ADVERTISEMENT

PSU hater Klatt has us falling to 8th ..

You don't want us to win anyhow so why are you even here?

I've written nothing to suggest that I don't want a win. Being realistic about our chances and noting the history of the Franklin era is irrelevant. That has nothing to do with the outcome that I would celebrate.

If this board is merely a place to wave pompoms then maybe you are right. No reason to be here. But if it's a true discussion board for thought and analysis, then it should be encouraging all angles of perception.

Is that what you want or not?
 
  • Haha
Reactions: knickslions
Here is a logical scenario:

PSU loses to Oregon. That puts PSU at 2 losses. OSU has 2 losses. OSU played a harder schedule than PSU. OSU beat PSU.

The only argument that PSU would have over OSU is 11 wins over 10 wins. It's a legit argument. However, PSU's strongest win is over Illinois. Minnesota? Wisconsin? USC? All ok wins, but nothing all that impressive. OSU beat PSU and Indiana, which blows any of PSU's wins out of the water.

Again, with both teams having the same # of losses, one team has better wins, and one team won the head to head matchup. That team, unfortunately, is OSU.
You are missing the point. There are other teams involved. They move OSU ahead of us and all their rankings become garbage. The logic collapses.

You move ND ahead of us? Why?
What about Georgia, they lose to Texas and go where?
Texas loses and has two losses, are they ahead of OSU?

Again, Georgia loses and where do they go relative to Alabama? Behind them means they are out and that is ridiculous and not happening. Ahead of them and we have caught them in a huge inconsistency relative to PSU and OSU. You are stuck. The committee needed to keep OSU ahead of us this week. Once they did not there is no going back.

You cannot just move ND and OSU ahead for not even playing a CCG.
 
You cannot just move ND and OSU ahead for not even playing a CCG.
Sorry but this argument doesn't make any sense. Just like Bama is going be ahead of SMU if Clemson wins.
A team not playing can move up based on the results of other games.
How would a team on bye not be able to pass a team that lost?
I don't think there's any chance OSU passes us but ND absolutely could even if I don't think they should.
We have to be competitive tomorrow or all bets are off. We can't look like UNLV for example...and I don't think we will
 
We need rules that are well-known before the season starts that are not based on the eye-test. ^^ is arguing that if Georgia losses, it's "ridiculous" that they are potentially left out. Well, it's a team sport, and if the best players can't seem to play as a team they should be left out. It's not hard to understand, but very few seem to be able to grasp the concept.
 
I've written nothing to suggest that I don't want a win. Being realistic about our chances and noting the history of the Franklin era is irrelevant. That has nothing to do with the outcome that I would celebrate.

If this board is merely a place to wave pompoms then maybe you are right. No reason to be here. But if it's a true discussion board for thought and analysis, then it should be encouraging all angles of perception.

Is that what you want or not?
We need rules that are well-known before the season starts that are not based on the eye-test. ^^ is arguing that if Georgia losses, it's "ridiculous" that they are potentially left out. Well, it's a team sport, and if the best players can't seem to play as a team they should be left out. It's not hard to understand, but very few seem to be able to grasp the concept.
You are arguing theoreticals. Do you really think Georgia will be left out? Not do you think it is unfair they will be in. So they stay at 7 if they lose ahead of Ohio State at 8 and behind ND at 6 and PSU at 5 IF we lose.

Go to all computer rankings and get rid of the biased committee. Set up standard team metrics at the beginning of the season that are universally accepted. Whatever the computer says goes. Get rid of CCG because that is a man made and man made up spectacle that would screw up the computer rankings. The computer would think the CCG is another regular season game and penalize unfairly all the losers of the CCG. You would need to do some "doctoring" of the data if you kept the CCG and that defeats the purpose.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KnightWhoSaysNit
We need rules that are well-known before the season starts that are not based on the eye-test. ^^ is arguing that if Georgia losses, it's "ridiculous" that they are potentially left out. Well, it's a team sport, and if the best players can't seem to play as a team they should be left out. It's not hard to understand, but very few seem to be able to grasp the concept.
Georgia hosts a game if they lose...their SOS was 1...why would UGa being out even be a discussion. Especially since they already beat Texas once.
 
