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Lets Talk Big 10 Expansion

What everyone said about Rutgers wasn't wrong except for the NYC thing. NYC people do not follow college football. It was more about supplying another team to the east to balance out the eastern schedule that was a contiguous state which was more important to the Big 10 at that time.

MD was about luring VA and still is. Fox and the Big 10 greatly value VA. People may not like that but they do. It is a growing population that follows college football. FOX sees money and that's ok by me they are a billion-dollar business so they should know about those things.

VA isn't a top pick for expansion UNC and ND are along with FSU but they still want VA they just aren't top three and maybe not top four considering GT.
I don’t buy UVA’s value at all. They have absolutely pitiful TV numbers, and that’s not changing with an invitation to the Big Ten.
 
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I think some posters are misreading the value of Georgia Tech. The Atlanta market is huge and it is a hot bed for college football. My daughter's family is in Alpharetta (a suburb) and a majority of the residents are transplants. I visit frequently, and in their development, Saturdays brings out a wide variety of college fans. So it is not just about GA Tech, it's about all of the college fans. I walk their dog, and I see flags for GA, Clemson, SC, LSU, OSU, Mich, Tennessee, Alabama, FL, NC, Duke and even Delaware. Not to mention Pitt. The BT needs a local player there.
 
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I think some posters are misreading the value of Georgia Tech. The Atlanta market is huge and it is a hot bed for college football. My daughter's family is in Alpharetta (a suburb) and a majority of the residents are transplants. I visit frequently, and in their development, Saturdays brings out a wide variety of college fans. So it is not just about GA Tech, it's about all of the college fans. I walk their dog, and I see flags for GA, Clemson, SC, LSU, OSU, Mich, Tennessee, Alabama, FL, NC, Duke and even Delaware. Not to mention Pitt. The BT needs a local player there.
GT is a sleeping giant. Some people are just short sighted in that they refuse to see beyond the current situation. That's not how big corporations look at things. A team like GT is an investment on future gains. Investment being the key word long term be applicable to the outcome. GT has 8 national championships so it can get done at GT with the investment. Love me some Rambling Wreck.
 
Do they let Stanford in without Cal? Clearly there need to be more west coast teams but who? Utah is okay, good at football, meh academically. Stanford and Cal are elite academics but lousy in football. After that you have the Arizona schools, no. Oregon State, Wash State, no. Colorado, maybe. 6 west coast teams seems odd but maybe that is it.
To take Cal (imo) something will have gone terribly wrong in Big 10 expansion efforts.

Stanford Utah ASU AZ CO KS are all on the list as I said but down the list however, they are on the list. Of that group Stanford and Utah have the best shots. Utah seems to think they have a good shot but down the road. Stanford gets in because of ND or (imo) they probably wouldn't make it either. Utah has big support from the 4 west teams that just came in. That lobby means something too, Stanford also but not as much as Utah. For CO it would be a tough clime for them when it came to the votes.
 
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GT is a sleeping giant. Some people are just short sighted in that they refuse to see beyond the current situation. That's not how big corporations look at things. A team like GT is an investment on future gains. Investment being the key word long term be applicable to the outcome. GT has 8 national championships so it can get done at GT with the investment. Love me some Rambling Wreck.

I respectfully disagree. It’s not short sighted, we just don’t agree with your assumptions.

It’s been claimed that Ga Tech will suddenly become good and capture the Atlanta market because now they’ll be playing Ohio St, Michigan, and Penn St. That’s just a wild assumption not based on any facts.

Actually, it ignores the fact that for the past 35 years (or so) they’ve played Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia. That hasn’t suddenly vaulted them into respectability and it has not captured the hearts and minds of people in Atlanta.

It’s been said they’re in big market Atlanta. Well, see Rutgers and New York City. Neither will bring their big market city and the fallacy that they ‘just will’ is based on nothing other than opinion. It flies in the face of all experience with Rutgers/ NYC and flies in the reality that Atlanta is a UGA town (and wider SEC in general). Good corporations don’t repeat mistakes.

It’s just assumed that Ga Tech will suddenly be a good football team because they can invest the big ten money. See Rutgers, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern, Maryland, etc. They all get lots of money, none have become powerhouses. Hell, even Nebraska with its great tradition and history is struggling big time. But Georgia Tech is suddenly, magically, going to be the exception? Sorry, I don’t see it.

Georgia Tech has 4 claimed national titles, (1917, 1928, 1952, 1990), and 3 unclaimed, (1916, 1951, 1956). So they would have been a great get around World War 1 and in the 1950’s but that was almost 75 years ago.

Their last national title was 1990 in the ‘lightening in a bottle’ year where they shared it with Colorado. Before that, their last official claimed title was in 1952- when the Korean War was still going on. Claiming that ancient success as proof they will do it now is just unrealistic IMO.

Investment is fine, but there are good investments and bad investments. Georgia Tech isn’t high on the list of good investments IMO, (but reasonable minds can disagree ;)).
 
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I respectfully disagree. It’s not short sighted, we just don’t agree with your assumptions.

It’s been claimed that Ga Tech will suddenly become good and capture the Atlanta market because now they’ll be playing Ohio St, Michigan, and Penn St. That’s just a wild assumption not based on any facts.

