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Wait...An Actual PSU Football Post-Recruiting Losses

ryoder1

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Feb 17, 2007
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Wafle now going to either OSU or possibly USC but we look out of the mix. How big a loss? Were we ever favored to get him?

Also Khari Adams the CB out of Towson, Maryland seems to he a lock for ND. Again, big impact?

Are we now not going to have a top ten class?
 
Wafle now going to either OSU or possibly USC but we look out of the mix. How big a loss? Were we ever favored to get him?

Also Khari Adams the CB out of Towson, Maryland seems to he a lock for ND. Again, big impact?

Are we now not going to have a top ten class?
They also lost a 4 star lineman to ND yesterday and of rhe course there is Obrien who l believe announces tomorrow...
 
Wafle now going to either OSU or possibly USC but we look out of the mix. How big a loss? Were we ever favored to get him?

Also Khari Adams the CB out of Towson, Maryland seems to he a lock for ND. Again, big impact?

Are we now not going to have a top ten class?
Remember that a third to a half of recruits in any one class most likely will enter the portal at some point in their careers and transfer, often to multiple schools, and that includes even the four and five star guys. That's why I don't follow recruting like I used to and neither get that excited when somebody commits to PSU nor that disappointed when somebody doesn't.

Just like Rucci, several of these players probably will make their way back to PSU who don't originally commit. In fact, it sometimes is good to see how these recruits develop, and then when they enter the portal try to recruit them if they fit a position of need and have developed into a quality player.
 
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Remember that a third to a half of recruits in any one class most likely will enter the portal at some point in their careers and transfer, often to multiple schools, and that includes even the four and five star guys. That's why I don't follow recruting like I used to and neither get that excited when somebody commits to PSU or that dsiappointed when somebody doesn't. Just like Rucci, several of these players probably will make their way back to PSU who don't originally commit.
That's s good point....when many of these high 4 star and 5 star guys don't get immediate playing time they don't hesitate to hit the portal. It's got to be exhausting for these coaches tp constantly have to re recruit their current roster every year while also hitting the high school ranks and monitoring the portal for possible fits
 
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Crystal Balls came in yesterday for I believe 4 of our top recruits and none of the news was good.
Then just move on to others. In the end, there's very little difference with the vast majority of these players who are being recruited by schools like PSU and ND, regardless of how many stars they have. Just look at Tyler Warren, who ended up being one of the best PSU players in the 2000s; how many stars did he have?

Like I said before, in two years from now, several players in these recruiting classes from all of these schools will be somewhere else. I trust this PSU staff to develop most of the players whom they recruit, and the 2026 recruiting class right now is ranked fairly well.
 
That's s good point....when many of these high 4 star and 5 star guys don't get immediate playing time they don't hesitate to hit the portal. It's got to be exhausting for these coaches tp constantly have to re recruit their current roster every year while also hitting the high school ranks and monitoring the portal for possible fits
Was it Deion Sanders who said that he really wasn't even focused that much on recruiting, but rather intended to use the portal and transfers mainly to stock his teams?
 
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Then just move on to others. In the end, there's very little difference with the vast majority of these players who are being recruited by schools like PSU and ND, regardless of how many stars they have. Just loom at Tyler Warren, who ended up being one of the best PSU players in the 2000s; how many stars did he have?
I ve read quite a few pieces about more NIL being used for roster retention than the class of 2026. Who knows though. They'll never reveal the numbers but at some point you have to wonder if they will. I'm sure that Aller has a nice deal
 
Remember that a third to a half of recruits in any one class most likely will enter the portal at some point in their careers and transfer, often to multiple schools, and that includes even the four and five star guys. That's why I don't follow recruting like I used to and neither get that excited when somebody commits to PSU nor that disappointed when somebody doesn't.

Just like Rucci, several of these players probably will make their way back to PSU who don't originally commit. In fact, it sometimes is good to see how these recruits develop, and then when they enter the portal try to recruit them if they fit a position of need and have developed into a quality player.
Yeah I see the point but getting them through the portal is pretty much a big wildcard. Fleming, this current A&M transfer White are two that were highly regarded out of HS then who knows what you will get. We did get A.J. Harris from Georgia to transfer so that has worked out.

The fact is that the portal is designed to fill gaps but you still need a strong foundation in HS recruiting. We are good but not elite in HS recruiting it seems as evidenced by our 12-15ish type classes. So this means OSU, Oregon probably USC and even ND will always have better talent. Our '22 class was #6 and you now see the fruits of that. But when you are 12 -15 type class it becomes difficult to compete. Then add on the fact that Franklin can't spring an upset or beat a team of equal talent yet alone more talent to save his life and you hit a ceiling.
 
Then just move on to others. In the end, there's very little difference with the vast majority of these players who are being recruited by schools like PSU and ND, regardless of how many stars they have. Just look at Tyler Warren, who ended up being one of the best PSU players in the 2000s; how many stars did he have?

Like I said before, in two years from now, several players in these recruiting classes from all of these schools will be somewhere else. I trust this PSU staff to develop most of the players whom they recruit, and the 2026 recruiting class right now is ranked fairly well.

I wouldn't be shocked if:

1. The 4 players all verbal elsewhere
2. OBrien is this years Olesh and reverses course
3. One of them transfers here in the '27 portal

As long as the staff can maintain the '22-present trajectory, I believe we'll be fine. If our HS recruiting lags in evaluating and development, I just hope we continue to fill needs with the portal proper.

I don't get upset at these things. Particularly if it's $$$. We've taken a slew of corner prospects so I assumed a month ago Arrington probably wasn't coming. With his final 2 being Oregon and A&M, I'm willing to bet our bid was the lowest.
 
Yeah I see the point but getting them through the portal is pretty much a big wildcard. Fleming, this current A&M transfer White are two that were highly regarded out of HS then who knows what you will get. We did get A.J. Harris from Georgia to transfer so that has worked out.

The fact is that the portal is designed to fill gaps but you still need a strong foundation in HS recruiting. We are good but not elite in HS recruiting it seems as evidenced by our 12-15ish type classes. So this means OSU, Oregon probably USC and even ND will always have better talent. Our '22 class was #6 and you now see the fruits of that. But when you are 12 -15 type class it becomes difficult to compete. Then add on the fact that Franklin can't spring an upset or beat a team of equal talent yet alone more talent to save his life and you hit a ceiling.
If PSU can bring in recruiting classes that are on either side of a Top 10 ranking, I'll take that. You can win with those kind of classes; Michigan just did that with their 2021 through 2023 teams.
 
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I wouldn't be shocked if:

1. The 4 players all verbal elsewhere
2. OBrien is this years Olesh and reverses course
3. One of them transfers here in the '27 portal

As long as the staff can maintain the '22-present trajectory, I believe we'll be fine. If our HS recruiting lags in evaluating and development, I just hope we continue to fill needs with the portal proper.

I don't get upset at these things. Particularly if it's $$$. We've taken a slew of corner prospects so I assumed a month ago Arrington probably wasn't coming. With his final 2 being Oregon and A&M, I'm willing to bet our bid was the lowest.
I don't want to panic or be overly pessimistic but I also want to at least get into the top 10 class ranking. Maybe that is not a big deal now because of the portal and that seems to be the consensus. I would think we can get a top ten class with the resources at our disposal but we do seem to miss on a lot of elite guys for whatever reason.

Recruiting and certainly the portal is about addressing areas of need. The portal obviously more so but it is applicable to HS recruiting as well. Maybe losing Wafle, the CB and even O'Brien are not crushing to us given what we have on the roster in terms of young talent. But at some point we have to be able to land some high end guys and not settle for the OSU and Oregon leftovers.
 
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Here is the specific players that got CBs yesterday...

-

Four Penn State targets and where they're leaning (per 247Sports Crystal Ball® Predictions):

Five-star ⭐ Joey O'Brien --> Notre Dame (likely)
Four-star ⭐ Grayson McKeogh --> Notre Dame (committed)
Four-star ⭐ Khary Adams --> Notre Dame (likely)
Four-star ⭐ Luke Wafle --> USC (likely, perhaps OSU)

-

I would think we can get a top ten class with the resources at our disposal but we do seem to miss on a lot of elite guys for whatever reason.

I'm right there with you. If it's money, I'm not as bothered though. One rumor is the younger Wafle is asking for $1 mil.
 
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I don't want to panic or be overly pessimistic but I also want to at least get into the top 10 class ranking. Maybe that is not a big deal now because of the portal and that seems to be the consensus. I would think we can get a top ten class with the resources at our disposal but we do seem to miss on a lot of elite guys for whatever reason.

Recruiting and certainly the portal is about addressing areas of need. The portal obviously more so but it is applicable to HS recruiting as well. Maybe losing Wafle, the CB and even O'Brien are not crushing to us given what we have on the roster in terms of young talent. But at some point we have to be able to land some high end guys and not settle for the OSU and Oregon leftovers.
But what about the recruits that PSU does land who were considering other top schools? I mean, PSU is 34-8 in the last three seasons; they haven't done that with a bunch of Pitt or MAC level recruits.