You are arguing theoreticals. Do you really think Georgia will be left out? Not do you think it is unfair they will be in. So they stay at 7 if they lose ahead of Ohio State at 8 and behind ND at 6 and PSU at 5 IF we lose.

Go to all computer rankings and get rid of the biased committee. Set up standard team metrics at the beginning of the season that are universally accepted. Whatever the computer says goes. Get rid of CCG because that is a man made and man made up spectacle that would screw up the computer rankings. The computer would think the CCG is another regular season game and penalize unfairly all the losers of the CCG. You would need to do some "doctoring" of the data if you kept the CCG and that defeats the purpose.
Computers solve nothing. See the BCS
I agree we should eliminate CCGs but while they exist you have to reward and penalize team for them.
 
Computers solve nothing. See the BCS
I agree we should eliminate CCGs but while they exist you have to reward and penalize team for them.
Computers are not biased. Why have a CCG if you then penalize those that make it.
 
Yes they are. Computers run algorithms that people wrote, are often hidden, and rarely challenged.
Folks don’t understand that any computer model reflects the biases of the creator of the model. That is why I would be very careful in relying on a computer model for selecting playoff participants.

The NFL has 32 teams and 14 playoff teams after playing a 17-game season. CFB has over 100 teams and 12 playoff teams after playing a 9 to 12 game season (discounting games played against lower-level teams). That is not enough games to truly determine the 7 at-large programs. As a result, there will always be controversy over the last couple of at-large teams.
 
  • Like
Reactions: PsuLIT and KCLion
You are arguing theoreticals. Do you really think Georgia will be left out? Not do you think it is unfair they will be in. So they stay at 7 if they lose ahead of Ohio State at 8 and behind ND at 6 and PSU at 5 IF we lose.

Go to all computer rankings and get rid of the biased committee. Set up standard team metrics at the beginning of the season that are universally accepted. Whatever the computer says goes. Get rid of CCG because that is a man made and man made up spectacle that would screw up the computer rankings. The computer would think the CCG is another regular season game and penalize unfairly all the losers of the CCG. You would need to do some "doctoring" of the data if you kept the CCG and that defeats the purpose.
Computers are man made. So are the formulas and algorithms that computers use to rank teams. If those programs were used, people would be complaining that it's inherently biased for/against certain situations. And there'd be no recourse during that season. That's a fallible system, as well.

Let's think of it this way, to put it into perspective ... take something like ESPN's FPI ... we're currently 9th in that ... you're OK with that? We'd be a 10 seed, making way for the ACC champ. If a few things had gone differently for other teams (not having anything to do with us), there would have been potential for us to NOT make the playoff at all this year ... with the same record we have now. Are you fine with that? "Oh, it's just an unbiased computer program ... oh well"?

There's no perfect system. Someone will feel they're short-changed, no matter what.

This is why the only "real" solution is to have everyone in a conference play each other during the season, and only conference winners advance. It's all settled on the field. The least amount of whining possible, there. You'll still have people complaining about that Conference X is tougher, or Conference Y is easier, but everything is still based only on what happens on the field of play, against teams playing the same comp as you.
 
Folks don’t understand that any computer model reflects the biases of the creator of the model. That is why I would be very careful in relying on a computer model for selecting playoff participants.

The NFL has 32 teams and 14 playoff teams after playing a 17-game season. CFB has over 100 teams and 12 playoff teams after playing a 9 to 12 game season (discounting games played against lower-level teams). That is not enough games to truly determine the 7 at-large programs. As a result, there will always be controversy over the last couple of at-large teams.
It still is better than schmucks locked in a room.
 
Computers are man made. So are the formulas and algorithms that computers use to rank teams. If those programs were used, people would be complaining that it's inherently biased for/against certain situations. And there'd be no recourse during that season. That's a fallible system, as well.

