Iowa looks very very good top to bottom. I think we can beat them, but we need a half dozen things to lean our way.
1) We wrestle our best, no Mark Hall off nights vs Kem type performances
2) We are 100% healthy for the first time in 2 years, and that includes Kerk. As for Howard I am willing to pass on this one, Lee is probably going to Pin/Tech his way to a NC. If Howard could keep it to a major, that would be a major accomplishment, but in reality asking way to much. I say walk him out and take a MFF. Watching Cassi, I think Seth gets bonused despite his great showing against lower competition so far.
3) Hold all loses other than 125 to decisions
4) We could use one or two bonus wins in there to counter their bonus match at 125 (AB for one?)
5) 3-4 of the 5: RBY, Nick, Berge, Starroci and Beard need to deliver in what will be a high number of pivotal matches. I have no worries about Aaron and Kerk, feel very good about Nick, and no clue about Verk and Joe (needs more development on bottom) but they could hold their own and keep it close if on their game.
I can almost guarantee a couple of the high flying Hawks (Warner?) are brought back down to earth with this dual. They missed out on Michigan as well so a few haven't really been tested.
Win or lose we will come away with a clear picture of how we benchmark against them, and where we need more work over the next month.
We never peak in February so it's all good. I am just fine with a respectable L in the dual, a 2-4 finish at Bigs, and a 9th NC in 11 years!