusion of the 2020-21 academic year would receive a check for $54.6 million. That’s the projected full-share distribution the Big Ten provides its member schools, according to a report furnished by College Sports Solutions and published by Rutgers University in 2018.

If the college football season is canceled, that distribution would be reduced — or eliminated completely — since the money comes as a result of media-rights agreements that could be voided by the league’s TV partners. Already, Big Ten schools saw their conference-distribution reduced in fiscal year 2020 after the NCAA canceled its basketball tournament during the early stage of the pandemic in March.

In addition to the potential reduction or the elimination of the $54.6 million distribution, college football programs are facing another massive hit to a high-value number in its annual budget: ticket sales.

College football programs will certainly see decreased attendance totals at games this season. That much is clear. But while some schools are holding out hope to go with a 25% seating capacity, a more likely scenario is the majority of teams will play in empty stadiums this fall.

At Ohio State, an empty stadium would result in a potential $50 million loss. That’s how much the school received in football ticket revenue during the 2018 season, according to its most recent publicly available financial report.

Combined, 13 of the 14 Big Ten schools with publicly available documents — Northwestern, as a private school, does not disclose its annual athletics budget — face potential losses totaling $952.55 million.

Big Ten Faces Massive Losses Without Football Game Days

Like all its Big Ten brethren, Rutgers faces a staggering potential loss if football is not played this fall. The N.J. school brings in roughly $4.45 million annually in football game profit and $103.25 million in total revenue.

Ohio State
$104.3 million loss
Michigan
$98.2 million loss
Penn State
$91.3 million loss
Nebraska
$85.3 million loss
Wisconsin
$81.6 million loss
Iowa
$74.1 million loss
Michigan State
$71.0 million loss
Minnesota
$60.9 million loss
Purdue
$60.1 million loss
Indiana
$59.5 million loss
Maryland
$58.9 million loss
Illinois
$58.6 million loss
Rutgers
$48.8 million loss
Chart: Keith Sargeant & Nick Devlin | NJ Advance Media Source: NCAA Fiscal Reports, 2019 Get the data Created with Datawrapper


What about the cost savings?
The potential losses don’t factor in the amount Big Ten schools would save from having a fall without the non-revenue sports being played.

But the savings, documents show, add up to a small fraction of the potential losses from not having a football season and there are millions of dollars in coaching salaries, recruiting costs and equipment needs that are guaranteed to be on the football ledger with or without a season.

The fall Olympic sports such as men’s and women’s soccer, field hockey and volleyball result in a red number on the financial ledgers at most colleges across the country.

At Rutgers, the men’s soccer ($188,923), women’s soccer ($355,093), field hockey ($188,407) and the volleyball ($358,558) programs combined to cost $1.1 million in game expenses and travel expenditures, according to the university’s most recent athletics fiscal report. Rutgers is still paying the bills tied to coaching salaries, scholarships, equipment and recruiting that add up to $5.1 million for the four sports teams.

“There’s uncertainty in athletics (and) there’s uncertainty across the university,‘' Rutgers athletics director Pat Hobbs said in an interview with The Associated Press in June. “Once you have (a plan), you’re going to have to make financial adjustments.”

In April, the university announced that Hobbs and Rutgers’ three highest-paid coaches — football coach Greg Schiano, men’s basketball coach Steve Pikiell and women’s basketball coach C. Vivian Stringerwould take 10% pay reductions through August.

“There will be less revenue from some of the usual sources, but there are also significant cost savings through the spring months,‘' Hobbs told NJ Advance Media in April. “Travel costs, recruiting budgets, food — all of those types of things (result in) significant savings. Through the remainder of the year, on a net basis, we look to be fine. The concern is should we go deep into the new academic year, how do you handle those financial concerns?”

A lost college football season would likely result in a multi-billion dollar loss in the industry overall when one combines the money raked in from media-rights contracts and football-game profits nationally.

And it’s why one leading advocate for student-athletes rights questioned whether conference commissioners, college ADs and university presidents should be making the decisions on whether to play the college football season this fall.