Let's think of it this way, to put it into perspective ... take something like ESPN's FPI ... we're currently 9th in that ... you're OK with that? We'd be a 10 seed, making way for the ACC champ. If a few things had gone differently for other teams (not having anything to do with us), there would have been potential for us to NOT make the playoff at all this year ... with the same record we have now. Are you fine with that? "Oh, it's just an unbiased computer program ... oh well"?

There's no perfect system. Someone will feel they're short-changed, no matter what.

This is why the only "real" solution is to have everyone in a conference play each other during the season, and only conference winners advance. It's all settled on the field. The least amount of whining possible, there. You'll still have people complaining about that Conference X is tougher, or Conference Y is easier, but everything is still based only on what happens on the field of play, against teams playing the same comp as you.
I would rather have a computer saying we are 9th versus some biased stuffed suit.
 
  • Like
Reactions: KnightWhoSaysNit
Computers are not biased. Why have a CCG if you then penalize those that make it.
Because you still have to perform in them
It isn't a meaningless bowl game that's a fun trip to hang out. It's a game that helps determines the rankings as we knew all along
They shouldn't exist but as long as they do they matter because it's before the playoff and a data point
If we lose by 30 it will hurt us
 
I would rather have a computer saying we are 9th versus some biased stuffed suit.
And the biased stuffed shirts have a perfect situation today to prove their credibility….they said before that they would not penalize a team for losing in the CCG….of course that was when they thought OSU was going to be in it. Now that PSU is in it, we’ll see how much credibility they have if PSU loses.
 
Of course you can, but do you know of one that is transparent?

If they were used they would become scrutinized and thereby public. (Try getting a bureaucrat to expose their own bias.)

As it is, I think Massey is a composite of 44 different algorithms, like a committee of 44 but with each one unable to change their position based on bias after the season starts. Further, if some are outliers relative to the others, these are removed from causing the consensus to become overly dragged from the median.

There is no rational argument against using defined algorithms. Those making such attempts are themselves holding an agenda.
 
If they were used they would become scrutinized and thereby public. (Try getting a bureaucrat to expose their own bias.)

As it is, I think Massey is a composite of 44 different algorithms, like a committee of 44 but with each one unable to change their position based on bias after the season starts. Further, if some are outliers relative to the others, these are removed from causing the consensus to become overly dragged from the median.

There is no rational argument against using defined algorithms. Those making such attempts are themselves holding an agenda.
There are...you just don't like then
Masseyal actually does a better job of supporting the believed agenda than the humans are doing.
 
It’s a free country. At least it used to be. I’m just pointing out the disconnect of stating that if someone makes perfectly reasonable observations about the implications of beating a good team like Illinois, you claim there is nothing more to talk about. Then you keep talking about it. Irony is so ironic.
FTR, I've never said anything about Illinois, but carry-on, I guess 🤷
 
  • Haha
Reactions: knickslions
FTR, I've never said anything about Illinois, but carry-on, I guess 🤷
If we hadn’t defeated Illinois then they would be one of those “similarly” talented teams that PSU doesn’t beat. Since we beat them, they are “not good enough” to warrant any credit for PSU.

If we are saying that only recruiting rankings and “high level talent” being on the team matters, then beating USC this year counts.
 
Many here fail to realize that the best group of players doesn't always make the best team. It takes many parts have to have the best players play together as a team. An example is this year's Alabama, which clearly has one of if not the best group of players in the country, yet they didn't look very impressive in the three games they lost, including losses to Vanderbilt and Oklahoma. However, they sure looked good beating Mercer a couple of weeks ago.
 
  • Like
Reactions: GSPMax
If we hadn’t defeated Illinois then they would be one of those “similarly” talented teams that PSU doesn’t beat. Since we beat them, they are “not good enough” to warrant any credit for PSU.

If we are saying that only recruiting rankings and “high level talent” being on the team matters, then beating USC this year counts.
One game does not change the point. Let me ask you a question.

Let's say that PSU and Alabama had perfectly equal talent and the coaches were JF and Nick Saban.

