You literally never know which Gulibon will show up from day to day. I know this isn't news, but I guess the bottom line is no one can "expect" a certain amount of points from him at Nationals because NO ONE, not Cody, not Cael, not anyone, knows what he'll do on a given day. He could AA or he could lose first round and neither would be a surprise to me.
If you're realistic, one of those scenarios is much more likely than the other.