Actually, it ignores the fact that for the past 35 years (or so) they’ve played Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia. That hasn’t suddenly vaulted them into respectability and it has not captured the hearts and minds of people in Atlanta.

Why would anyone suddenly expect different with swapping Florida State, Clemson, and Georgia for OSU, PSU, and Michigan? ( In an area of the country that regularly bad mouths the Big Ten teams and has very little respect for them).

It’s been said they’re in big market Atlanta. Well, see Rutgers and New York City. Neither will bring their big market city and the fallacy that they ‘just will’ is based on nothing other than opinion. It flies in the face of all experience with Rutgers/ NYC and flies in the reality that Atlanta is a UGA town (and wider SEC in general). Good corporations don’t repeat mistakes.

It’s just assumed that Ga Tech will suddenly be a good football team because they can invest the big ten money. See Rutgers, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern, Maryland, etc. They all get lots of money, none have become powerhouses. Hell, even Nebraska with its great tradition and history is struggling big time. But Georgia Tech is suddenly, magically, going to be the exception? Sorry, I don’t see it.

Georgia Tech unofficially has 7 national titles. 4 claimed, (1917, 1928, 1952, 1990), and 3 unclaimed, (1916, 1951, 1956). So they would have been a great get around World War 1 and in the 1950’s but that was almost 75 years ago.

Their last national title was 1990 in the ‘lightening in a bottle’ year where they shared it with Colorado. Before that, their last official claimed title was in 1952- when the Korean War was still going on. Claiming that ancient success as proof they will do it now is just unrealistic IMO.

In the 33 years since Georgia Tech’s title in 1990, they’re just over a .500 team, (220-188 (.539)). They’ve had 11 losing seasons in those 33 years. They’ve won more than 7 games only 10 times in those 33 years. (And all of this in what everyone claims is a very weak football conference).

Investment is fine, but there are good investments and bad investments. Georgia Tech isn’t high on the list of good investments IMO, (but reasonable minds can disagree ;)).
I think there are a few things you're missing:
  • The point isn't that they'd be swapping Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia for Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan; they'd be swapping the ACC brand for the Big Ten. There's a reason why Clemson and FSU are desperate to do the same, and it's because the gap between the B1G/SEC and the ACC/Big 12 will be much more meaningful moving forward. That alone will hoop boost their program moving forward
  • Comparing Atlanta to NYC is apples-to-oranges because Atlanta is the capital of the south and produces more football talent than the northeast
  • Again, comparing Georgia Tech to Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, etc. is flawed because those schools don't sit in one of the nation's hottest recruiting beds
 
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I think there are a few things you're missing:
  • The point isn't that they'd be swapping Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia for Ohio State, Penn State, Michigan; they'd be swapping the ACC brand for the Big Ten. There's a reason why Clemson and FSU are desperate to do the same, and it's because the gap between the B1G/SEC and the ACC/Big 12 will be much more meaningful moving forward. That alone will hoop boost their program moving forward
  • Comparing Atlanta to NYC is apples-to-oranges because Atlanta is the capital of the south and produces more football talent than the northeast
  • Again, comparing Georgia Tech to Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, etc. is flawed because those schools don't sit in one of the nation's hottest recruiting beds

True. No one is claiming the Big Ten brand isn’t better than the ACC brand.

The claim earlier was that now they’ll be playing OSU and Michigan rather than ACC teams like Wake and people in Atlanta will suddenly be interested in the upgrade compared to the ACC which will propel GT forward. It just ignored that Clemson, FSU, and Georgia were also on their schedule and it didn’t bring that interest or move them forward.

Clemson and FSU want out because of money gap, (and I don’t think anyone, even ACC diehards, really blames them). Maryland left the ACC for the Big Ten. Have they suddenly vaulted in standing with the new brand, money, etc? No. I just don’t see how you can assume Georgia Tech would.

Atlanta is a Georgia Bulldog town, followed by a scattering of other SEC teams and Clemson. Georgia Tech is an afterthought with regard to football in that city.

As for being a recruiting hotbed, Georgia Tech sits on that hot bed now. They are what they are. Suddenly becoming a member of a conference that is roundly mocked as inferior by locals in the South isn’t going to change that. The conference winning a national title with Michigan (albeit cheating) did help to temper some of that this year.
 
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I think there are a few things you're missing

Then why hasn't anybody capitalized on it in the last 30 years?

Maybe you sell a few more non-GT tickets for people wanting to visit Atlanta for a road game, but GT wasn't a ratings draw when Paul Johnson had them winning the ACC. Much like any fanbase, if you win, people show up.

GT isn't taking recruits away from the current slew of big dogs who currently eat at that table. Adding in the Big 10 doesn't help them either.

Now if you want to say that because of population, they are a better take than others, by all means. It's just delusional to talk about 75 year old titles as if that means something.
 
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I respectfully disagree. It’s not short sighted, we just don’t agree with your assumptions.

It’s been claimed that Ga Tech will suddenly become good and capture the Atlanta market because now they’ll be playing Ohio St, Michigan, and Penn St. That’s just a wild assumption not based on any facts.