Which coach do you think is moving the needle more to give their team the best chance to win?
 
  • Haha
Reactions: knickslions
Many here fail to realize that the best group of players doesn't always make the best team. It takes many parts have to have the best players play together as a team. An example is this year's Alabama, which clearly has one of if not the best group of players in the country, yet they didn't look very impressive in the three games they lost, including losses to Vanderbilt and Oklahoma. However, they sure looked good beating Mercer a couple of weeks ago.
And they looked good beating I believe 4 top 25 teams. These are the arguments where you and others lose credibility. Everyone plays teams like Mercer. We played arguably the worst football team in the country at any level this year. Bama has 2 bad losses but great wins. SMU has a bad loss and no quality wins

Why do people want to reward teams for playing an easy schedule?

Bama's resume destroys Miami's even with one less win
 
One game does not change the point. Let me ask you a question.

Let's say that PSU and Alabama had perfectly equal talent and the coaches were JF and Nick Saban.

Which coach do you think is moving the needle more to give their team the best chance to win?
I don’t necessarily like defending CJG, but is that fair? Wouldn’t Nick Saban be the answer to almost any pair you throw into that hypothetical?
 
I don’t necessarily like defending CJG, but is that fair? Wouldn’t Nick Saban be the answer to almost any pair you throw into that hypothetical?
The good news is that Nick Saban isn't at Alabama anymore, and many of the same players no longer play like the Alabama teams most remember. Right now they look a lot more like Mike Shula is the coach than Nick Saban.
 
  • Like
Reactions: doctornick
I'll bet that they eliminate CCG games next year or soon.
I don't see that happening, too much money would be lost. Short term I think they keep the game and reconsider how they seed the playoff teams as there are already a lot of complaints about it. Long term I think we see a mini conference playoff to crown a champion, maybe 4 teams. This would help to solve the problem of unbalanced schedules with these 18 team conferences and the best teams not playing each other. Super long term we'll probably see the Big 10 and SEC break off and do their own thing and the national championship might simply become B1G vs. SEC much like the AFC vs. NFC in the NFL.
 
I don't see that happening, too much money would be lost. Short term I think they keep the game and reconsider how they seed the playoff teams as there are already a lot of complaints about it. Long term I think we see a mini conference playoff to crown a champion, maybe 4 teams. This would help to solve the problem of unbalanced schedules with these 18 team conferences and the best teams not playing each other. Super long term we'll probably see the Big 10 and SEC break off and do their own thing and the national championship might simply become B1G vs. SEC much like the AFC vs. NFC in the NFL.
I think (all opinion) CCGs die way before a mini-conference playoff
 
Folks don’t understand that any computer model reflects the biases of the creator of the model. That is why I would be very careful in relying on a computer model for selecting playoff participants.

The NFL has 32 teams and 14 playoff teams after playing a 17-game season. CFB has over 100 teams and 12 playoff teams after playing a 9 to 12 game season (discounting games played against lower-level teams). That is not enough games to truly determine the 7 at-large programs. As a result, there will always be controversy over the last couple of at-large teams.
The NFL also gives a playoff spot to every division winner, regardless of eye test or record or strength of schedule. You know, like every other sport in existence except for college football. College football fans, programs, conferences and media talking heads lose their minds when you suggest that the easiest answer is to give all 11 conference champs a spot and add in a handful of at large berths (aka wild cards). There is way too much elitism in college football. If the P4 teams are so much better why are they worried about 7 automatic playoff berths for other teams that they will easily beat? They should want that, it gives them an easier path the the championship. If I were in charge that's the exact format I'd choose. Put the ownership on the conferences to send their best team where it's easier to compare them because they will have a bunch of head to head games and common scheduling practices to use as data points.
 
  • Like
Reactions: johnmpsu
I would rather have a computer saying we are 9th versus some biased stuffed suit.
The biased stuffed suit writes the computer algorithm. In this case, ESPN. Are you surprised that a Big 10 team is ranked lower than everywhere else in an ESPN written algorithm?
 