“Believe me, they’re already making these decisions based off of finances,‘' Ramogi Huma, executive director for the National College Players Association, an advocacy group for student-athlete rights, told NJ Advance Media. “A big reason why the Ivy League pulled the plug (on a fall college football season) is because they don’t stand to lose the same amounts of money as the Power 5 Conferences. Why are we even talking about still playing? Because football brings in virtually all of the money for these athletics departments. That’s why.‘‘

Huma said the coronavirus pandemic is “laying bare the truth about college sports.‘'

“A player’s health and safety has never been a priority,‘' he said. “They’re unpaid, without any representation, and they’re used and abused to make coaches and conference commissioners rich and to give colleges a lot of branding and advertising. That’s pretty much the function. Those that benefit are the coaches, the ADs and the conference commissioners, who are the ones driving going forward with a season.‘'

“Who has a conflict of interest in terms of (deciding) it’s safe or unsafe to play but there’s money to be gained or lost? It’s the ADs and the commissioners who stand personally to potentially lose a lot of money if those presidents say, ‘You know what, the season got canceled (so) we’re gonna have to rework or suspend your salary.’ That’s why many of them are so adamant. They can talk about other things but that’s why.‘‘

What Huma doesn’t want to see happen is college ADs decide to minimize a fraction of their athletics’ spending budget by cutting non-revenue sports. It’s already happened at 19 Division I schools, according to an Insider.com report, and resulted in the loss of 57 teams combined.

“We’re advocating heavily for preserving non-revenue sports,‘' Huma said. “What people don’t realize is those non-revenue sports are actually revenue generators for the schools. Because, in most of those sports, their players are not on full scholarships, and that means they’re paying 40 to 60 percent of their tuition, their room and board and other bills that are revenue generators for the university. Some ADs are using this as an excuse to remove their Olympic sports, but those are actually revenue generators at most institutions.‘'


YPTHZLCO4VAL3NMDYBXAGTJMBQ.jpg

If there's a football season in 2020, Rutgers will look to improve on its 2-10 record from 2019. Andrew Mills | NJ Advance Media for NJ.com


What’s the cash-flow solution?
It’s no secret that Rutgers’ annual athletics budget is heavily subsidized by a combination of the university’s general fund, student fees and loans from the university and the Big Ten. The school’s athletics fiscal report from the 2018-19 season shows a $45.2 million shortfall in a $103.2 million budget that was made up by $14.5 million in support from the university’s operating fund, $12.1 million in student fees, $15.4 million from an internal loan and $3.2 million in direct state or government support.

But Rutgers is the exception when it comes to schools in the Big Ten that lose money, financial documents around the league show.

No Big Ten school rakes in more money than Ohio State, which reported $210.5 million in revenue on its 2019 fiscal year report.

But since 28.4 percent of that total is made up from $59.8 million in overall ticket sales — and because fans might be prohibited from attending football and basketball games in the 2020-21 season — Buckeyes athletics director Gene Smith said the fiscal fallout could prove more impactful than the recession that hit the nation about a decade ago.

“This one is a lot more devastating,” Smith said, via the Columbus Dispatch in April.

Michigan produced $197.8 million in athletics revenue in 2018-19 thanks to a football program that tallied $122.2 million in operating revenues, the university’s fiscal report shows.

But late last month Michigan athletics director Warde Manuel presented a budget to the university’s governing board that showed a 31.4 percent decrease in revenue for the 2020-21 year. The department, Manuel said, projects a deficit based on operating revenues of $135.8 million and projected expenses of $161.9 million.

Manuel said the deficits were based on the notion that revenues from ticket sales will likely decrease 50 percent between fiscal-year 2020 and fiscal-year 2021.

“There is still a lot of turbulence about what’s going to happen,” Manuel told the board, according to the Detroit News.