Actually, it ignores the fact that for the past 35 years (or so) they’ve played Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia. That hasn’t suddenly vaulted them into respectability and it has not captured the hearts and minds of people in Atlanta.

It’s been said they’re in big market Atlanta. Well, see Rutgers and New York City. Neither will bring their big market city and the fallacy that they ‘just will’ is based on nothing other than opinion. It flies in the face of all experience with Rutgers/ NYC and flies in the reality that Atlanta is a UGA town (and wider SEC in general). Good corporations don’t repeat mistakes.

It’s just assumed that Ga Tech will suddenly be a good football team because they can invest the big ten money. See Rutgers, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern, Maryland, etc. They all get lots of money, none have become powerhouses. Hell, even Nebraska with its great tradition and history is struggling big time. But Georgia Tech is suddenly, magically, going to be the exception? Sorry, I don’t see it.

Georgia Tech has 4 claimed national titles, (1917, 1928, 1952, 1990), and 3 unclaimed, (1916, 1951, 1956). So they would have been a great get around World War 1 and in the 1950’s but that was almost 75 years ago.

Their last national title was 1990 in the ‘lightening in a bottle’ year where they shared it with Colorado. Before that, their last official claimed title was in 1952- when the Korean War was still going on. Claiming that ancient success as proof they will do it now is just unrealistic IMO.

Investment is fine, but there are good investments and bad investments. Georgia Tech isn’t high on the list of good investments IMO, (but reasonable minds can disagree ;)).
I think Atlanta is probably more college centric for football than NYC, though you are correct they are much more UGA leaning. I think B1G & TV "braintrusts" are looking at a large market they can move into. Might take awhile to gain good market share but as one poster mentioned, there are transplants from across the university landscape. Who really knows? Still fun to speculate.
 
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Home media market means very little in this era of Conference realignment. The criteria is current TV ratings and nothing else. GT makes as much sense for the B1G as Pitt, Syracuse, or BC, who all generate similar TV ratings. The B1G invited 4 PAC teams that averaged 2.21M tv viewers per game. GT averaged 766k viewers, which is less than Rutgers and would qualify as second worst in the B1G. If GT doubles their tv viewership they still would not be a viable candidate to join the B1G. It’s not happening, unless they are needed as a travel partner for FSU or Clemson.
 
Then why hasn't anybody capitalized on it in the last 30 years?
Because no one was trying to create a nationwide ‘super league’ into recently, and even now it’s only the B1G. The SEC was never going to add them back because they already have Georgia, and GT wasn’t going make a lateral move to the Big 12.

With that being said, there are bigger fish that the B1G will go after in the south before the Yellow Jackets. FSU, North Carolina, and Texas A&M (yes, the Aggies) would all be in line first.
 
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There is still a tug of war with FOX and the Presidents over Stanford but at the moment with the tie-up in the ACC Stanford is stuck. They have one other avenue for getting into the Big 10 and that would be if ND said they were coming but not without Stanford. Again, FOX wants Miami, and the presidents want Stanford, but Miami is tied-up in the ACC and waited to long to act with FSU and Clemson so that's out for at least a year or two. Miami officials sunk their own ship for getting to the Big 10 quickly or maybe at all. The stomach turns in Miami.

Not exactly a "tug of war" when Fox simply will not pony up the $$ for Stanford unless the Domers want them as a partner.



The Pac-12 dissolution is our best model for the ACC. It lost its tent poles and then collapsed...

UCLA and USC went. The writing was on the wall...the Pac-12 was scrambling for TV deals and hypothetical backfill teams.

A few months later...and almost simultaneously...UW/OU to the Big Ten at reduced shares...and the four corners schools to the Big 12. Then the Bay Area duo stumbled into the ACC.

The Pac ended up collapsing because its remaining Presidents and Chancellors had an inflated and unrealistic sense of self-worth.

ESPN actually came to the Pac first and offered them essentially the deal that the B12 ended up taking, but the Pac refused and countered with an offer that was substantially higher.

At that point, ESPN walked away and offered thar deal to the B12, and then CU saw the writing on the wall and bolted, which led to the rest.

Their former commish has gotten way too much of the blame for the implosion of the conference when it was primarily the result of what his "bosses" decided.



Obviously, Stanford is an amazing academic school. However, they are not a state school. The privates like Northwestern, Vanderbilt, Wake typically haven't had the resources for any prolonged athletic success. Stanford is amazing in olympic sports, but not so much football and basketball, historically. Why not a Colorado or Arizona or Utah to balance the west? All AAU state schools. We are talking about athletic conferences. @PSU4U where do you see UNC and UVA ending up?

Stanford has amazing resources unfortunately they don't spend any of it on Football.

Stanford actually spends a decent amount on FB; they redid their stadium not too long ago.

Problem is, their alums are not as into FB (unless they're good) and like most other private universities, are spread out across the country.

They've actually recruited pretty well in both FB (albeit, not quite to the level when they were winning PAC championships) and BB; but the results on the field/court haven't reflected that.

Northwestern has many of the same issues as Stanford (scattered alumni base, high academic threshold for recruits, etc), but a lack of resources isn't one of them.