The NFL also gives a playoff spot to every division winner, regardless of eye test or record or strength of schedule. You know, like every other sport in existence except for college football. College football fans, programs, conferences and media talking heads lose their minds when you suggest that the easiest answer is to give all 11 conference champs a spot and add in a handful of at large berths (aka wild cards). There is way too much elitism in college football. If the P4 teams are so much better why are they worried about 7 automatic playoff berths for other teams that they will easily beat? They should want that, it gives them an easier path the the championship. If I were in charge that's the exact format I'd choose. Put the ownership on the conferences to send their best team where it's easier to compare them because they will have a bunch of head to head games and common scheduling practices to use as data points.
Let's go to 24 and we can include all conference winners
 
I would rather have a computer saying we are 9th versus some biased stuffed suit.
You keep speaking of computers as if they're sentient beings. Computers are nothing ... other than a reflection of what a man made. Essentially, if a statistician and computer programmer told you who should make the college football playoff, you'd flip out and scream "bias" ... but if those same people wrote a computer program that led to the same result as they had previously stated, you'd be happily saying "oh, well, the computer said it ... it's so much better than what those guys said!" How do you know that the committee members don't have a system to which they're adhering - the same as if they had written a computer program? A computer only spits out what a "biased stuffed suit" puts into it.
 
chI don’t necessarily like defending CJG, but is that fair? Wouldn’t Nick Saban be the answer to almost any pair you throw into that hypothetical?
I fully agree. And that's the point. A coach's job is to make their players better. If you read the trail up above, I said that JF wins on talent and tend to perform poorly against teams of same/ similar talent - the supposition being that JF gets out coached by his peers. @Kasparaitis retorted that Kirby Smart and Nick Saban were the same.
This is obviously nonsense, which you seem to agree with. Nick Saban makes a difference in the performance of his team in both game plan and in game management that is superior to his peers.
 
The NFL also gives a playoff spot to every division winner, regardless of eye test or record or strength of schedule. You know, like every other sport in existence except for college football. College football fans, programs, conferences and media talking heads lose their minds when you suggest that the easiest answer is to give all 11 conference champs a spot and add in a handful of at large berths (aka wild cards). There is way too much elitism in college football. If the P4 teams are so much better why are they worried about 7 automatic playoff berths for other teams that they will easily beat? They should want that, it gives them an easier path the the championship. If I were in charge that's the exact format I'd choose. Put the ownership on the conferences to send their best team where it's easier to compare them because they will have a bunch of head to head games and common scheduling practices to use as data points.
Well said!!! Winning should matter. Only change I'd make is require conferences with 14 or more teams to split into 2 divisions. That would give you 15 conference/division winners. Then you could have a wildcard (which I hate) for the 16th team or give the number 1 ranked team a bye and wait for the PAC to reconstitute itself and produce the 16th team. That's a true playoff but it will never happen. Too much money in having lucky loser (wildcard) fans thinking there team has a chance.
 
One game does not change the point. Let me ask you a question.

Let's say that PSU and Alabama had perfectly equal talent and the coaches were JF and Nick Saban.

Which coach do you think is moving the needle more to give their team the best chance to win?
Nick Saban is one of the greatest college coaches of all time so sure I’d pick him. That’s a pretty silly question though.

And I certainly don’t think Franklin is all that great as a game day coach. But I’ll easily rate him as at least in the top 15 coaches in the sport today. Winning the games you are “supposed to” isn’t as easy as people seem to like to suggest.
 
Well said!!! Winning should matter. Only change I'd make is require conferences with 14 or more teams to split into 2 divisions. That would give you 15 conference/division winners. Then you could have a wildcard (which I hate) for the 16th team or give the number 1 ranked team a bye and wait for the PAC to reconstitute itself and produce the 16th team. That's a true playoff but it will never happen. Too much money in having lucky loser (wildcard) fans thinking there team has a chance.
We have already seen multiple different versions of divisions, and they were all shitty.
 
  • Like
Reactions: lazydave841
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT