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Give me your prediction: PSU-Iowa

I predict the company that sells the black pellets for the Iowa artificial turf will be the real winners. Be prepared to see the largest amount of black pebbles bouncing up from every step!

Three yards and a sea of rubber pellets.
Edit: Damn it, somebody beat me to it! I’m leaving it anyway.
 
Something to keep in mind is that in the new offensive system, Cliff has thrown one bad pick in 5 games. His first was a heave at the end of a half. His second was a perfectly thrown ball that boinked off of #13’s hands.

He's been VERY careful with the ball. If that continues we win because Iowa's not gonna score much if the field isn't shortened for them.
 
It’s cliche, but in a defensive battle, turnovers are key. With Cain still appearing to be less than 100 percent, the RB carries will be interesting. Lee looked better last week but if he puts the ball on the field it could be the difference in the game. Lovett has been solid and Ford showed some nice burst last week. I think I’d look to get those two more involved.
 
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It’s cliche, but in a defensive battle, turnovers are key. With Cain still appearing to be less than 100 percent, the RB carries will be interesting. Lee looked better last week but if he puts the ball on the field it could be the difference in the game. Lovett has been solid and Ford showed some nice burst last week. I think I’d look to get those two more involved.

Why all the talk about Lee fumbling? How many has he had?
 
Ok, here is my long winded prediction ... I've had a good time over here taking football, thanks for that.

This game looks like a coin flip on paper. Both teams are playing great defense and have great special teams (thanks to the guys who gave me some insight into PSU’s strong legged, do it all kicker). Which offense can muster enough yards without turning over the ball looks like the key to victory.

PSU escaped Iowa City in 2017 and 2019 with arguably better teams than this 2021 team (but the jury is still out on this one). In 2017, that was one of the best (if not the best) offensive teams that has played in Kinnick since I’ve been a fan (early 80’s). The bend but don’t break Phil Parker defense played a great game to keep Iowa in it. PSU was the overall better team that year, but the Iowa defense and Kinnick magic almost was enough to upset the Lions that night. It was a great game and I tip my hat to PSU in that one. McSorley and Saquon were outstanding.

This year’s PSU team doesn’t have the same dynamic offense as 2017 (no disrespect, not many teams on that side of the ball have ever existed). Saquon isn’t running out of that tunnel on Saturday night (thank goodness). Iowa is arguably better on defense and better overall on STs than the 2017 Iowa squad. My point is Iowa has a much better matchup vs PSUs offense this time than back in 2017. The counter to this is Iowa’s offense, which has been a work in progress. The OL has been a revolving door trying to figure out the best 5. Petras has been inconsistent, but has shown steady improvement in touch and accuracy (his arm strength was never in question). If Iowa can continue to keep TOs in check, move the ball at least a little they have a good chance … if not, then all bets are off.

Based on how Phil’s defense plays and the struggles PSU offense has had so far consistently running the ball, I like Iowa’s chances. I think it is possible the Iowa D will shutdown PSUs run attack and if you have to pass on most downs, it leads to Iowa’s back 7 tipping balls and getting interceptions. I don’t think PSU will be able to throw over the top against the 2 deep zone Iowa deploys in most situations. I do think Clifford will scramble on a broken play and burn Iowa for at least 1 deep ball (hopefully not more than that or Iowa could be in trouble).

I think the energy of the home crowd will play a big role in the outcome as well (another reason I’m favoring Iowa, obviously). PSU escaped with better teams in 17 and 19 (both times I think the better team won, but history suggests this is hard to do for even really good teams). I think this time Iowa will finally prevail at home.

One last intangible. KF is from PA, so there is always a little more in the tank for his team (his team obviously knows this and plays with an extra chip on their shoulder). KF is in the twilight of his career so this could be the last time he faces the team he loved growing up.

I think the final will be something like 23-16 Iowa, but if PSU wins the TO battle then flip the teams and PSU wins it …

Thanks for talking CFB! Enjoy the game and stay safe.
I agree that this offense is not as dynamic as 2017 (as you say, no Saquon) but it might be as good as 2019 (maybe not as balanced but as good). The big difference is that the 2016 and 2019 defenses were average. They had their moments of "very good" but were not elite, suffocating defenses. This year's defense is elite with an offense that is similar to 2019 (in terms of overall talent).
 
