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Where would a 10-2 PSU be ranked at the end of regular season?

Currently 6 undefeated and 7 one loss power 5 teams. They also currently rank 2 loss Utah, K St, and LSU ahead of PSU. That's 16 teams.

For simplicity, I will assume that the undefeated teams remain 1 loss or less and ahead of us or even 2 losses and ahead. There is a chance 1 or 2 teams drop 2 or more remaining games and fall below us but looking at their schedules I'd assume probably 5 or 6 of those schools finish above a 10-2 PSU.

The 1 loss teams are a more interesting analysis.

Bama would have to lose to #15 LSU or #11 Ole Miss. I doubt either happens but if only 1 does then I think Bama probably still remains above a 10-2 PSU due to SEC bias.

Oregon still has #12 Utah and #24 Oregon St. and possibly their championship game opponent. It is quite possible they end up with 2 or 3 losses. I'd say maybe 50% chance they fall behind a 10-2 PSU.

USC still has #10 UCLA and Notre Dame along with a possible conference championship game. Again, I'd give them a 50% probability of dropping below us.

UCLA still has #9 USC and a shot at a conference championship game. Another coin flip for them dropping below us.

Ole Miss has #6 Alabama and two 5-3 SEC teams on their schedule. Probably 25% chance they remain above a 10-2 PSU.

Illinois has #4 Michigan, 3 loss Purdue, and possibly a conference championship game. I'm guessing 10% chance they end above a 10-2 PSU.

I'm guessing 2 or 3 current 1 loss teams would finish ahead of a 10-2 PSU.

The 2 loss teams currently ranked ahead of us are Utah (faces #8 Oregon and possibly conference championship game), K St (faces three 3 loss teams and a conference championship if they get by them), and LSU (faces #6 Alabama and 3 loss Arkansas).

I don’t know that any of the 3 current 2 loss teams finish ahead of a 10-2 PSU. Maybe 1 pulls it off.

So by my math, a 10-2 PSU if we can get there:

5 or 6 current undefeated teams + 2 or 3 current 1 loss teams + maybe 1 current 2 loss teams = anywhere from 7 to 10 teams finishing the regular season ahead of a 10-2 PSU.

So I would project a 10-2 PSU lands anywhere between #8 and #11 in the country at the end of the regular season. That could even lead to a top 5 finish if we win our bowl.

Happy Valley Hospitality

We had the pleasure of hosting some friends and their kids this past weekend as they toured the school. While I don't think we converted them (one to Arkansas, one to Arizona, one undecided), I do believe they had a great time - minus the one Penn State "fan" in WC that was doing his best Randy Quaid in Major League impersonation.

Here's my recap of our weekend.

Football OPINION: After loss to Ohio State, it's time for Penn State's youth movement


I don't write many opinion pieces and it's something I would like to do more of. Hopefully, you guys enjoy my rambling here about the quarterback situation and more.

New Feature in WrestleStat - Prediction Results!

I finally got some time to finish up a feature where you can see the results of the prediction.

On the Box Score page for duals, you can now see the results of the prediction engine for each of the 10 match results, right below the actual result. It will also show a result status of a green checkmark if the engine correctly predicted a win (regardless of win type), or a red "x" if it predicted a win but the result was a loss.

Couple other things to note:
1) Both wrestlers/schools must be in the same Division
2) Must be a valid win type, ie: DEC, MD, TF, FALL, SV-X, TB-X
3) The predicted result was calculated AS OF 1 DAY PRIOR TO THE ACTUAL MATCH

This will give everyone the opportunity to see, at a quick glance, how the prediction engine performs.

Linked below is the "Recent Duals" page where you can check out as many results as you want. You can also go back to prior seasons by going to a schools profile page for X season, then clicking the "Schedule" tab from there (though you have to be logged in to view other seasons' profiles).

https://www.wrestlestat.com/event/recentduals

Penn State needs Franklin more than ever.

I’m very familiar with Franklin’s record and his strengths and weaknesses as a coach. There have been times where I wouldn’t have mined if he left for USC or another job.

My opinion of him has changed and my belief that we should keep him around has been reinforced and it has zero to do with with his record against Michigan or Ohio State, his record after bye weeks, his clock management, blown leads, his reliance on his coordinators on both sides of the ball, etc.

My opinion of him has changed because our society is deteriorating rapidly. We are heading for the toilet as a country IMO.

Franklin is a class act and a steady hand. In our rapidly deteriorating world holding onto a guy like James Franklin who represents stability in an unstable
world in my opinion is more important now than ever.

Kiffin was calling an opposing player a B over the weekend and he’s Auburn’s number one guy.

Look at how sideways things have gotten at so many historically strong programs. Why would Penn State be immune to this?

Clifford was boo’d at the Minnesota game. That’s a societal thing because FAR WORSE Penn State QB’s from the 80’s, 90’s or 00’s were never boo’d. Matt Seneca was never boo’d. Kevin Thompson was never boo’d. McQueary was never boo’d.

What were Anthony Morelli’s career stats against Ohio State and Michigan? I looked them up. He started 4 games in 06’ and 07’. 54-95 519 yards NO TD’s and 4 interceptions. Anthony Morelli was never boo’d. Morelli never threw a TD pass and never eclipsed 200 yards passing in 4 losses to Ohio State and Michigan. What would Barstool Sports and Twitter say about Morelli today?

How long have some of you been following Penn State? 5 years? Cause your sense of history as it relates to this program is trash.

I hope Clifford starts the rest of the way and gets to a New Years 6 bowl game as one of the better Penn State QB’s I have seen over the last 40 years. He’s not a NFL QB, but by Penn State standards he’s been pretty good. If you revere Paterno I’m not sure how you can be seriously down on Clifford.

We haven’t won a National Championship in almost 40 years and it’s time to look to the future at QB when we could earn a major bowl invite? What? Cause we’re bored of Orange Bowl invites at Penn State?

I wonder what Paterno would say if he were around today with people booing Clifford and asking for the freshman to play with the team competing for a New Years 6 bowl game? I guarantee he wouldn’t be as kind as Franklin who now has to also manage a fan base that is becoming increasingly more stupid.

***Ask The Staff -- Wednesday Edition***

Feel free to ask any questions for Nittany Nation’s staff members post your questions about the team, recruiting, or anything else in this thread below. If we don't know the answer, we'll work our hardest to get the best answer possible. Please refrain from commenting on other people's questions and answers, however, feel free to start a new thread to discuss any of our questions.

We will check in on the thread all day long to answer whatever questions you have!

Film Study - Penn State D vs. OSU

PSU D vs. OSU FILM STUDY

See Link. After watching (and editing this) it felt like Penn State's 50 minutes of defensive success had as much to do with what Ryan Day wasn't doing than with what Manny Diaz was doing. It's almost like Day was coaching with one arm tied behind his back, making life difficult for his offense when it didn't have to be. IDK. Finally, anyone else over that Cover 0, crowd everybody at the line on 3rd and long blitz package yet? I get the confusion that it can cause upfront, but what I don't get is why the "droppers" engage upfield briefly before they drop -- seems like a tough ask for those guy (who aren't used to moving backwards) to go in reverse and cover that ground when their first step is upfield.
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Hey fellow Steelers fans, can you believe that the Bears gave up a 2nd round pick . . .

for a mediocre player like Claypool? That was a great exchange for a player whom the Steelers never should've drafted in the first place where they did. It's a shame that they couldn't have done the same thing with Harris, who is another player they never should've drafted where they did.

I just hope that they follow what the Eagles usually do, and start drafting lineman after lineman.
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