You use the same argument against Gulibon that you use for Brooks. I'd also add that Gulibon gets a different draw if he loses to Manley - hard to argue a hypothetical that he is not deserving of his finish. Fact is that he was R16 last year and his body of work is far superior than anything Iowa has at 141 at this point in time. In fact, at this time his body of work for his career is superior to Brooks. I get that he is a disappointment to many as he is not considered a high AA at this point.
Gulibon and Nickal are solid favorites at this point - period. If you want to argue that Gulibon could be upset - that's a different argument. It would be a surprise, at this point, the match is not a tossup.
Things could change during the season - at a lot of weights.
How in the world did I use the same argument? I was pointing out that the other Penn State fan was using the arguments in reverse. My argument is that Brooks was the 2 seed at NCAAs last year and the B1G champ, and has a much better season last year than Gulibon.
His argument was that Jimmy was better at the end of the season. I argued that he wasn't, and then point out his W/L record and that he had one good result, an OT win over Micah Jordan.
Jimmy had 0 wins against 2016 141 lb. All Americans. Zero. 0fer. Nada. Zilch. He had one win against a round of 12 guy. He was 1-7 against R12 or better.
Sammy was 3 wins against 2016 184 lb. All Americans. He had one additional win against a Round of 12 guy. He was 4-5 against R12 or better.
Sammy Brooks was 27-7 last year at the toughest weight in the country. Gulibon was 15-11 at not the toughest weight in the country. There is no reasonable comparison b/w Brooks and Gulibon last year.
Finally, Gulibon lost 11 matches last year, and they weren't all to dominant top level wrestlers. For example, he lost to 4-4 Zac Hall. To think it shocking for him to lose to anybody in the top 25 is homerism.
There's just not a comparison between the two wrestlers last year. Brooks was much better.