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AP Poll Indicator of CFP Rankings - PSU Implications

The AP poll this week has Georgia ahead of Ole Miss and by a wider margin than it has Alabama ahead of Georgia. Why is that significant? It means these voters put a higher priority on "good losses" and bad losses than head to head. Georgia has two good losses to two top 12 teams, Bama and Ole Miss. Both road losses. Ole Miss has two bad losses, Kentucky and LSU, especially with LSU losing to Florida this past week. If the CFP rankings follow this logic then Georgia will he ahead of Ole Miss.

Implication for Penn State is we cannot lose again or our playoff chances will be very slim. Why?

Indiana will be a team we will be jockeying with for a playoff spot if they lose on Saturday. Even if Indiana loses to OSU they would be ahead of us by only having one loss and a good loss to OSU assuming they are not blown out. This good loss puts them ahead of us. We also would have two losses and one being a bad loss to Minny, for example. In this scenario that then leaves us in a death match versus Tennessee for the 11th spot assuming no other disruptive upsets.

When looking at a 2 loss Penn State vs a 2 loss Tennessee I believe the edge goes to Tennessee. Our losses would be comparable, a good loss and a bad loss, PSU losing to OSU and Minny, Tenn6lising to Georgia and Arkansas. We do currently have the edge in strength of schedule (#32 vs #49). However, I believe the deciding factor would be the signature win comparison. We will not have beaten anyone that good and our best win would be #24 Illinois. They will have beaten a top ten Alabama. That is their trump card over us.

I believe we will win out so we can avoid this mess. In my opinion, we have started the playoffs and our next two games are must wins, no room for error. If we do lose again then we would need some favorable upsets such as USC beating ND an/or Vandy beating Tennessee.

Liberals are losing their minds over Elon Musk

Ever since this day................... Hilarious. The poster boy of the left. The man SAVING THE WORLD....... Now he is enemy #1 of his nation's democratic party......

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This week, Elton John publicly renounced the Rocket Man — no, not the 1972 song, but Elon Musk, whom he called an “a**hole” in an awards ceremony.

Sir Elton, 77, is only the latest among celebrities and pundits to denounce Musk for his support of former president Donald Trump and his opposition to censorship. Musk-mania is so overwhelming that some are calling for his arrest, deportation and debarment from federal contracts.

This week, the California Coastal Commission rejected a request from the Air Force for additional launches from Vandenberg Air Force Base. It is not because the military agency did not need the launches. It was not because the nation and the community would not benefit from them. Rather, it was reportedly because, according to one commissioner, Musk has “aggressively injected himself into the presidential race.”

By a 6-4 vote, the California Coastal Commission rejected the military’s plan to let SpaceX launch up to 50 rockets per year from the base in Santa Barbara County.

Musk’s SpaceX is becoming a critical part of national security programs. It will even be launching a rescue mission for two astronauts stranded in space. The advances of SpaceX under Musk are legendary. The Air Force wanted to waive the requirement for separate permits for SpaceX in carrying out these critical missions.

To the disappointment of many, SpaceX is now valued at over $200 billion and just signed a new $1 billion contract with NASA. Yet neither the national security value nor the demands for SpaceX services appear to hold much interest for officials like Commissioner Gretchen Newsom (no relation to California’s governor, Gavin Newsom): “Elon Musk
is hopping about the country, spewing and tweeting political falsehoods and attacking FEMA while claiming his desire to help the hurricane victims with free Starlink access to the internet.”

Trump "I am not looking for retribution..."

this is a good sign if Trump doesn't go after law abiding political citizens and simply sticks to the rule of law. His comment is that he needs the press (pointing out his meeting with Morning Joe, which shows he is far more gracious than Mika and Joe).

Trump says media is 'vital' to making America 'great again,' vows to work with 'free, fair and open' press

'I am not looking for retribution, grandstanding or to destroy people who treated me very unfairly,' President-elect Donald Trump tells Fox News Digital in an exclusive interview

AP Poll Indicator of CFP Rankings - PSU Implications

The AP poll this week has Georgia ahead of Ole Miss and by a wider margin than it has Alabama ahead of Georgia. Why is that significant? It means these voters put a higher priority on "good losses" and bad losses than head to head. Georgia has two good losses to two top 12 teams, Bama and Ole Miss. Both road losses. Ole Miss has two bad losses, Kentucky and LSU, especially with LSU losing to Florida this past week. If the CFP rankings follow this logic then Georgia will he ahead of Ole Miss.

Implication for Penn State is we cannot lose again or our playoff chances will be very slim. Why?

Indiana will be a team we will be jockeying with for a playoff spot if they lose on Saturday. Even if Indiana loses to OSU they would be ahead of us by only having one loss and a good loss to OSU assuming they are not blown out. This good loss puts them ahead of us. We also would have two losses and one being a bad loss to Minny, for example. In this scenario that then leaves us in a death match versus Tennessee for the 11th spot assuming no other disruptive upsets.

When looking at a 2 loss Penn State vs a 2 loss Tennessee I believe the edge goes to Tennessee. Our losses would be comparable, a good loss and a bad loss, PSU losing to OSU and Minny, Tenn losing to Georgia and Arkansas. We do currently have the edge in strength of schedule (#32 vs #49). However, I believe the deciding factor would be the signature win comparison. We will not have beaten anyone that good and our best win would be #24 Illinois. They will have beaten a top ten Alabama. That is their trump card over us.

I believe we will win out so we can avoid this mess. In my opinion, we have started the playoffs and our next two games are must wins, no room for error. If we do lose again then we would need some favorable upsets such as USC beating ND an/or Vandy beating Tennessee.

Drew Allar is REALLY GOOD

I think we’ve taken the greatness of Drew Allar for granted as fans. Stats don’t necessary pop off, nor has he had the receivers of note like previous PSU teams. But this kid is an absolute stud that makes NFL throws and has the consistency of a top 5 PSU QB.

70% completion rate and 19-4 as a starter. This team is a well oiled machine heading into the playoff. Allar is probably gone at the end of the year so I hope this fan base enjoys the end of his great career. My only NIL hope is that our collectives pony up to keep him one more year.

Cheers to a long playoff run!
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