You mean Rutgers might drop out of the top 10?Teams that qualified all 10 of their wrestlers are Penn State, Northern Iowa, Ohio State, and Cornell.
You mean Rutgers might drop out of the top 10?Teams that qualified all 10 of their wrestlers are Penn State, Northern Iowa, Ohio State, and Cornell.
???Got hurt Sat night.
Podium/team pics were Sunday night
Thats some longggggg testing.
Only takes 7 scoring wrestlers to maintain that perennial status.You mean Rutgers might drop out of the top 10?
With LL, BB, SVN, Kasak, MM, and Carter, I'd bet the over on 3.5. Granted, other than MM, each has a difficult task, but would anyone bet against any of these to win?that's way too easy to take the over, hence the assumption I asked to be made.
Paid cruiseliner haterYou mean Rutgers might drop out of the top 10?
This link was posted a few min ago and either deleted or (more likely) mod moved.That’s awesome
How did the others Shake out ?
LL at 2 and Davis at 5 are pleasant surprises. Beau should be ranked ahead of Hardy, though it's not a big surprise he's not. All the other coaches ranks look on the mark.Coaches ranks, RPI:
Lilledahl 2, 10
Davis 5, 5
Beau 2, 5
Van Ness 3, 2
Kasak 1, 1
Mesenbrink 1, 1
Bearclaw 4, 3
Haines 2, 3
Carter 1, 7
Barr 4, 10
Kerk 2, 3
Not so sure about that. Ferrari had a higher Win % than Arnold and beat Plott and Bockman. That match might have helped Carter's RPI.The 184 RPI rankings tells me all I need to know about what a joke it is. And I’ll bet Carter beating Angelo instead of Arnold in the dual hurt his RPI.
I now have two tickets for sale to NCAA.Here's an email from a buddy of mine concurring with my argument that Penn State losing nationals is not only virtually impossible but would be the biggest upset in the history of college sports (makes Michigan losing to App State look like nothing)
It's not even just how good Penn State is, even though that's definitely the main thing, it's how spread tf out the other contenders are. There are 40 dudes currently ranked in the top 4 at a weight from 20 different schools. 9 are from Penn State, and 12 are from schools who have exactly 1 such dude. Nobody aside from Penn State has more than 4 (Iowa) and only 3 others have 3 (Nebraska, Minnesota, OkSU).
And among those 4 who have 3+ such guys, there's tons of overlap. OK State and Minnesota are both there at 285 and 184. Nebraska and Iowa are both there at 149. Nebraska and Minnesota at 141. Where there's an opportunity to pile up points for any of them, it's mutually exclusive and likely to be somewhat divided as the tournament progresses.
Basically, outside of Penn State, the only team with a serious shot at 100 points is Iowa, and they'd have to perform substantially above their current rankings and get substantial bonus points to do it. According to their Flo rankings, they're looking at 56 placement points. Even if they performed to expectation and got bonus points at the same pace as Penn State did last year, both of which, I mean, this is Iowa we're talking about so lmao, they're looking at 92 points. That's definitely not a bad tournament, especially for someone without a national champ, but this hasn't been good enough for a national championship since 1989, and in only about half of years since is good enough for second place.
You've got a Penn State team where anything less than 130 would be an unmitigated dumpster fire and a field where anything above 90 is exceeding expectations.
If the 141 ranks hold, then 4 Mendez vs 5 Alirez in the quarters with Beau on the opposite side. Awesome!LL at 2 and Davis at 5 are pleasant surprises. Beau should be ranked ahead of Hardy, though it's not a big surprise he's not. All the other coaches ranks look on the mark.
I think Luke's quickness and re-attacks where he can get to an angle benefit him most when his opponents are active on their feet. This plays into Luke's wheelhouse. I foresee more wrestlers trying to wrestle him conservatively from neutral. From what I have seen, Spratley and Figueroa are active on their feet, whereas we have seen how Smith tries to slow things down in neutral against Luke. I don't know enough about Ventresca at this point.I'm stunned that the coaches moved Lilledahl all the way up from 8 to 2, ahead of Ventresca who won ACCs over Robinson.