One solution to what Michigan officials expect to be a $65 million revenue loss from last year is to work with the university on a debt-service plan to cover its deficit. It’s a measure that some of the top-revenue producing Big Ten schools could likely take, but one that might not fly at Rutgers, which has no shortage of critics who bemoan the annual subsidies given to the athletics department.

Rutgers’ annual fiscal-year documents show the athletics department’s deficit to be $444.5 million since 2003-04.

The question of how a financially strapped Rutgers program would pay its bills without making drastic decision such as cutting sports or massive layoffs to administrative and support staff is unknown.

But one Power 5 Conference school official told NJ Advance Media this week some college officials have suggested the Big Ten takes out a bank-funded bridge loan and uses it as the distribution in the upcoming fiscal year. If the media-rights agreements are altered or voided altogether, the conference bailout might be the cash-flow solution, the school official said.

“Obviously there’s a lot of lost revenue and this is just a reckoning of the exorbitant expenditures in college sports,‘' Huma said. “As they look to mitigate this, there needs to be a reset. Are these schools going to incur losses or are they going to change the salary structure in the meantime? It’s not an automatic that they have to lose as much as they’re going to lose.‘‘

Here’s how each Big Ten school would be impacted financially, according to the NJ Advance Media analysis:

Ohio State

Total revenue: $210.55 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 24 %. Football-game profit: $49.63 million. Potential loss: $104.27 million.

Michigan

Total revenue: $197.82 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 23.4 %. Football-game profit: $43.53 million. Potential loss: $98.17 million.

Penn State

Total revenue: $164.53 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 22.4 %. Football-game profit: $36.66 million. Potential loss: $91.29 million.

Nebraska

Total revenue: $136.23 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 22.1 %. Football-game profit: $30.66 million. Potential loss: $85.3 million.

Wisconsin

Total revenue: $157.66 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 15.2 %. Football-game profit: $26.97 million. Potential loss: $81.6 million.

Iowa

Total revenues: $151.97 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 14.6 %. Football-game profit: $19.46 million. Potential loss: $74.09 million.

Michigan State

Total revenue: $140 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 14.1 %. Football-game profit: $16.37 million. Potential loss: $71 million.

Minnesota

Total revenue: $130.46 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 7.2 %. Football-game profit: $6.28 million. Potential loss: $60.91 million.

Purdue

Total revenue: $110.84 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 7.2 %. Football-game profit: $5.47 million. Potential loss: $60.11 million.

Indiana

Total revenue: $127.83 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 5.3 %. Football-game profit: $4.85 million. Potential loss: $59.48 million.

Maryland

Total revenue: $108.8 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 5.5 %. Football-game profit: $4.25 million. Potential loss: $58.89 million *


* Maryland received an advance on its future Big Ten distributions and reportedly has a payback on a $66 million loan. The USA TODAY reported Maryland’s future Big Ten revenue shares will be adjusted accordingly.

Illinois

Total revenue: $118.57 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 5.2 %. Football-game profit: $4.01 million. Potential loss: $58.64 million.

Rutgers

Total revenue: $103.25 million. Total revenue from football ticket sales: 7.8 %. Football-game profit: $4.45 million. Potential loss: $48.76 million *

* As a result of two loans from the Big Ten totaling $48 million, Rutgers is scheduled to see a decrease in its full-share distribution in the 2021 through the 2026 fiscal years. Rutgers’ 2021 Big Ten distribution will be $43.7 million, according to the CSS report released by the university in 2018.



