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Willie's Crystal Ball for 2025

To take it a step further, he makes a lot of his money finishing long, extended shots. Looked outstanding doing it this summer, but remember how he struggled a bit at that the previous summer as he was moving up weight. I could see him having some trouble finishing when he's making another weight jump.
I agree with the long, extended shots. Like Carter, he has become very good at sucking those thighs in to finish as a double. Wrestling 197 could definitely pose a problem finishing that way. However, he will be quicker than most of his opponents and has developed a pretty mean ankle pick.
Your points are valid. It will remain to be seen how he handles mat wrestling with these bigger guys. He's been a hammer on top throughout his career. We'll have to see how he does getting out.
He is bigger than most people think. He was walking around at 204 before his decent for Worlds. That weight is surely back on. I'm more worried about how he handles getting back to 184 after this year. That may be a challenge.
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Stock market update

1. This thread is ridiculous. He knew more on the topic than most on this board combined, but the peanut gallery throws shade.

2. To your debt point and the $1T of the US budget that is now just interest payments - Now you know why the Government induces inflation. Low interest rates = lower debt growth. Printing of money inflates prices/reduces value of dollar = national debt is functionally lowered (at the expense of any American with money in savings)

The whole thing more and more resembles a gigantic Ponzi Scheme. It can only hold together as long as the dollar continues to be the world's reserve currency, which has been the case since the end of World War II.

But the world is changing and global order is shifting due in part to disastrous blunders on the part of our own government. And honestly, though I have very strong political convictions, the blindness in Washington has been a bipartisan affair.

In any case, this is why I said it will only take one big crisis to bring what has become a badly out-of-wack system to its knees. And when you look at the situation in the world today, it's not hard to see more than one potential candidate for such a crisis.
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Stock market update

Re: the debt clock.

It’s funny when anyone thinks politicians on either side of the aisle (aside from a handful) give one shit about the debt due to some honest convictions. Most who say they care only care when they’re out of power and don’t have to make any tough votes to support their phony position
Politicians get elected by promising free stuff. They lose elections by proposing to take stuff away. That's why NOBODY is proposing a fix to entitlement trust funds.
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Willie's Crystal Ball for 2025

I think AB is significantly better than Starocci fwiw. I'd pick Starocci over Keck, but I think there's a much better chance of Keck beating him than Keck beating AB.
I think the AB is way better than Starocci is all based on the fact he is way superior freestyler and more offensive. If ADS and RBY never wrestled, I'm sure just going off styles and results, people would say ADS is better. They're different wrestlers ultimately. There is some revisionist history going on here and we're applying the 2024 AB at 197 back to his first 3 years.

Not counting the 2 defaults, Carter hasn't lost since his freshman year. Brooks has twice and also had more close calls than some remember (including against Kaleb Romero in the dual where he honestly should have been hit for stalling and sent to SV) After his junior year, he and Keckeisen wouldn't wrestle again.

Stock market update

I agree with most of what you said but I don't feel too bad for young people.
  • Back when I graduated college the unemployment rate was nearly 8%. Today it's just over 4%. Young people today have a much easier time finding jobs.
  • Pay is generally good too. My local McDonald's is offering $19.50 to start. Local manufacturers are paying $22/hr with full benefits - no experience necessary. I saw a sign that my school district is looking for bus drivers at $29.50/hr to start. UPS drivers, dock workers, etc are making 6 figures.
  • We were very lucky to get an 8.5% mortgage on our first house. They went up to 14% shortly after that.
  • Today's youth has far more luxuries than we had. A cell phone is just the beginning.
  • The Great Wealth Transfer is just beginning. $53 trillion will be passed down from boomers to their Gen X, millennial and Gen Z heirs, as well as to charities.

All good points.

It's an interesting picture these days...and not necessarily interesting in a good way.

On the one hand, as you suggest, I see help-wanted signs all over the place. Restaurants, factories, county government, retail stores...the list goes on.

On the other hand, most of these positions don't seem to be of the sort that lend themselves to long-term careers in support of families and communities.

Forbes published an article earlier this year describing the problems that college graduates are having in finding decent jobs after graduation. Of course the article also discussed how one of the reasons for this is that a lot of these kids are simply not grown up, and companies are looking for grown-ups or people who can at least come across as grown-ups in interviews.

To your point, however, I'm pretty sure most of our five married kids are not heavily invested in the stock market but they (and/or their spouses) are building good careers and providing good lives for their children by simple virtue of high character and hard work, the two elements that have always been the most important elements of success in life, no matter the prevailing economic conditions.

You said not to feel bad for young people today, but in a way I do because they grew up in a consumer society with a variety of comforts and privileges that were unimaginable in previous ages of history while being conditioned to think of success in terms of acquiring things.

Yet by and large, I don't know that most of them were given the most important thing of all, something you can't put a price tag on but is essential: a sense of meaning and purpose in life. I think that's the foundation of character...and character is the foundation of success in everything else.

Willie's Crystal Ball for 2025

I'm not saying I think Parker will beat Carter, just that it's not impossible to see Parker win. I have no fear of Plott beating Carter. I think Carter gave Brooks a run for his money in practice and he was smaller. Never knew Carter lost to Assad in high school. Sounds so crazy compared to what they became.
It's absolutely not impossible to see Parker win. My bad but the way you were talking about that HS match made me think you think Carter has little to no chance against Parker because of that match. Agree it wasn't close. Think Parker had 3 TDs and Carter got a 4 off of when Parker had another single and looked like he could score if anything. That match looks worse in folkstyle if anything.