PSU always has lost top players to other schools like Ditka, Dorsett, Kelly, Pryor, etc. But it also always has won recruiting battles against those schools.

Also, isn't the 2026 class highly rated as it stands now? My guess is that if PSU makes the playoffs again this season, that could positively affect signing day with some recruits who could decommit from other schools and commit to PSU.
 
But what about the recruits that PSU does land who were considering other top schools? I mean, PSU is 34-8 in the last three seasons; they haven't done that with a bunch of Pitt or MAC level recruits.

PSU always has lost top players to other schools like Ditka, Dorsett, Kelly, Pryor, etc. But it also always has won recruiting battles against those schools.

Also, isn't the 2026 class highly rated as it stands now? My guess is that if PSU makes the playoffs again this season, that could positively affect signing day with some recruits who could decommit from other schools and commit to PSU.
I don't want us slipping to #15-#16 ranked classes. That is too much of a gap versus a #5 or even #8 class for example. It means you have a lot of 3 stars playing against high 4 stars and 5 stars. Not to bash Franklin but he has not shown the ability to beat teams with more talent. Those 8 losses are all or just about all against teams that have out recruited us or at least matched us in recruiting. We have to stay close to them in recruiting and then hopefully Franklin will learn how to win these big games facing a team with better talent but not significantly better.
 
I don't want us slipping to #15-#16 ranked classes. That is too much of a gap versus a #5 or even #8 class for example. It means you have a lot of 3 stars playing against high 4 stars and 5 stars. Not to bash Franklin but he has not shown the ability to beat teams with more talent. Those 8 losses are all or just about all against teams that have out recruited us or at least matched us in recruiting. We have to stay close to them in recruiting and then hopefully Franklin will learn how to win these big games facing a team with better talent but not significantly better.
I agree. Despite PSU taking a step forward in making the playoffs and winning two playoff games and making the Final Four, it still was 2-3 against the two best Big 10 teams and the three playoff teams that it played. That's why 2025 is so important for PSU to go one step further like Michigan did in 2023.

Look at how PSU hockey making the Final Four has changed that program almost overnight so that it now may land the kid who may be the first pick in the 2026 NHL Draft. Franklin can make PSU a school that basically recruits itself by taking the next step this season and by winning at least one of the Oregon and OSU games.
 
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I agree. Despite PSU taking a step forward in making the playoffs and winning two playoff games and making the Final Four, it still was 2-3 against the two best Big 10 teams and the three playoff teams that it played. That's why 2025 is so important for PSU to go one step further like Michigan did in 2023.

Look at how PSU hockey making the Final Four has changed that program almost overnight so that it now may land the kid who may be the first pick in the 2026 NHL Draft. Franklin can make PSU a school that basically recruits itself by taking the next step this season and at least by winning at least one of the Oregon and OSU games.
Yes he is kind of his own worst enemy in recruiting with all these big game losses. If we could get all the way to a natty or even to the final game this year that would be huge for the program. It would be an accelerator to recruiting as you suggest.

What that would entail is certainly winning some big games and most likely beating OSU finally. It starts with beating Oregon at the White Out game. This is very much achievable and I expect a win. Then go into Iowa City and take care of business. A talented veteran team should be able to calmly handle that environment. Then the biggest game against OSU on the road. Really want to win that one but it is not a must have if that is our only regular season loss. If not a win in Columbus then it is not crushing (assuming no other losses) but just perpetuates the narrative. The bigger concern is mentally does that affect us in the playoff when we face an OSU type team or OSU in the quarters? I guess if we win every game yet lose in Columbus then say lose again to OSU in the final game that is a great season on many fronts. We didn't beat OSU but had to have won multiple big games.
 
Also Khari Adams the CB out of Towson, Maryland seems to he a lock for ND. Again, big impact?

Are we now not going to have a top ten class?
It's not good when we keep losing kids from MD & PA to ND. I hope we don't lose Joey O'Brien.
 
It's not good when we keep losing kids from MD & PA to ND. I hope we don't lose Joey O'Brien.
Expect O'Brien to ND. Highly doubt we land him. Hope I'm wrong. With NIL so pervasive it takes away or minimizes the local region/in state advantage we may have with these elite players where you are talking big bucks. They go where the money is and going to ND if you live in PA or MD is not going that far away.
 
We never should have lost to them in the semis. That game was brutally disappointing.
I think if Aller had even an average game they would have won by 10 points....the loss continues with all these recruits. And we know Seider will continue to pursue Speller and maybe even Mickens even though both have given the infamous 1000% commited tweet
 
We never should have lost to them in the semis. That game was brutally disappointing.
Another 4th quarter collapse by a Franklin coached team vs a top opponent.