Here’s a look at Rutgers’ football revenues/earnings figures since 2007:

  • FY2007: $15.7M revenue; $15.7M expenses (Subsidized $3.7M in university support/student fees)
  • FY2008: $18.8M revenue; $18.8M expenses (Subsidized $2.5M in university support/student fees)
  • FY2009: $22.4M revenue; $22.4M expenses (Subsidized $3.3M in university support/student fees)
  • FY2010: $26.8M revenue; $26.8M expenses (Subsidized $2.8M in university support/student fees)
  • FY2011: $19.5M revenue; $19.5M expenses (Subsidized $1.3M in university support)
  • FY2012: $21.4M revenue; $21.3M expenses (No subsidy; $61,161 surplus)
  • FY2013: $19.7M revenue; $19.7M expenses (Subsidized $419,918 in university support)
  • FY2014: $21.7M revenue; $19.7M expenses (No subsidy; $2M surplus)
  • FY2015: $26.7M revenue; $18.6M expenses (No subsidy; $8.1M surplus)
  • FY2016: $28.7M revenue; $25.2M expenses (No subsidy; $3.5M surplus)
  • FY2017: $19.5M revenue; $27.7M expenses (No subsidy; $8.2M deficit)
  • FY2018: $11.77M revenue; $26.87M (No subsidy; $15.1M deficit)
  • FY2019: $14.76M revenue; $27.08M expenses (No subsidy; $12.3M deficit)

https://www.nj.com/rutgers/2020/07/...including-ohio-state-michigan-penn-state.html
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What is Penn State Thinking???

So my daughter, nursing major, is headed to Hershey this fall for her junior year clinical rotation. She just got word today that she will have to report August 14th for a 9 day quarantine till classes start the 24th. We had a last minute family vacation planned that will now have to be canceled but that's beside the point. Please tell me how the hell students being at school 9 days before classes is going to be safer than them staying home. What do you think students are going to do for 9 days when they have nothing to freaking do?
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Bad Moon Rising, Capisce?

Money, it's a gas
Grab that cash with both hands and make a stash
New car, caviar, four star daydream
Think I'll buy me a football team

So there's some negativity being spewed toward your trustee chairman?
I am not aware of all the details, but i can tell you people that you really have no idea who you are dealing with.

You do know that your former psu top brass groveled to keep the midas man acting in a financially
benevolent manner to your school? Yes, even your joe-pa got involved to cool down the most important man at penn state and do not ever forget that fact. He is your teflon don.

You know that we respect the midas man, especially for his acumen in recruiting and managing a staggering amount of top universities's pension funds. He also is a highly successful casino guy.

However, we have some serious problems with the gutless trustees in the operation of your school, especially the lawyers. It is beyond shameful. That's why the ira took a leadership role with the board of trustees. The term Powderkeg has been used by some of our informants.

Let me tell you a story about the undisputed best businessman at happy valley. When the midas man's wife filed for divorce about 14 years ago, she asked for $ millions. One of his friends was shocked by the $ amount requested by his wife and offered heartfelt sympathy. Cooly, ira replied that he could easily make that money back in six months!

By the way, he's dating a woman almost half his age these days.

And he has become very involved in the medicinal marijuana industry.

For dreamers that want a renovated Beaver Stadium, it ain't happening without the midas man's involvement, But, you can relax because he has a fantastic relationship with the populous architect guy.

You can take it to the bank that the midas man will be intimately involved with every detail with your football palace to be. Ira is the "real" athletic director and frankly would you want the current "cal gal" athletic director handling the financials?

I see a bad moon rising
I see trouble on the way
I see bad times today
There's a bad moon on the rise

Management is not my forte.
But, i can smell a rat and from afar. I can tell you that the freeh report seems to be a prosecution of innocent penn state people from what i can tell and also have been told. Some of our trusted informants, suggest that louie's piece of crap report is going to be exposed soon.

Louie developed his own midas touch after he was pushed out of the fbi. But, alas for him that gig will be over. It always amazes us that louie hooked up with the old MBNA credit card and second mile guy struthers.

We have respect for your trustee Lubrano. That guy has some monster stones. Really don't understand why he gets bashed so often. I can evaluate people well and lubrano would be someone that i could do business with.

Money it's a hit
Don't give me that goody good bullshit
Share it fairly but don't take a slice of my pie
Money so they say
Is the root of all evil today

Understand one thing. My loyalty is to the memory of Russell Buffalino.
The empire that "McGee", built will never be replicated again.
And what he built in Pennsylvania is unraveling.