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HOLY $H!T ....... I look at The scores and I’m wondering what people think on this site about our defense what makes you think they’re going to score that many points on us and we’re not on the score on them.

PSU 24
IOWA 17
 
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I think this game rests on Clifford as most big games do. I don't think we can run on this Iowa defense, especially considering we don't run well against Villanova. I think our defense can keep these guys in check offensively and make Iowa earn it on long sustained drives. Let's say the defenses neutralize each-others run games, this sort of comes down to Clifford vs. Petras. As good as Clifford has been this year and as much as I have supported the guy, he has a very poor trend to be jumpy at the start of these big games, especially on the road in his career. MY is going to have to keep Clifford calm and take what the defense gives. I would of course be preaching ball security with clifford, but also accuracy. If Clifford does a few of his airmail passes early in this game, with a defense this opportunistic, those will turn into interceptions and a big hole for our defense. We cannot put our defense on the field 90+ snaps this weekend. Miss low clifford, not high.
 
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I agree with Connorpozlee, for reasons other than football, although I’ve met some Hawkeye fans at Kinnick that simply sucked.
Can’t believe the doom and gloom in this thread. Glad I didn’t play sports with this thread’s naysayers. Never would have won anything.
PSU wins this game in a slugfest. Our D is better overall.
So ALL Iowa fans are the same as those you met that have sucked? I've met some real shitty PSY fans in State College in the 7 Iowa-Penn State games I have attended there over the years, but no way are all that way nor do I characterize their fan base the way of those that were a-holes. But then again, I realize there are some real narrow minded people out there.
 
Why all the talk about Lee fumbling? How many has he had?

Rumor has it that it’s not the in game fumble as much as the fumbles in practice. He also has poor pad level at point of contact. Most backs will get a few yards after contact. Sometimes Lee appears to go backwards when hit. That shouldn’t be happening.
 
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So ALL Iowa fans are the same as those you met that have sucked? I've met some real shitty PSY fans in State College in the 7 Iowa-Penn State games I have attended there over the years, but no way are all that way nor do I characterize their fan base the way of those that were a-holes. But then again, I realize there are some real narrow minded people out there.

Think OSU fans are the exception to that thought. I have yet to meet an OSU fan during game day that is remotely sane.
 
When it comes to line play there is something that I like, but it also scares me a bit. Both Iowa lines are very young, which means there is a steep learning curve and a lot of room for improvement in a short amount of time. This bodes well. At the same time it also means they are still relatively inexperienced, which doesn't bode well.

I do like the depth on the DL we're building. The OL needs to play together more to become more of a cohesive unit which is beneficial in a zone blocking scheme. Getting Schott back is big, but he's only been back as a starter for one game.

I think (hope) our run game looks better this week, but that will need to happen against probably the best defense we've seen this year. I mentioned it elsewhere, but keep an eye out for WR #6. Hasn't quite burst on the scene yet, but has great ability (not quite to the extent of Dotson, but not many do in CFB this year).
 
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Rumor has it that it’s not the in game fumble as much as the fumbles in practice. He also has poor pad level at point of contact. Most backs will get a few yards after contact. Sometimes Lee appears to go backwards when hit. That shouldn’t be happening.
Which is weird because he had good pad level (or at least always fell forward) last year.

It's almost as if he is trying too hard this year. He was the #1 guy last year (unexpectedly) and now he has to "prove" himself vs Cain and Lovett. I think some of his ill advised cut backs behind the LOS suggest this as well. I don't recall him doing that at all last year. He just needs to get up field and realize that 3 yards is a good result and he'll get bigger results (see Saturday's 44 yard run) if he is patient.
 
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So ALL Iowa fans are the same as those you met that have sucked? I've met some real shitty PSY fans in State College in the 7 Iowa-Penn State games I have attended there over the years, but no way are all that way nor do I characterize their fan base the way of those that were a-holes. But then again, I realize there are some real narrow minded people out there.
Yep, every one, even the old ladies.
(Of course not all of them are, just the drunk young bucks and disgruntled wrestling fans.)
By the way, I’m not narrow-minded, and in my 30+ years as a season ticket holder, I don’t recall meeting any really shitty PSU fans, but then I was tailgating with the common folks, with whom I share down-to-earth characteristics. Don’t really know what went on with the hoity toity. I’m sure most of them were fine, too. Except maybe for Ira Lubert.
 
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