24-17 lead with 7:55 to go. PSU seems to be in good position until Leonard completes a 54 yd pass to a wide open Greathouse after Cam Miller falls down. WTF? It reminded me of the blown 4th qtr lead vs Michigan in 2021 when McNamara hit Ali for a 47 yd TD after two PSU DBs ran into each other.

It's difficult to blame Franklin for player screw ups like this but for some reason it's not happening to our top opponents like it's happening to PSU. They keep coming up with the big plays while PSU folds. It's almost like we're good enough to win but we our players lack the confidence.
 
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Another 4th quarter collapse by a Franklin coached team vs a top opponent.

24-17 lead with 7:55 to go. PSU seems to be in good position until Leonard completes a 54 yd pass to a wide open Greathouse after Cam Miller falls down. WTF? It reminded me of the blown 4th qtr lead vs Michigan in 2021 when McNamara hit Ali for a 47 yd TD after two PSU DBs ran into each other.

It's difficult to blame Franklin for player screw ups like this but for some reason our top opponents keep coming up with the big plays while PSU folds. It's almost like we're good enough to win but we our players lack the confidence.
Just bad memories. Another example of our coach and players coming up small in the biggest moments of the biggest games.
 
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Remember that a third to a half of recruits in any one class most likely will enter the portal at some point in their careers and transfer, often to multiple schools, and that includes even the four and five star guys. That's why I don't follow recruting like I used to and neither get that excited when somebody commits to PSU nor that disappointed when somebody doesn't.

Just like Rucci, several of these players probably will make their way back to PSU who don't originally commit. In fact, it sometimes is good to see how these recruits develop, and then when they enter the portal try to recruit them if they fit a position of need and have developed into a quality player.
You guys are sounding like Pitt fans lol recruiting has been pathetic
 
Then just move on to others. In the end, there's very little difference with the vast majority of these players who are being recruited by schools like PSU and ND, regardless of how many stars they have. Just look at Tyler Warren, who ended up being one of the best PSU players in the 2000s; how many stars did he have?

Like I said before, in two years from now, several players in these recruiting classes from all of these schools will be somewhere else. I trust this PSU staff to develop most of the players whom they recruit, and the 2026 recruiting class right now is ranked fairly well.
The worse thing about Warren is that he was obviously our best player in 2023 when we refused to use a 2 TE set despite the fact that our two best receivers played the position. Instead, more 3 receiver nonsense which is all on Franklin because he loves him some 11 personnel grouping even if the receivers can't play. The only explanation I can think of.
 
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I wouldn't be shocked if:

1. The 4 players all verbal elsewhere
2. OBrien is this years Olesh and reverses course
3. One of them transfers here in the '27 portal

As long as the staff can maintain the '22-present trajectory, I believe we'll be fine. If our HS recruiting lags in evaluating and development, I just hope we continue to fill needs with the portal proper.

I don't get upset at these things. Particularly if it's $$$. We've taken a slew of corner prospects so I assumed a month ago Arrington probably wasn't coming. With his final 2 being Oregon and A&M, I'm willing to bet our bid was the lowest.
The 22 to present trajectory likely only holds if we continue to have the easiest schedules we have played in the league which we did in 22, 23 and 24 with 24 being the easiest since at least the 80s. All data suggests that if we revert to the mean schedule wise, we'll be stuck at 8-4.
 
recruiting has been pathetic

Pathetic? Poor adjective.

Definitely 2nd tier.

Still, the way things have fell today, it's fine...

-Wafle to USC doesn't hurt as bad as him going to OSU (USC hasn't had a defense since Sneaky Pete left). If his brother produces this year, we may get him a year later.

-Arrington to A&M is TONS better than Oregon. Cali kid to boot. A&M has wasted more top 10 classes than any program in the sport.

-Johnson to OSU, but who seriously thought we were getting a Cleveland Linebacker?
 
The 22 to present trajectory likely only holds if we continue to have the easiest schedules we have played in the league which we did in 22, 23 and 24 with 24 being the easiest since at least the 80s. All data suggests that if we revert to the mean schedule wise, we'll be stuck at 8-4.

Let's just say that you are correct.

(Caveat, I disagree about recent schedules and don't even understand your 80s schedule hate but that's another topic)

18 team conference. Unlikely that we'll ever play OSU and Michigan together again outside of a ccg. Unlikely we'll play Oregon and USC together outside of a ccg. The schedule should setup for 10-2 quite often.
 
