Seems as if the author is basing his prediction on Anthony Valencia outscoring Marinelli. I know AV pinned him last year, but I would be pretty surprised if that outcome is repeated. It's a fun breakdown though, so kudos to Flo for that.
I think Iowa's almost loss to Illinois has made it conceivable to many that Iowa will lose an unexpected match (which I will define as someone other than Okie St, PSU, or the Tanners) during the course of the season or fall short at Midlands. The perception is that Iowa is going to have a down year, by their standards. And maybe this is true! Flo made a decent case on why they could lose to Rutgers (which I didn't buy into because LHU, lol). It's possible that they could lose to Michigan, but the Wolverines looked terrible against Lehigh. So I see Iowa with 3 losses when it's all said and done. That doesn't change the fact that Iowa is still a very solid team, and I can't bet against them at Midlands.