Don't know too many schools (private or public) which will have spent $2 Billion on new athletic facilities.

As for Dook, they have cut corners when it comes to academics for recruits.

BB recruits are pretty much at the NCAA minimum level (one former Dook player who ended up transferring to NU was surprised upon learning that it was expected of him to go to class) and one-third of recruits for FB just need to be at the NCAA minimum level.
 
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What everyone said about Rutgers wasn't wrong except for the NYC thing. NYC people do not follow college football. It was more about supplying another team to the east to balance out the eastern schedule that was a contiguous state which was more important to the Big 10 at that time.

MD was about luring VA and still is. Fox and the Big 10 greatly value VA. People may not like that but they do. It is a growing population that follows college football. FOX sees money and that's ok by me they are a billion-dollar business so they should know about those things.

VA isn't a top pick for expansion UNC and ND are along with FSU but they still want VA they just aren't top three and maybe not top four considering GT.


While there is a higher % of the NYC pop that doesn't follow CFB, there still is a substantial # of people who follow it whether it be RU (who are fans) or other B1G alums living in the city, Domer fans or just casual fans who will watch the big-match ups on Saturday.

As for GT, it would be a long-haul investment, which some have skepticism over.

First, there are a good bit more B1G alums in the Bay Area than in the metro ATL and Stanford will get to play a greater no of its historical rivals and has a historical connection to playing B1G teams from time to time.

Even if things mostly turn the B1G's way with regard to picking up ACC programs, it would be GT having a historical connection to UMD, FSU and UVA.

Having said that, only way Stanford gets an invite is if the Domers want them as a partner.

As for BC, their chance of getting an invite is lower than that for Pitt, which isn't much.
 
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To take Cal (imo) something will have gone terribly wrong in Big 10 expansion efforts.

Stanford Utah ASU AZ CO KS are all on the list as I said but down the list however, they are on the list. Of that group Stanford and Utah have the best shots. Utah seems to think they have a good shot but down the road. Stanford gets in because of ND or (imo) they probably wouldn't make it either. Utah has big support from the 4 west teams that just came in. That lobby means something too, Stanford also but not as much as Utah. For CO it would be a tough clime for them when it came to the votes.
I certainly see why Stanford would be on the list and maybe KS because of basketball. ASU has the 10th largest media market, so I think they would be a shoo-in, plus they have AAU status. I would probably take CU as well. UA and Utah don't add all that much. UA basketball prowess is overrated and Utah will probably go back to being Utah once their HC retires (he has done a fantastic job there).
 
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I certainly see why Stanford would be on the list and maybe KS because of basketball. ASU has the 10th largest media market, so I think they would be a shoo-in, plus they have AAU status. I would probably take CU as well. UA and Utah don't add all that much. UA basketball prowess is overrated and Utah will probably go back to being Utah once their HC retires (he has done a fantastic job there).
Utah is here to stay, and they intend to layout the dollars needed to keep them upward mobile in the future. Utah brings some things to the table that a lot of people don't consider.

But no matter because right now there are some things going on that is putting the Big 10 on hold where ACC expansion is concerned. I have been sitting on some info since Tue evening that I'm not ready to go public with but there is a bit of a dustup going on in the Big 10. I gave this info to one person who posts on the main board to insure there is record of it between he and I before anyone else gets info on it and one pod caster the other evening danced all around it.

There is way more to this than the following statement. The Michigan president along with a good number of powerful presidents is heading up a bit of a power group to ensure the presidents (the dog) are not being wagged by the (tail) media. There is a lot going on internally right now that I won't speak to at this time.
 
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While there is a higher % of the NYC pop that doesn't follow CFB, there still is a substantial # of people who follow it whether it be RU (who are fans) or other B1G alums living in the city, Domer fans or just casual fans who will watch the big-match ups on Saturday.

As for GT, it would be a long-haul investment, which have some skepticism over.

First, there are a good bit more B1G alums in the Bay Area than in the metro ATL and Stanford will get to play a greater no of its historical rivals and has a historical connection to playing B1G teams from time to time.

Even if things mostly turn the B1G's way with regard to picking up ACC programs, it would be GT having a historical connection to UMD, FSU and UVA.

Havong said that, only way Stanford gets an invite is if the Domers want them as a partner.

As for BC, their chance of getting an invite is lower than that for Pitt, which isn't much.
I have information from Tue eve that GT is #2 on the Big 10 presidents wish list UNC being #1. I won't give the full list at this time.

sPitt has way more support in the Big 10 than people can handle but it depends on what goes on with the Big 10's top choices as it does with teams to the west like Kansas Utah and others who want in.

There is a very real possibility the Big 10 strikes out for all their top choices in the ACC and that list is very different from what many on this board think.
 
I have information from Tue eve that GT is #2 on the Big 10 presidents wish list UNC being #1. I won't give the full list at this time.

sPitt has way more support in the Big 10 than people can handle but it depends on what goes on with the Big 10's top choices as it does with teams to the west like Kansas Utah and others who want in.

There is a very real possibility the Big 10 strikes out for all their top choices in the ACC and that list is very different from what many on this board think.