Pathetic? Poor adjective.

Definitely 2nd tier.

Still, the way things have fell today, it's fine...

-Wafle to USC doesn't hurt as bad as him going to OSU (USC hasn't had a defense since Sneaky Pete left). If his brother produces this year, we may get him a year later.

-Arrington to A&M is TONS better than Oregon. Cali kid to boot. A&M has wasted more top 10 classes than any program in the sport.

-Johnson to OSU, but who seriously thought we were getting a Cleveland Linebacker?
I saw a list on another site that had PSU's 2026 class currently listed as #7, and USC and ND as well as OSU already were ranked somewhere in the top 6. Therefore, the most recent losses won't drop PSU behind those schools. Like I said, I'll take a class near the top 10.
 
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Let's just say that you are correct.

(Caveat, I disagree about recent schedules and don't even understand your 80s schedule hate but that's another topic)

18 team conference. Unlikely that we'll ever play OSU and Michigan together again outside of a ccg. Unlikely we'll play Oregon and USC together outside of a ccg. The schedule should setup for 10-2 quite often.
The 80s schedules regularly featured Pitt, ND, Nebraska, Bama, WVU, Syracuse. Maryland, and even competitive Temple and Rutgers teams. Those schedules were much more difficult than the average Big 10 or Big 8 schedule.
 
Let's just say that you are correct.

(Caveat, I disagree about recent schedules and don't even understand your 80s schedule hate but that's another topic)

18 team conference. Unlikely that we'll ever play OSU and Michigan together again outside of a ccg. Unlikely we'll play Oregon and USC together outside of a ccg. The schedule should setup for 10-2 quite often.
The numbers prove it out actually. My comment regarding the 80s is that there isn't much information available for the 80s so unless I am going to spend hours compiling it (which I am not), I can't comment. But, when you look at the regular season schedule we have played, the last three seasons are easily the easiest since joining the Big Ten and 24 was really easy.
 
The 80s schedules regularly featured Pitt, ND, Nebraska, Bama, WVU, Syracuse. Maryland, and even competitive Temple and Rutgers teams. Those schedules were much more difficult than the average Big 10 or Big 8 schedule.
Oh, I know. It's Wally who doesn't seem to. 80s were tough. Probably among the toughest we have ever played.

The numbers prove it out actually. My comment regarding the 80s is that there isn't much information available for the 80s so unless I am going to spend hours compiling it (which I am not), I can't comment. But, when you look at the regular season schedule we have played, the last three seasons are easily the easiest since joining the Big Ten and 24 was really easy.

And yet you ALWAYS bring up the 80s and act like they were weak. You contradicted yourself in 2 sentences. If you don't think enough data exists AND you aren't gonna compile it, how about quit saying it?
 
Pe
I saw a list on another site that had PSU's 2026 class currently listed as #7, and USC and ND as well as OSU already were ranked somewhere in the top 6. Therefore, the most recent losses won't drop PSU behind those schools. Like I said, I'll take a class near the top 10.
Penn State will finish with a barely top 25 class. Most of Penn states class is filled and a lot of other teams still have to fill theirs.
 
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Pe

Penn State will finish with a barely top 25 class. Most of Penn states class is filled and a lot of other teams still have to fill theirs.
PSU will finish with at least a class in in the high to mid 10s, and signing day isn't until December, so any verbal commitments are worth as much as used toilet paper until then; a lot of things can and will change with most of these schools between now and then.
 
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Oh, I know. It's Wally who doesn't seem to. 80s were tough. Probably among the toughest we have ever played.



And yet you ALWAYS bring up the 80s and act like they were weak. You contradicted yourself in 2 sentences. If you don't think enough data exists AND you aren't gonna compile it, how about quit saying it?
You just don't know how to read. What does, "at least since the 80's" mean? Think about it.
 
You just don't know how to read. What does, "at least since the 80's" mean? Think about it.

You have written this many times. Multiple posters have called you on it. You even argued about it.

Now it's "what does at least mean?" Reality is, you meant what you wrote (see your 80s data comment) and are using semantics to act like you didn't write what you wrote.

Another poster brought forth the data about Franklin's schedules and Paterno's and you still argue about it.
 
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You have written this many times. Multiple posters have called you on it. You even argued about it.

Now it's "what does at least mean?" Reality is, you meant what you wrote (see your 80s data comment) and are using semantics to act like you didn't write what you wrote.

Another poster brought forth the data about Franklin's schedules and Paterno's and you still argue about it.

Breen= fart and clown.
 
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