I went thru the brackets and came up with similar conclusions as JPW3 -- 25 pts is about right.
125 - 2-2, 1.5 pts.
133 - 2-2, 1.5 pts. Could go a little further, but rough draw. Phillippi in Round 2. Lose that, and he'll have to beat Terao, Bridges, and the RBY-DeSanto loser. Those are all matches to watch.
141 - 1-2, 0.5 pts. Terrible draw, if he doesn't beat Red in the opener, he'll get Brock in his 2nd consi match.
149 - 3-3, 8th place, 5.5 pts. Favorable draw until he gets into the medal rounds.
157 - 1-2, 0.5 pts.
165 - DNQ.
174 - 2-2, 1.0 pts.
184 - 2-2, 1.5 pts. Hardest one to pick because he gets Reenan in Round 2, and Reenan doesn't look like himself (but will he with an extra 10 days to rest?). If he loses to Reenan, he'll get Ness in the next consi match. Win that and he gets DePrez or Caffey.
197 - 5-2, 4th place, 12.5 pts. Miklus has a tremendous draw, especially in consis if he loses to Weigel in the quarters. I'd expect him to rematch with Weigel in the 3rd place match.
HWT - 1-2, 0.5 pts. Awful draw, start with Hillger, beat Gunning, then get Stencel or Thomas.
IMO 25 pts can be eclipsed because maybe Gomez goes a little further, and definitely Gomez and Miklus get some bonus.
Using last year as a guide: 25 pts would be 22nd place -- but with some bonus or a break here or there, 28 pts would be good for 17th place.