Pitt, grunt, strain, plop.
 
While there is a higher % of the NYC pop that doesn't follow CFB, there still is a substantial # of people who follow it whether it be RU (who are fans) or other B1G alums living in the city, Domer fans or just casual fans who will watch the big-match ups on Saturday.

As for GT, it would be a long-haul investment, which have some skepticism over.

First, there are a good bit more B1G alums in the Bay Area than in the metro ATL and Stanford will get to play a greater no of its historical rivals and has a historical connection to playing B1G teams from time to time.

Even if things mostly turn the B1G's way with regard to picking up ACC programs, it would be GT having a historical connection to UMD, FSU and UVA.

Havong said that, only way Stanford gets an invite is if the Domers want them as a partner.

As for BC, their chance of getting an invite is lower than that for Pitt, which isn't much.
There are financial opportunities being discussed in the Big 10 right now that would in certain situations negate the need for FOX ponying up the money in certain situations. Just saying.
 
I respectfully disagree. It’s not short sighted, we just don’t agree with your assumptions.

It’s been claimed that Ga Tech will suddenly become good and capture the Atlanta market because now they’ll be playing Ohio St, Michigan, and Penn St. That’s just a wild assumption not based on any facts.

Actually, it ignores the fact that for the past 35 years (or so) they’ve played Clemson, Florida State, and Georgia. That hasn’t suddenly vaulted them into respectability and it has not captured the hearts and minds of people in Atlanta.

It’s been said they’re in big market Atlanta. Well, see Rutgers and New York City. Neither will bring their big market city and the fallacy that they ‘just will’ is based on nothing other than opinion. It flies in the face of all experience with Rutgers/ NYC and flies in the reality that Atlanta is a UGA town (and wider SEC in general). Good corporations don’t repeat mistakes.

It’s just assumed that Ga Tech will suddenly be a good football team because they can invest the big ten money. See Rutgers, Illinois, Indiana, Purdue, Minnesota, Northwestern, Maryland, etc. They all get lots of money, none have become powerhouses. Hell, even Nebraska with its great tradition and history is struggling big time. But Georgia Tech is suddenly, magically, going to be the exception? Sorry, I don’t see it.

Georgia Tech has 4 claimed national titles, (1917, 1928, 1952, 1990), and 3 unclaimed, (1916, 1951, 1956). So they would have been a great get around World War 1 and in the 1950’s but that was almost 75 years ago.

Their last national title was 1990 in the ‘lightening in a bottle’ year where they shared it with Colorado. Before that, their last official claimed title was in 1952- when the Korean War was still going on. Claiming that ancient success as proof they will do it now is just unrealistic IMO.

Investment is fine, but there are good investments and bad investments. Georgia Tech isn’t high on the list of good investments IMO, (but reasonable minds can disagree ;)).
GT is number 2 on the Big 10 presidents wish list. So, it is what it is.
 
GT is number 2 on the Big 10 presidents wish list. So, it is what it is.
That is very different than what is on Fox’s list, and there is no way that GT is on a top 20 expansion list for Fox or any list for Fox. It’s impossible, they generate little viewers and revenue. The addition of GT would cause per capita income in the conference to decline. In the end there is no college president in the conference that is agreeing to decrease revenue for their school.
 
That is very different than what is on Fox’s list, and there is no way that GT is on a top 20 expansion list for Fox or any list for Fox. It’s impossible, they generate little viewers and revenue. The addition of GT would cause per capita income in the conference to decline. In the end there is no college president in the conference that is agreeing to decrease revenue for their school.
They simply are on the FOX list just not in FOX's top three. GT is wanted by both the presidents and FOX just in a slightly different order and for different reasons. The presidents intend to have their say this time around. But as I said the Big 10 might not get any of their desired teams because VA has tied themselves to UNC and UNC is a big SEC lean.

Keep in mind that the Big 10 has offered VA UNC GT and ND in the past and struck out each time. VA once UNC twice GT twice and ND three times. I should say they consulted had discussions three separate times with ND and rebuffed each time. ND has a standing offer that probably isn't going to change at this point.
 
Allowing PiT into the B10 would sully the league and game.

Let them drop down where they can compete.
 
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They simply are on the FOX list just not in FOX's top three. GT is wanted by both the presidents and FOX just in a slightly different order and for different reasons. The presidents intend to have their say this time around. But as I said the Big 10 might not get any of their desired teams because VA has tied themselves to UNC and UNC is a big SEC lean.

