PSU vs Ohio State BBall on Fox Sports
- Thread starter The Spin Meister
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ESPN now gives us a 100% chance to win that game. I'm not convinced.
Yesterday at the end of the ND-UNC game, both PSU and UNC were listed in the Last 4 Out, and Wisconsin was listed in the Last 4 In. That just tells you how much that home loss to Wisconsin hurt.
I wouldn't call it "very winnable". Omoruyi has had this game marked on his calendar for a stats builder. Maybe PSU has to go back to that Henn/Dorsey combo.
Rutgers is "very winnable" doesn't mean they will but at home they should
Northwestern and Maryland--not so much
Both losses to Wisconsin and the home loss to Nebraska. Those aren't good teams. Win 2 of those 3 and we're 19-9. Now we have to win 2 of 3 against much better teams.
Just one correction: the loss to Nebraska was on the road. The two home losses were to MSU and Wisconsin.
There is a good chance that we'd be favored over Maryland if we played them tomorrow (if we're a dog, it's a smaller dog than we were tonight).
I'm not worried about us being a favorite or a dog in the eyes of Vegas. We're unlikely to win that. Not impossible just not likely.
That has zero bearing on the numbers that ESPN is generating...they still have Ohio St as stronger than you'd think (as does pretty much everyone), and weren't taking the Key injury into account I'm sure (he's likely worth a point or two).
You're well off...2-1 alone might do it even with a loss in the first game in Chicago (if its on Thursday).
There isn't a much better actual assessment of a team's chances of winning. And it's pretty much a coin flip.
They only lost at Maryland recently by 6 points, and this is a totally different team at home than on the road. They probably need to win at least 4 more games to have a realistic chance. However, they’re close because last night Joe Lanardi had them in the Last 4 Out.
We didn't play well enough defensively to win it tonight, but the offense had one of the best night since December to carry us. This game was an extremely dangerous one (and even moreso with the foul trouble), but we did just enough to get the job done. On to a massive one on Sunday.
4 more wins and we'd be a mortal lock (assuming 3 or 4 of them happen pre-Chicago). 3 more and we're in extremely good shape. 2 and it'll be interesting (though it would have to be 2 with the 10 seed and a loss on Thursday).
Well, I ‘m assuming the 4 wins would be the two remaining home games and then 2 Big 10 Tournament games. That may be ambitious. I’m just not sure that 3 more wins will do it.
the loss to Wisconsin wasn't great but they are a bubble team. it's not a killer to lose that despite the assertions on here
losing to OSU tonight would have ended all chances of getting in. they have lost 9 straight and they are a bad team. on the flip side, the win basically does nothing for our resume and we have to beat Rutgers and Maryland
You’re wrong…there would be a pretty realistic chance of ending up in Dayton with 2-1 and a loss on Thursday.
This year's team is fun to watch. Lots of heart and determiniation.
It would likely be better for the program to get to the NCAA even if it means a first round loss. But for me as a fan I'd rather see the team win the NIT because it would mean a better final record (more wins) and more opportunities to watch this team pull out wins in March. It would also mean more opportunity for playing time in likely more games for the young players Clary, Njie, Mahaffey and Brown which will form the nucleus of next year's team.
Coach Shrew will have his hands full replacing all these seniors. And it likely will take a couple of geat portal additions to replicate this year's accomplishments, along with the development of Clary, Njie, Mahaffey and Brown, and Booth hitting the ground playing a big role. It's been great to see Clary play well recently as a month ago I was dreading him even entering a game.
Always great to beat the bugeyes. But the young high level talent on their team will be much harder to beat next year.
It would likely be better for the program to get to the NCAA even if it means a first round loss. But for me as a fan I'd rather see the team win the NIT because it would mean a better final record (more wins) and more opportunities to watch this team pull out wins in March. It would also mean more opportunity for playing time in likely more games for the young players Clary, Njie, Mahaffey and Brown which will form the nucleus of next year's team.
Coach Shrew will have his hands full replacing all these seniors. And it likely will take a couple of geat portal additions to replicate this year's accomplishments, along with the development of Clary, Njie, Mahaffey and Brown, and Booth hitting the ground playing a big role. It's been great to see Clary play well recently as a month ago I was dreading him even entering a game.
Always great to beat the bugeyes. But the young high level talent on their team will be much harder to beat next year.
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What scenario do you see where 3 wins doesn’t do it? 2-1 means two more Quad 1 wins, and at this point at 10-10 we’re likely in the 7-10 game. Win that (against say Illinois or Michigan), then a loss to Indiana or Northwestern on Friday,and we might be on the verge of avoiding Dayton.
This bubble is so weak, and the number of realistic bid stealers is at an all-time low.
Let's see what the trusty ESPN predictor says! We are a different as in much better team at home and now have won 3 straight so on a little roll. We can definitely beat them at home. Not saying we will but certainly a winnable game.
if we lose one of the two remaining home games i think we are done, unless we go on a tear in the big ten tourney
I think we can get in by winning the two remaining home games and one in the BT tournament
and whatever happens i would challenge the Micah skeptics to compare this situation to Ed or Pat's second year. There was no talk of being on any bubble with 3 games to go. not even close
I hope that you’re right, but PSU has no cache in college basketball and the Committee probably would not fight to select it over some other schools that have a better reputation.
3 more wins and we are definitely in. I wonder if we enter the BTT finishing 2-1 in the last 3 then lose on Thursday in that first rd game so no BTT win. Do we still slip in the play-in game in Dayton?
The two home games pretty much are must wins. They play pretty well at home and hopefully the students will make an impact.
Rutgers has not played that well in February, but Maryland has gotten better as the season has progressed. Regardless, PSU should have a good chance to win both of those games.
if the two wins are the two remaining home games, and we get a little help like Wisconsin falling behind us in the standings, that probably does put us in
i think the killer now would be losing at home this week
“Cache” is meaningless when it comes to the selection committee…it has never mattered before, and won’t this season
As long as that loss is on Thursday, then we’d be right on the edge, and really comes down to the teams around us (for example, Go Rutgers in this second half tonight as we don’t want Michigan picking up this win).
