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AS THE BIRD TURNS (IOWA STUFF)

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He must be German. :oops:
I have a story about that topic, really lol. Me, Toronto , and what I thought was an independent book store.

Thought I might find cool used books or martial arts movies. Well it was actually an adult book store , you just couldn't tell from the outside .

I of course had to check it out and yeah, I saw a rack with the topic German fisting porn. Yeah......I was confused about this, like why?? Hot busty babes not good enough,
 
He must be German. :oops:
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I have a story about that topic, really lol. Me, Toronto , and what I thought was an independent book store.

Thought I might find cool used books or martial arts movies. Well it was actually an adult book store , you just couldn't tell from the outside .

I of course had to check it out and yeah, I saw a rack with the topic German fisting porn. Yeah......I was confused about this, like why?? Hot busty babes not good enough,
Illegal Fist to the Back just took a weirrd turn.
 
Well gang, I went back and did the math dating back to the year after our punt year in 2015. I would paste it here, but I ran it in a spreadsheet, and I am writing this using my phone. I will thus, only provide some highlights.

The data is quite compelling, here is what I found (2016-2023 excluding 2020):

Both Iowa and PSU consistently score more points in Big 10s than nationals, which is largely the result of a much smaller field sharing the available pool of points.

The lone exception was in 2017 where PSU scored a whooping 16.5 more points at nationals than Bigs. That performance was unprecedented.

Over the 8 year span, PSU is markedly more efficient at nationals seeing average point differential between Big10s and Nationals of -9.64 points. Iowa's average drop off on points is a differential of -32.2 points. PSU is 334% stronger than Iowa at nationals relative to Bigs. These numbers are very consistent through the period.

In that span PSU finished second at Bigs 4 times, and went on two improve and win nationals in 3 of those 4 years. The remainder we won both.

In those years Iowa finished first at Bigs only once. Of the remaining 6 years twice they dropped placement position at nationals, and 3 times they improved their placement by 1.

Now on to the two key COVID years in question:

In 2021 Iowa won B10s over PSU by 25.5 points, and Nationals by 15.5 points. The question in hand is what effect did the reduced field (no Ivy's) have on the outcome. Basic math says both PSU and Iowa would lose points to the Ivys, but no solid inference can be made that the correctly proportioned reduction in points would eliminate that gap, thus reversing the outcome.

In 2020 where Iowa had a very strong B10s, while PSU had by far their worst performance in the 8 year period. 157.5 vs 107. The argument here is our stable of prior champs plus Rasheed and others would return to Nationals "PSU Peak" form to take nationals.

To be fair there is zero doubt that PSU would have once again out-performed Iowa, but the trend data does not support closing the wide 49.5 point gap.

Net-net: Hawkfan1986 is "not" out to lunch believing Iowa would have won 2 championships in a row. This scenario is more likely than not, had COVID not occurred.

On the other side of the coin there is clear evidence PSU's relative performance is improved 3x better than Iowa from Bigs to Nationals. That is not a small differential, infact it is quite striking and consistent every year over that period. In one year PSU knocked it out of the park fast protecting a stellar Bigs result proving that 'the improbable can be done' by a Cael Sanderson coached team. PSU fans are not all wet postulating that the team would have once again out performed at nationals in 2020 and in 2021 with the Ivy's participating, the Lions 'could' have won both.

Both scenarios are plausible, but to be clear, the math leans Iowa!
Off-season = time to play with spreadsheets. Very understandable.
 
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The bird is back at it again.


"It would be a very wise move for Stevenson to come to IOWA. He would instantly build his brand/name! Winning another NC and gold obviously big but IF he could help bring a team championship, well HAWK NATION would explode!!!

Seems to be a no brainer for both sides? Guess we see how it plays out?"


 
The bird is back at it again.


"It would be a very wise move for Stevenson to come to IOWA. He would instantly build his brand/name! Winning another NC and gold obviously big but IF he could help bring a team championship, well HAWK NATION would explode!!!

Seems to be a no brainer for both sides? Guess we see how it plays out?"


He is right that it would build his brand for Fake Wrestling. Those Iowa people love that crap.
 
The bird is back at it again.


"It would be a very wise move for Stevenson to come to IOWA. He would instantly build his brand/name! Winning another NC and gold obviously big but IF he could help bring a team championship, well HAWK NATION would explode!!!

Seems to be a no brainer for both sides? Guess we see how it plays out?"


I think Stevenson is just fine brand wise. He’s won Olympic gold lol .
 
The bird is back at it again.


"It would be a very wise move for Stevenson to come to IOWA. He would instantly build his brand/name! Winning another NC and gold obviously big but IF he could help bring a team championship, well HAWK NATION would explode!!!

Seems to be a no brainer for both sides? Guess we see how it plays out?"


Corby loves to stroke that fan base.
 
Who has the track record for heavyweight development, Minnesota or Iowa?

Who has the track record of taking returning senior year national champions and cornering them while they finish someplace below first?

There has to be just about nothing that would entice Steveson to consider Iowa as a place to train, short of a briefcase full of 100s courtsey of money bags Bob.
 
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The bird is back at it again.


"It would be a very wise move for Stevenson to come to IOWA. He would instantly build his brand/name! Winning another NC and gold obviously big but IF he could help bring a team championship, well HAWK NATION would explode!!!

Seems to be a no brainer for both sides? Guess we see how it plays out?"




The off season is so difficult and boring. Ok, I took the bait.

Do I get a merit medal if IRONBIRD bans me?
 
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