Keep in mind that the Big 10 has offered VA UNC GT and ND in the past and struck out each time. VA once UNC twice GT twice and ND three times. I should say they consulted had discussions three separate times with ND and rebuffed each time. ND has a standing offer that probably isn't going to change at this point.
I know you indicate that you are an insider, but the math simply does not work out under any circumstance for GT or UVA to enter the league under an equal revenue share. The B1G offered those schools in the past under different criteria and market conditions. I think UNC does eventually go SEC but I also wonder if they are (politically) a package with NC State and would the SEC accomodate that. I do believe there will be some remainder of schools from the ACC that end up in the B1G as the SEC cannot take them all and the B1G needs a southern presence, but outside of Clemson, FSU, and maybe UNC (who honestly is Rutgers level for football tv numbers) the rest of those schools are precisely the reason the ACC will eventually break up. They don’t generate enough viewers or interest and dilute conference revenue. As such they can only be partial revenue additions to a new conference. Regarding tv revenue potential after Clemson, FSU and UNC, it’s Miami, Duke, and Louisville at second tier followed by a third tier of quite honestly Pitt, GT, and Syracuse. I would be happy with FSU or Miami, GT, Clemson, UNC or Duke, and UVA or VT. And one West Coast team is still required to make a lasting contingent out there. If a southern expansion blows up, I would take Pitt, Syracuse, and BC in a heartbeat. I really would. I miss real rivals with some history.
 
Because the B1G didn’t already do that when they added Rutgers? ;)

Haven't you heard? Rutgers has passed PSU. They have the 5th...no... 11th rated recruiting class! Way better than ours.

At least somebody said this last week. 😆 🤣
 
I have information from Tue eve that GT is #2 on the Big 10 presidents wish list UNC being #1. I won't give the full list at this time.

sPitt has way more support in the Big 10 than people can handle but it depends on what goes on with the Big 10's top choices as it does with teams to the west like Kansas Utah and others who want in.

There is a very real possibility the Big 10 strikes out for all their top choices in the ACC and that list is very different from what many on this board think.
There are financial opportunities being discussed in the Big 10 right now that would in certain situations negate the need for FOX ponying up the money in certain situations. Just saying.

Those other financial opportunities would still be monies lost in order to make up for the shortfall in adding a school like GT.

If the B1G Presidents/Chancellors are willing to make that sacrifice, don't see why Stanford wouldn't jump ahead of GT.

Stanford is a good bit more prestigious academically than GT, already resides in B1G (albeit new) territory (as opposed to being on an island, as would be the case for GT) and the Bay Area has more B1G alums than metro ATL.

Having games in Palo Alto would be a big fundraising opportunity for schools.

While I can see the powers-that-be in the conference willing to take a haircut (say, $5 million per school), color me a bit skeptical that they would be willing to make a significant sacrifice monetary-wise to admit schools like GT and Pitt, especially with all the new financial obligations towards athletes (current, future and the past).
 
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I don't see the Ga Tech move at all. Good school academically but completely irrelevant in football and basketball. They would have to come in on a fraction of the full revenue being made by the core 16 (includes USC and UCLA).

These presidents need to look at the financial side as much as the academic side. Take Stanford, Cal, Duke and UVA over Ga Tech. All better academics.
 
Those other financial opportunities would still be monies lost in order to make up for the shortfall in adding a school like GT.

If the B1G Presidents/Chancellors are willing to make that sacrifice, don't see why Stanford wouldn't jump ahead of GT.

Stanford is a good bit more prestigious academically than GT, already resides in B1G (albeit new) territory (as opposed to being on an island, as would be the case for GT) and the Bay Area has more B1G alums than metro ATL.

Having games in Palo Alto would be a big fundraising opportunity for schools.

While I can see the powers-that-be in the conference willing to take a haircut (say, $5 million per school), color me a bit skeptical that they would be willing to make a significant sacrifice monetary-wise to admit schools like GT and Pitt, especially with all the new financial obligations towards athletes (current, future and the past).
OK a couple things. First off, those other financial opportunities are enormous no shrinking of the pie no monies lost if they could pull it off we're talking maybe billions but certainly a billion or more.

This is the presidents prioritized ACC wish list. #1 ND (not really ACC) #2 UNC #3 GT #4 VA #5 Miami #6 NCS #7 FSU. Fox would be on board with all of those except NCS and not in that order. Also the teams who would opt for the Big 10 may not come in the order of the president's priority list. Someone coined the phrase (not me) in conference realignment "the best ability is availability". That may be the case of FSU or Clemson. I don't ever say never.

With the new financials assuming it will be accepted and can get passed will give the presidents all their power back and would not be dependent upon the dictates of FOX and others at least to some degree when it comes to the presidents getting the schools they want for their reasons.

This thing is being headed up by Ono (Michigan) and he has lots of friends on board. Personally, I consider Ono a sycophant but that's neither here nor there on this subject. I think he was and still is in love with Harbaugh.

Right now, there is a real divide between FOX and the presidents where expansion is concerned and the presidents (most of) for the most part are not happy about not being able to call the shots and get it paid for.

But all of this ACC stuff might be a moot point where the Big is concerned. Currently there is a controlled demolition of the ACC going on and the Big might be on the outside looking in.

Josh Pate announced last night an explosion will happen in the ACC this month. I said something would happen on or before Aug 6th. I still think it's going to be near the end of the month or in Aug but obviously before the start of fall camp.

When Petitti and Sankey both at the same time supposedly stepped back from expansion we all should have known then something would soon be in the offing.
 
