This is a mischaracterization. Pile said he can see Barr as top 4 but isn't ready to call him a national finalist yet.
I think Barr can be a finalist, but that opinion is fair on the evidence. FIVE returnees have placed 4th or higher at NCAA 197: Ford Focus, Buchanan, Cardenas, Munoz, and Elam. (OK, 4 after Ferrari implodes.)
To make the NCAA finals, he will need to beat at least 1 of them, and possibly 2 in a row. Can he? Yes. Has he proven that? He has never faced any of them in folk or free.
If Elam is back from injury, then Barr will face both him and Little on 12/21. That's a better test of Barr's potential placement than a single match against Beard.
Now I need to go shower in bleach after defending Pile.