In Philly, Little Nicky is dead.
Skinny Joey is in the slammer.
Johnny Doc, the union guy is being thoroughly investigated by the feds.
Two Pennsylvania Treasurers arrested by the feds.
Other Pay to Play big wigs are on the hot seat.

I am pretty sure your weed trustee has been questioned too. Not a good look for psu, but then again that is predictable.

You know that one of our nicknames for penn state is the "money pit"?
All of Harrisburg wants a slice of that pie and they get their piece. The same with the Hershey Trust.

Long as I remember the rain been comin' down
Clouds of mystery pourin' confusion on the ground.
Good men through the ages tryin' to find the sun.
And I wonder still I wonder who'll stop the rain.

I am warning you.
There will be retribution.
It is going to get messy.

Did you ever hear the story about Dorothy Hunt?
That would be CIA operative E. Howard Hunt's wife.

Did you know that her 737 flight from Washington's Dulles Airport "mysteriously exploded" in route to Chicago and that she had $10,000 in cash and $2 million dollars worth of travelers checks with her.
You see, it was a payoff to her and to E. Howard to keep quiet about other unreported "plumbing episodes" similar to Watergate, but successful.

Dorothy's mistake was telling someone that as soon as she got to her home in Chicago that she was going to schedule a press conference to expose the government.

So maybe we can understand why Lubrano and some of his cohorts observed the OMERTA demand implemented by your trustees. Anyone with an IQ of at least 100 knows there is malfeasance and an obfuscation of what really happened in your Happy Valley.

Leverage.
People that have it will being using it.
You would assume that the midas man has leverage in spades.
That mean old levee is going to break.

Finally, let me tell you a little story about Marilyn Monroe's unfortunate demise.

Do you know that the CIA, Teamsters, FBI and the Mafia were all bugging Marilyn Monroe and Peter Lawford? That JFK and Sam Giancana were sharing Judith Campbell Exner?
That Giancana wanted JFK and Bobby Kennedy to be ruined after Marilyn's death, because they were both romantically involved with her. But, the LAPD covered it up to protect Bobby.

Marilyn was killed by a barbituate enema so as not to leave bruises by Johnny Roselli and his cohorts. Her death was labeled a "probable suicide". Coroner Thomas Noguchi had requested an analysis of her organs, but they had disappeared!

A mob hit contracted by the CIA?
My lips are sealed.


The handshake
Seals the contract
From the contracts
There's no turning back
The grabbing hands
Grab all they can
All for themselves
After all
It's a competitive world

Ciao

New Restrictions on Bars & Restaurants in PA

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https://www.pennlive.com/coronaviru...m-wolf-says-a-new-surge-is-in-the-offing.html

An order released Wednesday that will take effect at 12:01 a.m. on July 16 reduces indoor dining capacity at businesses in the retail foodservice industry from the current 50 percent to just 25 percent. It also forces bars to close unless they are serving sit-down, dine-in meals, and mandates that alcohol can only be served if it is within the same transaction as a meal or if it is for offsite consumption.

Additionally, bar service is prohibited, even outdoors, but the state’s outdoor dining rules have otherwise not changed. Takeout and delivery orders can continue to be placed, as well.
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TICK TOCK — NCAA DR. ‘GOING TO TAKE A PRETTY DRAMATIC CHANGE’ — AD PATIENTLY WAITING TO PULL PLUG

AD SANDY WITH THE HELP OF NO. 2 SCOTT SIDWELL HAVE THEIR ‘DUCKS IN A ROW’ WHILE THEY PATIENTLY WATCH THE NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL SEASON TEETER ON THE BRINK.