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I know you indicate that you are an insider, but the math simply does not work out under any circumstance for GT or UVA to enter the league under an equal revenue share. The B1G offered those schools in the past under different criteria and market conditions. I think UNC does eventually go SEC but I also wonder if they are (politically) a package with NC State and would the SEC accomodate that. I do believe there will be some remainder of schools from the ACC that end up in the B1G as the SEC cannot take them all and the B1G needs a southern presence, but outside of Clemson, FSU, and maybe UNC (who honestly is Rutgers level for football tv numbers) the rest of those schools are precisely the reason the ACC will eventually break up. They don’t generate enough viewers or interest and dilute conference revenue. As such they can only be partial revenue additions to a new conference. Regarding tv revenue potential after Clemson, FSU and UNC, it’s Miami, Duke, and Louisville at second tier followed by a third tier of quite honestly Pitt, GT, and Syracuse. I would be happy with FSU or Miami, GT, Clemson, UNC or Duke, and UVA or VT. And one West Coast team is still required to make a lasting contingent out there. If a southern expansion blows up, I would take Pitt, Syracuse, and BC in a heartbeat. I really would. I miss real rivals with some history.
I do not and never have considered myself an insider. The people I talk to have friends who are insiders so my info will always be several people removed from the source. I do have great faith in the people I've become acquainted with. They have rarely been wrong and sometimes only having part of the info.

The president's reasons and priorities in universities rarely ever change much. Academics are big past and ongoing relationships are big research is big administrative fit is big financial health is big culture is big. Maybe two of the biggest things are relationships and culture

Sport is secondary to most of those guys and gals who are presidents. Some of them aren't even fans of sport. They operate in a different world. While we the fans reside (for the most part) in a bubble of college football they do not. They are academics in the truest sense of the word and all those things that are wrapped up in that word are their priorities. If they are anything they are certainly at the very least bureaucrats.

I've explained why the presidents and FOX want the likes of GT over and over. It seems to me that most want to live in the here and now and simply aren't willing to look down the road a little and see what a GT could do with 90 + million a year and FOX and the Big 10 leading the way for them in marketing in one of the fastest and continuous growing markets in the country. So, we just have to disagree on that.

It seems that Clemson is not on the list. At least not the presidents list and they aren't getting in without the votes.

As far as revenue is concerned each University comes in under their own merits. As an example, right now, Stanford might be willing to come in for free for a few years.

It's been explained to me no matter what university we're talking about each team must have a travel partner. It seems they must come in 2x2.
 
Allowing PiT into the B10 would sully the league and game.

Let them drop down where they can compete.
I don't think they make it in but as I've said they have support including the old guard from PS. From a presidents view there are somethings sPitt brings to the table. Education research financial health past relations ships PA culture. Then other than PS they would have the support of MD RU OSU MI MSU WI and IA for sure. But the things against them would be the same things against Miami they play in a rent a stadium nobody comes to their games etc
 
I do not and never have considered myself an insider. The people I talk to have friends who are insiders so my info will always be several people removed from the source. I do have great faith in the people I've become acquainted with. They have rarely been wrong and sometimes only having part of the info.

The president's reasons and priorities in universities rarely ever change much. Academics are big past and ongoing relationships are big research is big administrative fit is big financial health is big culture is big. Maybe two of the biggest things are relationships and culture

Sport is secondary to most of those guys and gals who are presidents. Some of them aren't even fans of sport. They operate in a different world. While we the fans reside (for the most part) in a bubble of college football they do not. They are academics in the truest sense of the word and all those things that are wrapped up in that word are their priorities. If they are anything they are certainly at the very least bureaucrats.

I've explained why the presidents and FOX want the likes of GT over and over. It seems to me that most want to live in the here and now and simply aren't willing to look down the road a little and see what a GT could do with 90 + million a year and FOX and the Big 10 leading the way for them in marketing in one of the fastest and continuous growing markets in the country. So, we just have to disagree on that.

It seems that Clemson is not on the list. At least not the presidents list and they aren't getting in without the votes.

As far as revenue is concerned each University comes in under their own merits. As an example, right now, Stanford might be willing to come in for free for a few years.

It's been explained to me no matter what university we're talking about each team must have a travel partner. It seems they must come in 2x2.
so according to you, and it will come out eventually, it will be Big presidents vs Fox to see if FSU gets in. If FSU goes to the SEC, its clear the presidents win this round vs the networks. The Network clearly won last round with Oregon over Stanford.
 
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so according to you, and it will come out eventually, it will be Big presidents vs Fox to see if FSU gets in. If FSU goes to the SEC, its clear the presidents win this round vs the networks. The Network clearly won last round with Oregon over Stanford.
No, you're making a couple of leaps there. IF FSU comes to the Big 10 it simply means that the order of priority isn't necessarily the order they come in. The best ability in realignment is availability. FSU might not be the president's top choice but that in no way means they are not a take.

Maybe they aren't getting UNC and VA so then an FSU GT Miami etc move up the list. I never said or implied what you are suggesting or that they would come into the league in the order of a prioritized list of desired universities.
 
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Who do you have going to the Big 10 from the ACC? Stanford is back in play by the way.
Heads up on ACC expansion. What Josh Pate has talked about in his podcast is way bigger than just FSU as it seems several other unnamed schools are involved. Not sure yet if we're talking about the Magnificent 7 or something else.