There's a reason why Carter was a blue chipper but not some "can't miss" level recruit. He was getting brutalized early in the room. Something clicked for him early on here.
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Football Pair of former Penn State football players charged with felonies

I'm as big of a JoePa fan as anybody but he also had some out of control players. Remember LaVon Chisley?

And don't forget JoePa actually made the cover of Sports Illustrated for the offseason where something like 35 players were arrested (that was the year with the Scirotto brawl over someone's girlfriend getting insulted.) That was a sign that the program wasn't the tight ship that it had been (or that PSU fans thought it was).

Hundreds and hundreds of players flow through a football program -- and it will be more with the transfer rules. I'm sure Franklin and staff are really diligent about getting to know players and their families before scholarship offers get out, but there are going to be mistakes sometimes.

Anyway there's no reason for people to freak out about it. Unlike the latter Paterno years, I don't think there is a pattern here. Franklin's teams have had very few criminal arrests.
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Willie's Crystal Ball for 2025

I watched Carter get his ass kicked by Kemerer at Big Tens in 2021, that wasn't close and he turned around that result 2 weeks later.

Carter lost to Assad in HS. He lost to Plott also ... that wasn't close either, are you worried about Carter losing to Plott next year if they meet?

I say all that to say this, Carter vs Parker is 100% a thing but using that match to say Keckeisen is a favorite isn't the right logic.
I'm not saying I think Parker will beat Carter, just that it's not impossible to see Parker win. I have no fear of Plott beating Carter. I think Carter gave Brooks a run for his money in practice and he was smaller. Never knew Carter lost to Assad in high school. Sounds so crazy compared to what they became.

Poor Rudy. He's lost all of his shiat.

Shaye Moss and Ruby Freeman are taking his NYC apartment and a bunch of his other stuff (including his autographed Joe DiMaggio jersey). The poor guy is losing all of his shiat. Not that he didn't lose his shiat before. Just another object lesson that ETTD.

Rudy's daughter is, not surprisingly, upset to watch her dad's life crumble as a result of his association with Cheeto Hitler. She warns that everyone should get out and vote for Kamala Harris in order to make sure that the Orange Felon never again gets close to the White House.

https://www.msnbc.com/deadline-whit...-crumble-because-of-donald-trump-220936773921

Realistic impact on Bowl Games

In summary, the bowls game may be meaningful to the players, coaches, students, and fans, but they aren't meaningful to LandoComando, so they shouldn't be played.

Got it!
No, the aren't meaningful because there's a playoff--the outcomes mean nothing. It's a scrimmage
You can think I'm crazy all you want--the bowls are going to die--we're seeing that already

Stock market update

OK, since Eduardo's no longer here, I'll play his role. Hell, somebody has to do it.

The reality of life in America's post-modern economy is that if you're heavily invested in equities, you're doing very well. However, if you don't have the resources to be heavily invested in equities, you're left getting by as well as you can...which may not be all that well.

You're likely not buying houses...not starting families...may be still living with your parents well into your 20s...may be holding down two jobs to get by...etc. I mean, there's a reason that polling shows 75% of the population thinks the country is on the wrong track.

I'm ballparking that maybe 20% (or less) of the population is thriving in what has become a system increasingly divided between haves and have-nots. For example, fed data last year showed that 10% of the population owned 93% of all stocks. It's to the point where a majority of the citizenry need no longer apply for membership in what was once quaintly called "The American Dream."

With the federal debt approaching $40 trillion, now almost $1 trillion of that being service on the debt, I don't think this situation is sustainable in the long-term or healthy in the short-term. In fact, we're one crisis away, whether it be domestic or international or a combination of the two, from a massive correction that may shake the system to its core.


Instead of investing in tats and limited edition kicks the poor should have invested in stocks.

We cant redistribute brains and hard work. Can you name ANY system where the poor will be successful and self sufficient? The poor fail on merit. The more we do for them the less they do for themselves.



Bush suggested we tie social security to the stock market. Everyone who worked would be invested. Dems were against the plan.

Stock market update

OK, since Eduardo's no longer here, I'll play his role. Hell, somebody has to do it.

The reality of life in America's post-modern economy is that if you're heavily invested in equities, you're doing very well. However, if you don't have the resources to be heavily invested in equities, you're left getting by as well as you can...which may not be all that well.

You're likely not buying houses...not starting families...may be still living with your parents well into your 20s...may be holding down two jobs to get by...etc. I mean, there's a reason that polling shows 75% of the population thinks the country is on the wrong track.

I'm ballparking that maybe 20% (or less) of the population is thriving in what has become a system increasingly divided between haves and have-nots. For example, fed data last year showed that 10% of the population owned 93% of all stocks. It's to the point where a majority of the citizenry need no longer apply for membership in what was once quaintly called "The American Dream."

With the federal debt approaching $40 trillion, now almost $1 trillion of that being service on the debt, I don't think this situation is sustainable in the long-term or healthy in the short-term. In fact, we're one crisis away, whether it be domestic or international or a combination of the two, from a massive correction that may shake the system to its core.
1. This thread is ridiculous. He knew more on the topic than most on this board combined, but the peanut gallery throws shade.

2. To your debt point and the $1T of the US budget that is now just interest payments - Now you know why the Government induces inflation. Low interest rates = lower debt growth. Printing of money inflates prices/reduces value of dollar = national debt is functionally lowered (at the expense of any American with money in savings)
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