Wind will affect the offense much more than the defense. It can be a bigger factor than rain - look for anything over about 9-10mph. It makes the passing game difficult, and the clock ticks more when teams run more (and the defense will know the run is coming). Here are the games that it can affect - PSU, UM/MSU, Iowa/Ill, Purdue/Minn, No. Ill/Kent st, E Mich/Toledo, Maryland/Ohio St (Maryland down to 3rd QB).
It seems like this game always comes down to a late FG. Miami's offense is really good, but FSU has to be primed for this game. No opinion on the side, but I took under 48.5 early in the week.
Thanks. I think the stormy weather is supposed to roll through the midwest on Fri-Sat. Looks like mostly showers, but windy.
Nice. I'm with you on nd, tcu, kst, colo, and sdsu. I am not feeling good about sdsu though. Unlv has a potent rush attack and sdsu hasn't been as good as I thought against the run. I'm thinking of grabbing UM if the line drops. Also kind of like cal in a bounce back, but two weeks in a row on the road is making me hesitate
What in the world was Wilcox doing kicking that field goal? Was he trying to cover? Really weird. Funny because there was a later cover by Utah where they botched the snap on the xp and the kicker barely got the ball over the cross bar.
Did you make your parlay? Of the 7 games I posted, the under went 4-3 and one of the 3 losses was a horrible beat in the Purdue/Minny game. Game was delayed by weather and was 13 points under the total with less than 2 min left. Purdue scores a TD and then Minny drives the field only to throw a 75 yd pick 6 on 4th down with seconds left. Ouch.
I think you did a 3 teamer. Man, those are tough to hit. I tuned into Iowa and noticed that the wind was not blowing as hard as predicted. I thought that would have been one of the solid unders.
Wow, really. I'll be on that.Night game at Beav is worth 5 points in my opinion. Not to mention, revenge spot, injured Speight and PSU off a bye.
Be careful about the "off a bye". It is rarely an advantage. Just look at Michigan last week. Historically BIG teams have losing records after byes. Jim Tressel was below .500 after byes despite an overall winning percentage of about .800... I might be wrong and dont have the time to research more thoroughly historically, but I really think you guys could make money betting against teams coming off of byes.
I disagree. A good coach getting an extra week to prepare and an extra week of rest for players is an edge. You may not see a statistical advantage ATS because this is usually already built into the spread. When I originate spreads, I typically give an extra point for the bye. I will agree that not all coaches are good enough to take advantage of the bye, but the good ones are.
I nabbed wvu at 3 yesterday. I don't trust cliff Kingsbury to coach a good game in a somewhat hostile environment
Is it $25 limit for everyone for the look ahead lines?
I don't think I can ever bet on a Jim Mora team again. God he is awful, but Scrap's run defense is not helping at all. Oregon does have a good rushing attack with Royce Freeman. If that number gets to 7, I'll take it and may even take the +6.5 if it stays.