Addendum: I would keep my eye on a certain judge in FL Things may be getting ready to go sideways for the ACC and eventually pear shaped.
 
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I don't see the Ga Tech move at all. Good school academically but completely irrelevant in football and basketball. They would have to come in on a fraction of the full revenue being made by the core 16 (includes USC and UCLA).

These presidents need to look at the financial side as much as the academic side. Take Stanford, Cal, Duke and UVA over Ga Tech. All better academics.
No Cal no Duke. Duke VA and UNC are more than likely headed to the SEC. At least that is a consensus of theories or conventional thinking on landing spots for those schools.

So many working parts on the whole ACC raid that it is very difficult to say with any certainty how this will all playout. With the recent Josh Pate comments people think this is all going to be an ESPN SEC raid and I guess that's one possibility but I think that as a whole is unlikely.

With ESPN they have the FL Attorney General breathing down their neck about all their secret dealings with the ACC and the SEC. For them that's a very dangerous thing. No way ESPN is allowing that to get to court so the world can plainly see all their dirty laundry. Then the Judge in FL is getting ready to rule on jurisdiction and TV rights are the home games property of the University or the ACC that's one the ACC or ESPN doesn't want handled by that judge. So legally the ACC and ESPN are staring down the barrel of a 44 magnum.

My best guesses at this point for what is going to happen in July is ESPN will announce they are not going to renew the current ACC contract. Or there will be a settlement announced with agreed upon buyout figures. Or three or four teams announce they are leaving. Or ND pulls the plug, and several teams follow them to the Big 10.

The most likely of those scenarios are IMO, either ESPN announces they are not continuing their current contract with the ACC beyond 2027. Or a settlement between the ACC and FSU has been reached.

Never Ever Trust ND!
 
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No Cal no Duke. Duke VA and UNC are more than likely headed to the SEC. At least that is a consensus of theories or conventional thinking on landing spots for those schools.

So many working parts on the whole ACC raid that it is very difficult to say with any certainty how this will all playout. With the recent Josh Pate comments people think this is all going to be an ESPN SEC raid and I guess that's one possibility but I think that as a whole is unlikely.

With ESPN they have the FL Attorney General breathing down their neck about all their secret dealings with the ACC and the SEC. For them that's a very dangerous thing. No way ESPN is allowing that to get to court so the world can plainly see all their dirty laundry. Then the Judge in FL is getting ready to rule on jurisdiction and TV rights are the home games property of the University or the ACC that's one the ACC or ESPN doesn't want handled by that judge. So legally the ACC and ESPN are straying down the barrel of a 44 magnum.

My best guesses at this point for what is going to happen in July is ESPN will announce they are not going to renew the current ACC contract. Or there will be a settlement announced with agreed upon buyout figures. Or three or four teams announce they are leaving. Or ND pulls the plug, and several teams follow them to the Big 10.

The most likely of those scenarios are IMO, either ESPN announces they are not continuing their current contract with the ACC beyond 2027. Or a settlement between the ACC and FSU has been reached.

Never Ever Trust ND!
It really is all speculation from all of us, including Pate. I listened to the Pate video you reference and his opinion is that it is all about building a portfolio of schools. That opinion sounds reasonable. We know the B1G wants to be a national portfolio and to do so you must go south. The growing states of NC and Fl, which are each half northern transplants, are key to building a national brand. To make a national conference last, I think you need 6 schools from the west coast and 6 from the southeast.
 
It’s all rambling because it starts and ends with AAU status.

From War Eagle site…

FSU and Clemson were predicted by longtime college football radio host Greg Swaim to join the SEC on July 12 after failing to receive an invite from the Big Ten due to a lack of AAU accreditation.

"ACC schools that have a choice will take a B1G offer, obviously as they pay more," Swaim prefaced before saying, "And those that get an SEC offer will take it over the Big 12. If your school is not yet AAU accredited you won't be getting a B1G offer, regardless of what you've been told about your school's R1 research or academic ranking.

With well over half of the current vetted Big Ten schools adamantly against non AAU accredited schools (they're still very mad at the Huskers for losing their accreditation after joining). FSU and Clemson will announce they are leaving the ACC (we're hearing July 12th, give or take a few days), and will both take an SEC invite. However, this will open up the entire ACC, as they'll all be scrambling for a lifeboat in the SEC or Big 12, with some current ACC schools who are already AAU accredited possibly getting a B1G invite."
 
It really is all speculation from all of us, including Pate. I listened to the Pate video you reference and his opinion is that it is all about building a portfolio of schools. That opinion sounds reasonable. We know the B1G wants to be a national portfolio and to do so you must go south. The growing states of NC and Fl, which are each half northern transplants, are key to building a national brand. To make a national conference last, I think you need 6 schools from the west coast and 6 from the southeast.
Certainly, agree here especially on the 6 western schools and going south. I have been pounding the 24 schools in the Big 10 for more than two years.

My info has it that they want four pods of six schools each then have a playoff from the winners of each pod to play in the playoff for the league championship. That would be huge TV money. Supposedly that's a FOX invention. Not sure how they would determine who plays who in the first two games to get to the championship game lotto, I guess.
 
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