This means Lilledahl is likely the 1, with H2H over Ramos.
Though purely on the coaches rank, getting the 2 is an easier path.
1 gets Spratley in the quarters amd Figueroa in the semis
2 gets Smith and Ventresca.
With Trephan at 2 and Kerk at 3 in RPI, does that make Trephan the 3 and Kerk the 4 in the matrix?Again if the ranks hold, Barr would have a good draw. Beard or Salazar in the quarters, then Cardenas in the semis. Buchanan, Ford Focus, Little, Surber, Munoz all on the other side.
That was some great analysis. It illustrates the much different scoring dynamics at the national tournament where the field is larger and the talent is more condensed compared to the conference tournaments where the fields are smaller and the talent more diluted.I now have two tickets for sale to NCAA.
If I have to watch Smith and Arnold again, I'm going to claw my eyes out.Arnold got ranked 9.
If that holds as his seed, then he'll have an opportunity to lose to Jaxon Smith 1 rpund before Carter, just like last weekend.
Not too shabby to have eight Penn State wrestlers in the top three and all ten in the top five!Coaches ranks, RPI:
Lilledahl 2, 10
Davis 5, 5
Beau 2, 5
Van Ness 3, 2
Kasak 1, 1
Mesenbrink 1, 1
Bearclaw 4, 3
Haines 2, 3
Carter 1, 7
Barr 4, 10
Kerk 2, 3
That may be true, but it seems like 141 is a toss-up no matter how it is seeded. I could see several different champions if the tournament was contested several times. Among the top 141ers, how would you rate Beau against each? I only ask because I value your informed opinion whereas I am not very familiar with some of the other wrestlers.If the 141 ranks hold, then 4 Mendez vs 5 Alirez in the quarters with Beau on the opposite side. Awesome!
But that would mean Hardy retaining the 1 despite his H2H lossea vs Beau and 3 Happel. Seems unlikely.
Beau bumping to 1 with everyone else the same is the worst-case draw.
Kathy Lee has an extra pair of glasses to protect your eyes!If I have to watch Smith and Arnold again, I'm going to claw my eyes out.
Kerk would mathematically be the 4.With Trephan at 2 and Kerk at 3 in RPI, does that make Trephan the 3 and Kerk the 4 in the matrix?
Arnold could save your eyea by losing the opener to the 24 seed.If I have to watch Smith and Arnold again, I'm going to claw my eyes out.
If I have to watch Smith and Arnold again, I'm going to claw my eyes out.
I would pay to see two wrestlers get DQd for stalling in the same match. It has to have happened somewhereI recommend starting with the White Claw and working up from there.
@mcpat Is it possible to White Claw your eyea out?I recommend starting with the White Claw and working up from there.
So who do we want finishing second at nationals? Iowa or OSU?Not too shabby to have eight Penn State wrestlers in the top three and all ten in the top five!
Yep. Prepare for a kerk 4 seed
Yep. Prepare for a kerk 4 seed
Conference champs getting the push.
Yeah but that's garbage. This is a great example of humans needing to override the computer. Wrestling doesn't need the championship bout in the semis.Yep. Prepare for a kerk 4 seed
Conference champs getting the push.
Thia assumes Steveson gets the 1. He didn't get an RPI, so Hendrickson likely gets it with a probable edge in QW.Yeah but that's garbage. This is a great example of humans needing to override the computer. Wrestling doesn't need the championship bout in the semis.
With Trephan at 2 and Kerk at 3 in RPI, does that make Trephan the 3 and Kerk the 4 in the matrix?
So Kerk has only one loss and that to arguably the most dominant wrestler in the nation and gets knocked to #4 to have to face that wrestler again? That is a tough outcome for Kerk! I am no seeding expert in the least, but that outcome doesn't sit well with me.Kerk would mathematically be the 4.
Trephan most likely the 3. Slight chance he beats Steveson for the 2 but that hinges on QW, which most likely goes to Steveson. (Steveson wrestled an excellent schedule, just not snough for an RPI.)
If the matrix says Steveson, Hendrickson, and Trephan beat each other, then I'd expect the committee to list them in that order.