I can’t see Iowa winning more than 2 weights and those two won’t be bonus for Iowa if they do win them. So 6 does realistically look like their upside max. The real question is how well our guys can work around their stalling tactics to score bonus points against them.
The only kid who never had that "go get'em and try to win" beat out of them was Sammy Brooks.
Whimsical. The more realistic shutout is 10-0. Forty some days out, I’m guessing 7-3 and will be as happy as seeing my next grizzly (or wolf) if either Davis, Kasak, or Barr pulls the upset.
7 to 3 to me means Iowa had a perfect night. Can't see that happening. Barr and Kasak are most likely winning, and Davis and Ayala will be what determines whether or not it is a shutout.
Being a PSU engineering alum, I look at these things analytically. (i.e. nerdstyle) There are 4 weights where Iowa might be competitive against PSU - 133, 149, 157 and 197. Out of these four, I would say 149 is pretty low odds for Iowa to actually win. That leaves 3 weights that I would call a toss up where the odds of going either way are approximately 50/50. Doing the statistical calculations gives Iowa a probability of winning 3 * 0.50 or 1.5 weights. Since we can't have a fractional result in the real world, we need to round up 1.5 to 2.0. That gets right back to what I stated before. Iowa's probable upside potential is winning 2 weights. And barring something unusual like a major technical error or injury by a PSU wrestler, Iowa won't score more than 3 points at each weight. That puts their probable upside score as 6 points. Q.E.D.
Agree…can’t believe the ref let Brooks lie chest to chest on Buchanan for that long!
Yeah but that's true of every match or meet.
All parking is prepaid through ParkMobile. Go to https://app.parkmobile.io/venue/bryce-jordan-center/events
Teemer needs to get wrestling before the kasak match or he won't wrestle his first match back vs kasak.
Take a loss to Kasak now or later. Pick when.
Brands will be picking later
Now he has to find a way of feeling comfortable with the fact that whether or not he puts it all on the line, his best possible finish is still 2nd place.
Any chance Brands wants Teemer at his healthiest for B1Gs and Philly, and skipping the dual helps that happen? Hasn't Cael taught us that March trumps duals?
Who's side are you on, sticking up for Iowa. Lol, we do know this but it's still fun to poke at Iowa.
However, if Teemer IS healthy enough to wrestle and Kasak is his first time back, I don’t think we see Brands start him against Kasak. As opposed to Cael, who would start the wrestler if he’s ready to go regardless of opponent.
Ok.
So if Teemer happens to be back for the Buckeye dual (week before ours) and comes out of it injury-free, are you “fairly explicitly implying” that Brands won’t let him face Kasak in our dual out of fear?
Maybe not fear, but seed protection is a very real possibility.
Nope.
I have to admit that I groaned when I saw Rivera as our ref at the MSU match.... so, you have to wonder that with any other ref would we have exceeded our previous scoring record?
I think he was referring to the post dual "extra" matches, with the anticipation that there would be 20 of them.
To his credit, he also admitted in the same post that the number could be as low as zero, too.
“If we have Teemer I see us winning 3 matches with a punchers at 2 more. If it was at Carver I would feel better about a Possible 5 to 5 but it’s over there and I am hoping we get 3 wins. As crazy as it sounds they could put up a goose egg on us I think it would have to be a perfect night for them but it is possible.”
I hope you are able to get a convenient parking space for you and your wife. Nice of PSU_Lion Fan to post the link to the parking app. I would think your odds are better at the BJC than Rec Hall. I know my 90 year old aunt goes to every home meet, and she has mentioned that Rec Hall can be a challenge. Best wishes and enjoy the match!
Only an engineer could provide an analysis like that
Nice job!Favoring Ayala Teemer and Buch is very reasonable. I am struggling to find where the other two wins would come from at CHA (149 I could understand with really black and yellow glasses but 125, 141, 165, 174, 184, 285 are all but locked up)
This is so true, great post! So grateful how our wrestlers handle themselves on and off the mat. Great parenting and coaching! Raised them right and coached and mentored them so well. Not sure us fans always rise to that standard, but it's been a fun run, enjoyLove how our coaching staff and athletes are as humble about Lion success as we fans are arrogant. Some might even argue that their classiness, character, and integrity (well, talent, too) is what makes us posters so insufferable.
