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Revised Odds Of 10 AAs and Expected AAs

There are 10 teams with all 10 wrestlers ranked in the top 33 this week. Six of those teams have all 10 ranked by all 3 ranking services.

Ill Be Back Jim Carrey GIF

Yes, but not all chances are equal. So who can make a run at Minnesota?

Remember that based on seeds The Golden Gophers only had a 0.78% chance of finishing with 10 AAs when they did the deed.

Chances of All 10 AAs

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Based on rankings (and assuming they equate to seeds) here are the current expectations for AAs for the mighty ten.
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Poor Pitt.

Ten ranked wrestlers and they will hope to scratch out one AA.

Some budget thoughts. Disappointing so far

I heard and i hope incorrectly that the first budget by the HoR showed only a $200 billion reduction. A few random facts that i have heard in the past week make me very disappointed. In no particular order.

DOGE - How much real savings do we think will be identified? They say they are at $55 billion right now. Add to that the $20 billion that EPA found. Then they talk about some huge numbers from Social Security, and Medicaid in fraud only not benefits. Safely another $50 billion.
DoE - Pick a number $10 billion
Reduction of workforce - 200,000 ? That equals another $20 billion.
So that is the easy stuff and equals $155 billion. At a bare minimum, just from waste and fraud.

Then I started thinking about the stock market and the S&P was up 23% last year. Most analysis I have heard is a large part of that rise was do to the expected tailwind of cost reduction and efficiency from AI. Well think of the Federal government as a $7 trillion dollar company. I haven't heard anyone talk about efficiencies from AI at the federal level. Why not? Could AI bring a 10% saving with no reduction of service? Seems quite possible. Let's just use a 5% number. If my zeroes are correct that is $350 billion more dollars.

Now we are at $455 billion without much effort and no DoD.

My biggest beef so far. Department of Defense budget in 2024 was what $850 billion. This department has never passed an audit. What will DOGE find here? I think this could be an enormous number. Google fact. The US has the largest defense budget in the world and not by a little bit.
We spend more than countries 2-9 COMBINED. How can the HoR think we need a $150 billion increase. Adding insult to injury was a report i heard talking about the how the face of war is changing so dramatically. The author of this report said the future will be fighting with drones and cited the success Ukraine is having today. This person said drone firepower is dramatically less expensive than traditional methods. I just don't see in a world of cutting spending why the DoD which will show huge waste,[from DOGE] and now a new cheaper fighting technology is developing needs an increase in a defense budget that is already twice the size of Russia and China combined.

Taxes - This what i think they should do. Make permanent the tax cuts from 2017 for everyone making less than $500k. [almost everyone] then allow the other features expire. Why? If I am not mistaken the SALT limits also expire. I believe a very large majority of those making over $500k actually paid more in taxes with the SALT limits at $10,000. I personally think the SALT limits were a good thing but by letting the tax plan expire on the "rich" folks completely destroys the D argument without actually raising taxes.

Any way it is early in the process but this is the first thing I have heard that I don't like. Thoughts? If we could cut $ 1trillion from the budget this becomes the baseline for the next 10 year forecast. that would equal at a minimum a $10 trillion reduction to the rate of growth of the deficit. That i believe would allow the Feds to lower interest rates which lowers inflation and grows the economy. All good
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OT: Travel & Food ideas and advice

Heading to San Diego on Friday. Primary objective is seeing #2 son, who the US Navy and Covid have conspired against us seeing since October 2019.

We have a pretty solid list of stuff to do, but this board has always been great about travel advice.

Currently on the list:
Sub tours are back open, so we'll get to tour his sub, and I can't wait
Zoo
Safari Park
Sea World
Cabrillo/Point Loma
USS Midway Island Tour
Gaslamp Quarter
Blenders Eyewear store for guess who
Trip to LA (engagement party, Hollywood walk of fame, maybe side trip to Joshua Tree)
Torrey Pines Natural Area was on the list, but now I just found out the US Open in there that week

So, primarily looking for restaurants and can't miss attractions to fill out the week.

Recruiting

In my estimation there shouldn’t be any reason y we can’t land at-least 1 blue chip prospect in this class because as-far-as I’m concerned this is the best coaching staff we’ve ever assembled. Our coaching staff really is elite currently with Knowles on-board.

My idea of an elite class is landing Travis Johnson, Joey O’Brien, as-well-as 1 of Zion Elee, &/or Immanuel Iheanacho

If there was ever a time to donate to NIL now would be the time to do it because we really do currently have an elite coaching staff in-place across the board with the addition of Knowles!
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DEMOCRAT THREATS OF ASSAULT

The Democrats who threaten Musk and Trump should be criminally charged with Terroristic Threats as they are going to get people murdered and assaulted.
The heightened rhetoric of the Congressional Democrats is disturbing as these defenders of Democracy want war in the streets and by their words are urging acts against those involved in ferreting out the FRAUD AND CORRUPTION which obviously exist in the USAID.

The Dems will "die" on the hill of the Dept of Education because that Dept above all others engage in circular grift and fraud and they will protect this sacred cow above all others. And this be so despite the clear evidence that the Dept is failing to educate America's children. So difficult to believe that so many 4th and 8th graders are deficient in math and reading and falling further behind. The return of the business of educating children should be returned to the States. The Dems' opposition is based upon retaining power and money and concentrating their governance in Washington DC. The Dept has abused their power by imposing their left-wing policies of DEI, Critical Race theory, and Trans in Athletics and rest rooms and must go as not representative of the desires of the majority of parents in the country.

Myles Garrett requests trade...bad news for Abdul Carter?


I feel pretty confident Carter was going to the Browns at 2 if they still had Garrett if the Titans passed on him but now it's a lock
Would hate to see him suffer the same fate as Garrett. At least with Garrett they weren't going to be able to double Carter constantly.
Hopefully the Titans pass on mediocre QBs and take go BPA
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