NCAA MEDICAL EXPERTS & ADMINS AGREE THAT: ‘VIRAL CASES MUST FALL OR AT THE VERY LEAST PLATEAU’ — FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL TO PLAY THIS FALL

ALL OF WHICH MAKE IT LESS MESSY FOR WHEN CUTS ARE MADE AT PENN STATE

SANDY HAS THE PANDEMIC AS COVER AND SHE CAN ALWAYS STATE THAT ‘SHE HAD NO CHOICE’

NCAA DOCTOR: ‘IT’S GOING TO TAKE A PRETTY DRAMATIC CHANGE’ — FOR COLLEGE FOOTBALL TO PLAY THIS SEASON

If the Big 10 decides to move forward with games this season...

Here is how I'd like to see it play out:

Only coaches, players, referees, and ABC, ESPN, or Big 10 TV crews at the game. No fans, bands, recruits, cheerleaders, etc.

All players must be tested the day of (or day before) the game.

The schedule would like something like this for all teams in the conference:

Sept 5th Game
Sept 12th Game
Sept 19th Game
Sept 26th Bye (or makeup game)

Oct 3rd Game
Oct 10th Game
Oct 17th Game
Oct 24th Bye (or makeup game)

Oct 31st Game
Nov 7th Game
Nov 14th Game
Nov 21st Bye (or makeup game)

Corona model for PA just significantly improved

Don’t know if an error or new update (still says last update 4/1).

-Now says no PA ICU bed shortage (was 87)
-Now says PA surplus of approx 12,000 beds and surplus of 700 ICU beds.
-Now says 267 ventilators needed (was 904)
-Now says peak deaths on 4/15- 32 expected to die (was 79 on 4/19).
-Now total PA deaths predicted at 782 to be over (for the most part) on May 1 (was 2,023 deaths predicted).


The model still says last updated 4/1 but these changes just happened within the past 2 hours or so. Is this real or some computer error?

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Bigger Ten Podcast With Giant Rumors

Michigan fan Steve Deace does a 30 minute podcast covering the “Bigger Ten”

This week he revealed a series of rumors he has been led to believe accurate by his Michigan contacts.

1. It is likely that cross sectional games such as tOSU/Oregon and Washington/Michigan will be cancelled. Arkansas State/Michigan is likely going to be replaced with a game between Michigan and a school in the Big 10 footprint, such as a MAC school. All driven by Covid policies between regions and travel issues.

2. Some Big Ten schools will fill the schedule with home and home series like Iowa vs Iowa State H&H and playing other league teams twice. Another way to limit travel.

3. It is likely Rutgers and Maryland will not play this fall. Minnesota may join them. The Illinois teams possibly. This will cause recruits and players to transfer from those programs. What happens to their piece of the conference $? What happens with tv contracts when 20% of the games dont happen?

4. There is talk of a four team B1G playoff at
Season end.

5. Conference administrators of the Power 5 are discussing an 8 or 16 team playoff beginning after rivalry weekend and ending at Christmas. The bowls would not be held and travel and play issues could be addressed by playing at agreed to sites. This would be like the FCS model.

AKB... How many hip replacements do we have?

At 54 I was told this morning that I am at the point where my left hip has tipped.... "Not a matter of if, but when". Timing just depends upon personal pain threshold. I guess jumping out of airplanes and 35 years of ice hockey have taken its toll.

Do I get it done now (so I get on with being active again)... or put it off as long as I can?

I have had some bad experiences with surgery. Had compartment syndrome 20 years ago after compound fracture of left forearm. I know this replacement procedure is fairly boilerplate at this point so I guess I just need to work my way through the 6 steps of the grieving process.

No football this fall makes more and more sense.

So the Ivy League looks like they will not play this fall. They have none of the travel issues, huge fan bases, and financial issues the Power 5 conferences have to deal with. If their decision makers set this precedent it makes it that more difficult for the major conferences to rationalize playing a full schedule this year.

At Arizona they are not having the students on campus. A football player asked on social media, "Why are we here?" Good question.

I understand why Coach Franklin is having his family isolate themselves in their Florida home. I would do the same thing. It is just not a good look when you are asking parents of your football players to send their sons to come play, socialize, etc. when that is not something you would do with your own family. I would not blame any players or parents for thinking the same thing, especially if players end up getting sick.
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