Just watched the UNI-Nebraska dual for some perspective. Here are my thoughts on both duals.
125. Smith needed SV to win against UNI then Ayala was clearly the better wrestler last night. There are still about 20 guys who could win/AA this year given how crazy it’s been, but Ayala is near the top of the list. Smith is lower on the list, too, as is Davis. Braeden will get his chance to move up against Ayala and hopefully DeAugustino next week, but Ayala looks really good.
133. Teske stinks. Van Dee is NQ caliber at best. Neither of these guys are a threat to Nagao.
141. Woods is rightfully #1. I still believe in my heart that Bartlett will beat him at nationals, but he’s really good. Hardy is a little off. He lost late to Happel then was beaten soundly by Woods. He’ll be there at nationals, but it's going to be an uphill battle to AA.
149. Lovett is also rightfully #1. He had similar results against Rathjen and UNI’s pigeon, but they were very different matches. Lovett was on cruise control against UNI, working on painful half nelson and cradle pinning combinations while building up 5 mins + of riding time. He left himself one last chance to get a major with a TD in short time, but couldn’t get it. He could have tech’d that guy playing catch and release but didn’t. Rathjen’s match score reflected the actual difference between the two. Rathjen is a tough out. His match vs Kasak is going to be a great one.
157. Kudos to Franek for finding a way to win. That was a really fun match. Robb doesn’t quite look back to 100% yet. He gassed vs both Franek and Downey and lost both matches. Levi hasn’t been as dominant as we’d hoped so far. But these guys are going to be tough for him. His match vs Franek is also one I’m really looking forward to.
165. Caliendo is a beast. He’ll be an AA for sure in the toughest and deepest class in the country. MM is next level, but he’s going to need to be careful not to get caught by Caliendo’s power. I’m never betting against MM though. Taylor is a good young wrestler but probably a year or two from being an AA threat. He needs to get stronger.
174. Bubba Wilson is what he is - an inconsistent but fun to watch NQ. PK is what he is, too - an AA contender but not sure thing. These guys are both fish food for Starocci, although I still think we’ll see Gabe vs Starocci.
184. Pinto ducked Keck vs UNI. He obviously looked good against a JV 165, but whatever. Keck is the favorite in this class, but it’s winnable for others, too. If Riggins is the 184 vs Penn State, Truax will win easily. Truax vs Pinto is an interesting matchup to see how people line up behind Keck.
197. Allred, WTF? He looks like a shadow of himself. Glazier is a battler, and wrestled a great match against Allred, but he’s going to get tech’d vs Brooks.
HWT. Disappointing by Hutmacher. Hill is a JAG. I’m guessing we see Kueter by then. No matter, Kerk is the favorite in this class for a reason.